July 15, 2014

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Udall (D) 48%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 41%
  • Other 2%
  • Undecided 10%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mark Udall 42% / 36% {+6%}
  • Cory Gardner 34% / 32% {+2%}

Survey of 914 registered voters was conducted July 7-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. 

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:56 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

GENERAL ELECTION

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 44% {45%} [44%] (40%)
  • Jack Kingston (R) 41% {45%} [42%] (38%)
  • Not sure 15% {10%} [14%] (21%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 48% {48%} (40%)
  • David Perdue (R) 41% {46%} (40%)
  • Not sure 10% {7%} (21%)

Among Men

  • Jack Kingston (R) 47% {48%} [44%] (44%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 43% {44%} [41%] (35%)
  • Not sure 11% {7%} [15%] (21%)
  • David Perdue (R) 49% {48%} (43%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 44% {48%} (35%)
  • Not sure 7% {4%} (21%)

Among Women 

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 46% {45%} [47%] (45%)
  • Jack Kingston (R) 36% {43%} [40%] (33%)
  • Not sure 18% {13%} [13%] (22%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 51% {47%} (44%)
  • David Perdue (R) 35% {44%} (36%)
  • Not sure 13% {9%} (20%)

Among Whites

  • Jack Kingston (R) 55% {63%} [54%] (49%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 32% {29%} [33%] (30%)
  • Not sure 12% {8%} [12%] (21%)
  • David Perdue (R) 57% {62%} (51%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 32% {31%} (29%)
  • Not sure 11% {7%} (20%)

Among Blacks

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 71% {76%} [69%] (71%)
  • Jack Kingston (R) 11% {14%} [13%] (8%)
  • Not sure 18% {10%} [18%] (21%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 86% {79%} (72%)
  • David Perdue (R) 7% {15%} (8%)
  • Not sure 7% {6%} (20%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY RUNOFF 

  • Jack Kingston 47% {46%}
  • David Perdue 41% {34%}
  • Not sure 13% {20%} 

Survey of 664 Georgia voters, including a subsample of 516 likely Republican primary runoff voters, was conducted July 9-13, 2014 for Better Georgia. Party ID: 39% {42%} [38%] (39%) Republican; 35% {39%} [38%] (38%) Democrat; 26% {20%} [24%] (23%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 34% {28%} Moderate; 22% {26%} Somewhat conservative; 22% {24%} Very conservative; 13% {14%} Somewhat liberal; 8% {8%} Very liberal.  Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) Men.  Race: 67% {64%} [66%] (71%) White; 27% {27%} [27%] (24%) Black. Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2013 are in parentheses..

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:16 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 23%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 41%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 10:14 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

July 14, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Scott (R) 45% {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 79% {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 10% {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 79% {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 13% {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 47% {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 35% {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)

Among Moderates

  • Charlie Crist (D) 51% {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 38% {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 47% {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 40% {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 43% {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)

Survey of 558 likely voters was conducted June 30 – July 2, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 37% {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 24% {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 42% {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 33% {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 21% {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 51% {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male; 49% {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female. Results from the poll released June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll released May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll released May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:21 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 24%
  • Somewhat approve 22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 41%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 10:20 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

July 13, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen South Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen South Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Lindsey Graham (R) 49%
  • Brad Hutto (D) 30%
  • Some other candidate 10%
  • Undecided 11%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:24 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 22%
  • Somewhat approve 23%
  • Somewhat disapprove 13%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 12:17 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

July 12, 2014

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Runoff Survey

  • Jack Kingston 41.9% (46.1%)
  • David Perdue 41.1% (35.1%)
  • Undecided 17.0% (18.9%) 

Survey of 1,278 likely GOP primary voters was conducted July 7-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.74 percentage points.  Party ID: 73.4% (69.7%) Republican; 3.1% (4.4%) Democrat; 23.5% (25.8%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted June 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:52 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 13%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 11:38 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

