July 24, 2015

Mike Huckabee and More “Judicial Tyranny”

This week the Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals struck down the strong right to life law in North Dakota that would have banned abortions after a babies heart-beat was detected. Mike Huckabee has come out strong against this ruling stating that the ruling was “an unconstitutional, immoral act of judicial tyranny” and that “No amount of liberal legalistic logic can refute what science has already settled and God has ordained: life begins at conception.” Huckabee continued stating, “We need to end the disgusting disregard for human life that is the foundation for the infanticide that is beneath the dignity of our nation.”

Mike Huckabee is the one and only candidate that has called for an abortion ban once the heartbeat of the child can be detected. It spits in the face of those who laud Scott Walker as being the best social conservative in the 2016 field after he recently signed a 20-week abortion ban. It is a complete 180 degree difference than John Kasich, who actually fought against a similar bill in Ohio.

In this game called politics we continually ask, specifically of Mike Huckabee, why take such risks? Why make the comments he makes? Why push so hard when it is clear that society is not going in the same direction he would like it to go? Our own Race responders will point to poll after poll showing support for gay marriage and that social issues plays very little roll in who the majority of Americans will vote for. So why waste the time, the energy, and the validity among so many?

The answer is clear: Mike Huckabee is one of the few candidates who doesn’t waver, doesn’t change, doesn’t back down from the positions that he holds so true to. Look at the flip-flopping we saw with the 2012 candidates, Obama and Romney. Look to Donald Trump. Look to Rubio and Bush. Look at almost every candidate in this race and you will find an opinion or belief that they have “changed their mind” on over the last decade. Did they really change what they believe? Or was it the right political move?

Mike Huckabee has no “right political move” except to stand up for what he knows is right.

More information regarding the ruling and Huckabee’s response can be found at Lifesite News.

  9:31 am
2016 Candidates, Mike Huckabee  

Poll Watch: Rubio Collapses, Walker Surges in Florida

Mason-Dixon Florida Republican Primary

  • Bush – 28% (30)
  • Rubio – 16% (31)
  • Walker – 13% (2)
  • Trump – 11% (-)
  • Huckabee – 5% (-)
  • Cruz – 4% (8)
  • Paul – 3% (7)
  • Kasich – 3% (-)
  • Fiorina – 2% (-)
  • Carson – 1% (-)
  • Jindal – 1% (-)
  • Christie – 0% (-)
  • Graham – 0% (-)
  • Pataki – 0% (-)
  • Perry – 0% (-)
  • Santorum – 0% (-)
  • Undecided – 13% (17)

Survey of 500 registered Republicans was done July 20-23 and has a margin of error of ±4.5%. Numbers in parentheses are from the early April Mason-Dixon poll.

The decline in Rubio’s numbers — both in Florida and nationally — coincide with Rubio’s decision to maintain a quiet and low profile during the summer months. As Politico notes:

While Rubio has kept a relatively low profile since his announcement, Bush began barnstorming early states after he officially entered the race in mid-June. Unlike Rubio, Bush has numerous well-publicized town-hall events and frequently takes questions from scrums of reporters and voters.

The question, of course, is whether Rubio’s numbers will begin going back up once he puts himself back in the public eye – or if Jeb Bush will have managed to consolidate enough support by then to run away with the nomination.

  9:00 am
Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Poll Watch  

Return of the R4’16 Endorsement Chart

A staple of any primary campaign is candidates collecting endorsements from fellow politicians, as a show of strength and as a way to amass an army of surrogates. During the past two primaries, we’ve tracked those endorsements here at Race with our own Endorsement Chart — and we’re debuting the 2016 version of that chart this morning.

For the uninitiated among us, we divide endorsements up into five categories in declining order of importance:

Group I: Sitting Governors
Group II: Current U.S. Senators and Representatives
Group III: Current Lt Governors, Attorneys General, and other notable statewide officials
Group IV: Former Governors, U.S. Senators, and U.S. Representatives
Group V: RNC Members

To be sure, there are more endorsements to be had than those that fit into those five categories. Our chart doesn’t track celebrity endorsements or endorsements by former cabinet members, for example. Instead, we try to focus on the core endorsements that provide a solid foundation to measuring how the candidates are doing.