July 11, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 41%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 6:33 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 59% {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 14% {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% (6%)
  • Bernie Sanders 5%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3% {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 1% {2%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% {0%} [0%] [0%] (1%)
  • Martin O’Malley 0% {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Someone else 1% {5%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don’t know yet 9% {18%} [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Hillary Clinton 87% {78%} [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 9% {11%} [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+78%}
  • Joe Biden 67% {53%} [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 20% {37%} [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+47%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 57% (47%) / 14% (15%) {+43%}
  • Bernie Sanders 37% / 10% {+27%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 37% {37%} [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 21% {19%} [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+16%}
  • Mark Warner 16% {13%} [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 14% {14%} [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {+2%}
  • Martin O’Malley 9% {10%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 8% {5%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+1%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 6% {10%} [3%] [5%] (12%) / 9% {6%} [11%] [12%] (6%) {-3%}

Survey of 257 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 19 – July 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:27 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Chris Christie 19% {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Rand Paul 14% {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Mike Huckabee 8%
  • Marco Rubio 8% {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% {13%} [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Bobby Jindal 5% {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Rick Perry 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Rob Portman 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • John Kasich 0%
  • Someone else 3% {3%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don’t know yet 15% {15%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 55% {60%} [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 18% {15%} [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+37%}
  • Rand Paul 53% {56%} [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 23% {21%} [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+30%}
  • Marco Rubio 46% {52%} [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 19% {12%} [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+27%}  
  • Scott Walker 37% {38%} [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 10% {12%} [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+27%}
  • Bobby Jindal 39% {30%} {39%} [30%] (31%) / 13% {17%} {12%} [16%] (21%) {+26%}
  • Ted Cruz 39% {42%} [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 22% {18%} [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+17%}
  • Mike Huckabee 46% / 30% {+16%}
  • Jeb Bush 45% {45%} [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 31% {35%} [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+14%}
  • Rob Portman 19% {11%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 8% {15%} [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {+11%}
  • Chris Christie 46% {43%} [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 36% {42%} [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+10%}
  • John Kasich 22% (12%) {28%} / 12% (9%) {16%} {+10%}
  • Rick Santorum 38% {36%} (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 30% {31%} (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+8%}
  • Rick Perry 39% {36%} [32%] (36%) {39%} / 32% {30%} [27%] (30%) {37%} {+7%}

Survey of 251 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 19 – July 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:39 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch

July 10, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mary Landrieu (D) 46% (40%)
  • Bill Cassidy (R) 43% (44%)
  • Some other candidate 5% (5%)
  • Undecided 6% (11%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 8-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conductedJanuary 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:16 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%

Among Men

  • Rand Paul (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Rand Paul (R) 38%

Survey of 849 registered voters was conducted June 30 – July 2, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 35% Republican; 26% Independent. Ideology: 43% Moderate; 31% Conservative; 20% Liberal. Gender: 54% Female; 46% Male .

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:02 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

July 9, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% {50%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [44%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [44%]  
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [45%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [42%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% {44%} [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [47%] (48%)
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 44% {47%} [40%] (45%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {52%} [49%] 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {39%} [37%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% {54%} 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {40%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 52% {51%} [51%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [37%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 48% {51%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {36%} [35%]
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 49% {50%} [44%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {43%} [42%] (40%)

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% {48%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {46%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {46%} [51%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% {44%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {48%} [49%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {39%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {47%} [53%] (56%)
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 39% {44%} [36%] (36%)

Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • He should run 17% {25%} [17%] (24%)
  • He should not 72% {63%} [72%] (66%)
Survey of 664 registered voters was conducted June 26-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 44% {42%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% {38%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 20% {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% {32%} [27%] (28%) Moderate; 24% {25%} [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 22% {21%} [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 17% {13%} [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 7% {9%} [9%] (12%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Ted Cruz 19% {12%} [8%]
  • Mike Huckabee 17% {20%} (18%)  
  • Jeb Bush 17% {9%} [17%] (9%)
  • Bobby Jindal 12% {13%} [10%] (14%)
  • Rand Paul 10% {10%} [18%] (8%)
  • Chris Christie 6% {8%} [10%] (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% {8%} [11%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% {7%} [8%] (21%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {2%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 8% {12%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

  • Ted Cruz 23% {16%} [10%]
  • Jeb Bush 15% {8%} [15%] (9%)
  • Mike Huckabee 14% {20%} (18%)
  • Rand Paul 13% {10%} [22%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 8% {11%} [10%] (13%)
  • Bobby Jindal 7% {10%} [9%] (8%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% {9%} [14%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% {8%} [8%] (24%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {2%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% {7%} [8%] (8%)
Among Women 

  • Mike Huckabee 20% {20%} (18%)
  • Jeb Bush 20% {10%} [18%] (9%)
  • Bobby Jindal 19% {17%} [12%] (21%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% {8%} [6%]
  • Rand Paul 6% {10%} [14%] (7%)
  • Chris Christie 4% {4%} [11%] (9%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% {6%} [7%] (18%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {2%}
  • Paul Ryan 2% {6%} [9%] (7%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 8% {18%} [19%] (8%)

Survey of 308 Republican primary voters was conducted June 26-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% {37%} [44%] Very conservative; 35% {35%} [38%] Somewhat conservative; 17% {22%} [11%] Moderate; 4% {3%} [5%] Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [3%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:00 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch, Ted Cruz

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 58% (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% (7%) {7%} [7%]
  • Joe Biden 9% (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
  • Martin O’Malley 1% (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {1%}
  • Don’t know 15% (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)

National survey of 610 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted June 24-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [49%] (48%) {48%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% [38%] (39%) {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {49%} [50%]
  • Paul Ryan (R) 41% {40%} [38%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%] (41%) {42%} [49%] (46%) [45%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% [38%] (42%) {43%} [36%] (40%) [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [49%] (48%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {49%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% [39%] (41%) {40%} [36%] (38%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
Among Independents

  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [36%] (39%) {43%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [47%] (44%) {42%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [44%]
  • Paul Ryan (R) 41% {42%} [38%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [40%] (47%) {48%} [38%] (41%)[36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (32%) {32%} [40%] (39%) [36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [47%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%){41%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% [38%] (43%) {41%} [39%] (41%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% [43%] (47%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [43%] (40%) {40%}
  • Paul Ryan (R) 46% {44%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {44%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [40%] (33%) {35%} [45%] (38%) [38%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [43%] (49%) {47%} [39%] (43%) [41%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% [46%] (51%) {46%} [42%] (45%) {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%] (40%) {43%} [47%] (42%) {40%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [54%] (57%) {55%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% [33%] (31%) {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {55%} [56%]
  • Paul Ryan (R) 37% {35%} [32%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [51%] (50%) {48%} [52%] (53%) [51%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% [35%] (36%) {39%} [33%] (36%) [32%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [55%] (57%) {54%} [58%] (58%) {57%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 35% [33%] (32%) {34%} [30%] (32%) {33%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 35%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 48% [51%] (53%) [56%] (55%) {52%} (61%) / 43% [40%] (42%) [36%] (38%) {40%} (34%) {+5%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 24% (17%) / 15% (19%) {+9%}
  • Mike Huckabee 38% / 34% {+4%}
  • John Kasich 13% (12%) / 9% (9%) {+4%}
  • Paul Ryan 36% (38%) [34%] / 33% (31%) [36%] {+3%}
  • Marco Rubio 27% (26%) [27%] / 25% (25%) [15%] {+2%}
  • Bobby Jindal 21% (21%) / 19% (15%) {+2%}
  • Scott Walker 18% (21%) / 17% (16%) {+1%}
  • Rand Paul 32% (34%) [30%] (31%) {32%} / 32% (31%) [33%] (28%) {24%} {0%}
  • Chris Christie 37% [33%] (47%) [40%] (45%) / 38% [30%] (23%) [22%] (18%) {-1%}
  • Joe Biden 42% (37%) (38%) {37%} (46%) / 44% (48%) (44%) {44%} (41%) {-2%}
  • Martin O’Malley 4% (3%) / 6% (9%) {-2%}
  • Ted Cruz 23% (27%) [16%] / 26% (27%) [25%] {-3%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 3% (3%) / 6% (7%) {-3%}
  • Jeb Bush 32% (31%) {29%} (25%) / 37% (38%) {29%} (29%) {-5%}
  • Rick Santorum 23% / 30% {-7%}
  • Rick Perry 23% / 31% {-8%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 19% (19%) / 28% (23%) {-9%}

National survey of 1,446 registered voters was conducted June 24-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 26% [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 35% [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 7% [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don’t know. Race: 73% [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 13% [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 7% [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conductedJune 28 – July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 – March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:06 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 22%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 41%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

July 8, 2014

RNC Selects Cleveland for 2016 Convention

by @ 12:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Conventions

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Rand Paul 11% (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%)
  • Chris Christie 10% (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
  • Mike Huckabee 10%
  • Paul Ryan 8% (13%) {9%} [10%] (17%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% (9%) {13%} [10%]
  • Scott Walker 8% (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • John Kasich 2% (2%) {2%}
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Don’t know 20% (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)

Among Men

  • Rand Paul 11% (15%) {18%} [18%] (18%)
  • Mike Huckabee 11%
  • Scott Walker 9% (6%) {6%} [5%] (2%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% (11%) {11%} [13%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 8% (13%) {14%} [11%] (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% (12%) {9%} [10%] (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% (11%) {14%} [13%]
  • Marco Rubio 7% (10%) {8%} [10%] (19%)
  • Rick Perry 4%
  • John Kasich 3% (3%) {2%}
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Don’t know 15% (14%) {14%} [15%] (14%)

Among Women 

  • Chris Christie 11% (11%) {21%} [15%] (11%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% (12%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
  • Mike Huckabee 10%
  • Rand Paul 10% (11%) {9%} [17%] (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (15%) {9%} [10%] (17%)
  • Scott Walker 7% (5%) {4%} [2%] (2%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (7%) {12%} [7%]
  • Marco Rubio 4% (7%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • John Kasich 1% (1%) {1%}
  • Bobby Jindal 0% (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Don’t know 25% (30%) {21%} [22%] (23%)

Survey of 620 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted June 24-30, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 – April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:27 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 41% 40% 40% 39% 41% 41% 42% 41% 40% 41% 38% 40% 40% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 38% 37% 40% 41% 38% 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from June 16-22, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:53 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 22%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 42%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:51 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

July 7, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%) {48%} [55%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (39%) {39%} [35%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%) {46%} [51%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% (38%) {42%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (50%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (46%) {43%} [44%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% (37%) {40%} [38%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {49%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {38%}

Among Independents

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (43%) {36%} [43%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (37%) {45%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (41%) {34%} [39%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 32% (32%) {45%} [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (45%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 33% (34%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (39%) {29%} [28%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 33% (34%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {38%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 30% {43%}

Among Moderates 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (57%) {61%} [71%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 21% (24%) {23%} [20%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (55%) {59%} [59%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 25% (28%) {29%} [28%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (56%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 26% (27%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (50%) {47%} [52%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 25% (31%) {32%} [29%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {61%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 19% {22%}
Among Men
  • Rand Paul (R) 48% (48%) {49%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (42%) {38%} [49%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (42%) {52%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (42%) {35%} [45%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (46%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (40%) {34%} [40%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (41%) {48%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {40%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39% {46%}

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (54%) {56%} [62%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 28% (31%) {31%} [27%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (55%) {56%} [57%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 33% (35%) {34%} [31%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (53%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 32% (34%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (52%) {50%} [49%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 31% (32%) {32%} [34%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {57%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 31% {31%}
Survey of 578 registered voters was conducted June 26-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (35%) {35%} [36%] Democrat; 27% (30%) {30%} [29%] Republican; 38% (35%) {35%} [35%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (28%) {31%} [33%] Moderate; 23% (26%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 18% (19%) {17%} [18%] Somewhat liberal; 14% (14%) {14%} [13%] Very conservative; 14% (12%) {12%} [11%] Very liberal.Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 – June 2, 2013 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:21 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 42%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 10:20 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

July 6, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 49% [51%] (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 43% [43%] (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 37% [34%] (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
  • Disapprove 54% [59%] (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 76% [84%] (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 23% [14%] (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 50% [55%] (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 39% [36%] (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)

Among Men 

  • Approve 53% [56%] (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 38% [38%] (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)

Among Women

  • Approve 47% [47%] (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 45% [42%] (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 717 registered voters was conducted June 25-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% [38%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% [21%] (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 42% [41%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 – April 1, 2014 are in square brackets. February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 – December 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:42 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

July 5, 2014

Bipartisanship?

There are serious national issues which should be bipartisan, according to conventional political thinking.

The problem today, however, is there does not seem to be any issue, large or small, which has not become a partisan battleground.

Here are some issues which will continue to plague the nation, and almost certainly will become more a threat to broad national interests as they are allowed to fester while politicians of both parties make it impossible to resolve them with non-partisan action:

Public education

Public pensions

Healthcare

Immigration reform

Domestic security

Foreign policy involving national security

Civil rights

Employment of technological innovation

Here, on the other hand, are some other issues which are inherently part of the historic partisanship between the two major political parties:

Government regulation

Environmental priorities

Foreign policy involving domestic economy

Taxes

Roles of the executive, legislative and judicial branches

Relationship between the federal and state governments

Economic rights

Public entitlements

Let me address briefly the latter first. Partisanship is a vital part of the American representative democracy. Some issues will always be contended, and properly so, at the local, state and national political levels. It is completely unrealistic to seek and expect from elected officials constant “bipartisan” agreement on these issues; they are part of the fundamental political “tension” between the evolving “liberal,” “centrist,” and “conservative” philosophies that most Americans hold. On occasion, there may be a consensus on a specific one of these issues, but generally they are resolved through the election process. Majorities, when they exist, enact laws
concerning these issues.

On the other hand, some of the most pressing and contentious issues today in the U.S. are only “ideological” because individual leaders and groups have imposed themselves on them or have taken them “hostage” to the larger electorate by employing essentially non-democratic means. As examples of the latter are the uses of non-representative caucuses, conventions, regulations imposed without accountability, and the widespread lack of transparency in government at all levels, to force conditions and rules not supported by a majority of voters.

Some political figures are today employing the technique of “creating” laws, regulations, and conditions knowing full well they do not have public support, and also believing that once in place, these laws, regulations and conditions will not be repealed. This is exactly contrary not only to what the so-called “founding fathers’ desired, but also contrary to the evolution of the consensus of the public interest as the Republic has grown and matured. Like the recent rise of “administrative law,” this legislative phenomena operates deliberately outside of the “consent of the governed.”

As our Republic has aged and grown affluent, a certain extralegal “impatience” has overtaken some on both the left and the right. Authentic liberalism and authentic conservatism, as well as authentic centrism cannot survive, much less flourish, in such a political environment.

The question is whether the present election cycles and the increasing institutional obscurantism will give the voters timely and sufficient oversight to governmental activity.

If not, the always recurring potholes in public life will not be repaired in time or sufficiently. Bipartisanship is often an abstraction and not always a cure-all to this dilemma. In an “information age,” solutions are found in the direction of accurate and fairly presented information, openly discussed and debated, and available to all citizens.

The United States is inherently a majoritarian nation.  Minority views, and those who hold them, enjoy freedom and protections of their rights. One of those rights is the opportunity to persuade those who hold a majority view to change their minds. But minority views cannot be imposed. The electorate are the true “market” of a healthy democracy. Bureaucracies exist to serve, not to give orders.

When this is fully realized, and voters can understand what is at stake, then decisions and choices must be deliberately made by their representatives. If those decisions are not made, the representatives must be replaced in elections, no matter how long they have previously served.

This is not a prescription for political idealism. It is a prescription for critical realism, national survival and prosperity.

——————————————————————————————–
Copyright (c) 2014 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

by @ 12:12 pm. Filed under Opinion

July 4, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Presidential Poll

Thinking about the United States Presidents we have had since World War II, which one would you consider the best president?

  • Ronald Reagan 35% (28%)
  • Bill Clinton 18% (25%)
  • John Kennedy 15% (18%)
  • Barack Obama 8%
  • Dwight Eisenhower 5% (5%)
  • Harry Truman 4% (7%)
  • Lyndon Johnson 3% (1%)
  • George Bush Sr. 3% (2%)
  • Jimmy Carter 2% (5%)
  • George W. Bush 1% (3%)
  • Gerald Ford 1% (1%)
  • Richard Nixon 1% (1%)

Among Men

  • Ronald Reagan 37% (36%)
  • Bill Clinton 18% (23%)
  • John Kennedy 14% (14%)
  • Dwight Eisenhower 6% (5%)
  • Harry Truman 6% (8%)
  • Barack Obama 6%
  • Lyndon Johnson 4% (1%)
  • George Bush Sr. 2% (2%)
  • Jimmy Carter 2% (4%)
  • George W. Bush 1% (2%)
  • Richard Nixon 1% (1%)
  • Gerald Ford 0% (0%)

Among Women

  • Ronald Reagan 33% (20%)
  • Bill Clinton 18% (28%)
  • John Kennedy 15% (21%)
  • Barack Obama 10%
  • George Bush Sr. 4% (3%)
  • Dwight Eisenhower 4% (5%)
  • Harry Truman 4% (6%)
  • Jimmy Carter 3% (5%)
  • Lyndon Johnson 2% (1%)
  • George W. Bush 1%
  • Gerald Ford 1% (1%)
  • Richard Nixon 1% (1%)

Which of these twelve presidents we have had since World War II would you consider the worst president?

  • Barack Obama 33%
  • George W. Bush 28% (34%)
  • Richard Nixon 13% (17%)
  • Jimmy Carter 8% (13%)
  • Lyndon Johnson 3% (4%)
  • Bill Clinton 3% (16%)
  • Ronald Reagan 3% (3%)
  • Gerald Ford 2% (2%)
  • George Bush Sr. 2% (3%)
  • Dwight Eisenhower 1% (0%)
  • John Kennedy 0% (1%)
  • Harry Truman 0% (1%)

Among Men

  • Barack Obama 34%
  • George W. Bush 26% (33%)
  • Jimmy Carter 11% (18%)
  • Richard Nixon 11% (15%)
  • Lyndon Johnson 4% (5%)
  • Ronald Reagan 4% (3%)
  • Gerald Ford 3% (2%)
  • Bill Clinton 2% (14%)
  • George Bush Sr. 1% (3%)
  • Dwight Eisenhower 0% (0%)
  • John Kennedy 0% (1%)
  • Harry Truman 0% (1%)

Among Women

  • Barack Obama 32%
  • George W. Bush 30% (35%)
  • Richard Nixon 15% (18%)
  • Jimmy Carter 6% (8%)
  • Lyndon Johnson 3% (4%)
  • Bill Clinton 3% (18%)
  • Ronald Reagan 3% (3%)
  • George Bush Sr. 2% (4%)
  • Dwight Eisenhower 1% (0%)
  • Gerald Ford 0% (2%)
  • John Kennedy 0% (1%)
  • Harry Truman 0% (1%)

Survey of 1,446 registered voters was conducted June 24-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 26% Republican; 35% Independent. Results from the poll conducted May 23-30, 2006 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:21 am. Filed under Poll Watch, Presidential History

July 3, 2014

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Scott (R) 41% [44%] (44%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 39% [43%] (47%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [5%] (3%)
  • Unsure 15% [9%] (6%)

Survey of 1,232 registered voters was conducted June 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [37%] (37%) Republican; 36% [36%] (36%) Democrat; 27% [27%] (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 23-25, 2014are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:11 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 10%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 10:03 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

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