Endorsements matter, especially in the Republican primary: dating back to 1976 when primaries started to matter, the nominee has always been the candidate with the largest number of endorsements. Candidates simply must have a wide swath of support, particularly from Senators, Representatives and Governors, to win a primary race. (Interestingly, this isn’t true in the Democratic primaries where insurgent candidates lacking that sort of establishment support can win.) So as this campaign unfolds over the next eight months or so, keeping one eye on the R4’16 Endorsement Chart will be another good way of understanding the state of the race.

Names of all the endorsers can be found below the fold. And, as always, I’ll rely on you, the contributors and commenters at Race42016, to bring to my attention any endorsements I missed.

To the chart!

Group I Group II Group III Group IV Group V
Bush 14 1 7
Christie 2 4 1 5
Paul 9 3
Kasich 3 8
Cruz 6 2
Walker 3 1 1
Huckabee 1 2
Rubio 1 1 1
Graham 1 1
Perry 1
Santorum 1

No endorsements yet: Carson, Fiorina, Jindal, Pataki, Trump.

(more…)

  8:00 am
Endorsements  

Friday Open Thread (Catholic Edition)

I’ve been dilatory regarding Open Threads this week, but the gap has been well-covered.

Remember, if you’re tempted to drop an off-topic comment into another thread, bring it to this one instead.

As a conversation-starter:

 

2016 Is a Very Catholic Year

Historically, Catholics have leaned strongly to the Democratic Party, but that has been changing in recent decades. Nothing shows the change so clearly as this year’s Republican field, which features six (count ’em – 6) Catholics: Bush, Christie, Jindal, Pataki, Rubio, and Santorum.

Only three Roman Catholics have ever run for president on a major party ticket, and all were Democrats. But that may be about to change. So far six Catholics (including some early favorites) are running for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination.

And that’s not all:

This bumper crop of Catholic presidential candidates comes at a time when the leadership of the Republican Party is, by many measures, becoming increasingly Catholic. For instance, the House of Representatives had 69 Catholic Republicans at the beginning of the current, 114th Congress – a group that has nearly doubled in size in the last six years and includes House Speaker John A. Boehner of Ohio and Majority Whip Steve Scalise of Louisiana.

In addition, a Roman Catholic, Wisconsin Rep. Paul D. Ryan, was the GOP’s vice presidential candidate in 2012. Ryan was only the second Catholic ever to run on the Republican ticket, the first being William Edward Miller (a New York representative who was Barry Goldwater’s running mate in 1964).

Martin O’Malley is the only Catholic in the Democrat’s race, though the first-ever Catholic VP, Joe Biden, is clearly thinking about jumping in.

I grew up in an era when the Democratic Party was the default home for Catholics. My Republican Catholic parents were viewed with bemusement by most of our fellow parishioners at St. Francis Xavier church.

 

July 23, 2015

Punching Holes Through the Darkness

Lucas Karr has been part of the Race community for a number of years now, formerly known as both Huckafan and Huckarubio. He writes specifically on items focused on Mike Huckabee as well as social issues.

Lucas became strongly interested in politics, specifically the fight against abortion, after taking part in a number of missions trips with Youth With a Mission and teaming up with the Bound for Life group that has been at the Capitol building in Washington D.C. for over a decade. They are best known for their red “Life” tape across their mouths signifying the babies that will never have their voices heard.

Lucas has his MBA and enjoys the data behind politics. It also makes him susceptible to twisting said data from time to time, something he has become very good at after 17 years of fantasy football negotiations. He holds social values very high and also enjoys good conversation with his peers.

 

Last Sunday my family attended a new church about seven minutes from our house. We recently moved and have been searching for the right fit. Let me preface this by saying, this was not the right fit. But an illustration the pastor used has stuck with me this week; so it must be at least relevant enough to make note of.

I couldn’t even tell you the pastor’s name. It was, oddly enough, his final week at this small church. This story was the basis for his final sermon: a call to arms, if you will, for his sheep. He spoke of a young boy in England, in the mid 1850’s; he claimed it was Robert Lewis Stevenson, but could not confirm the validity of this claim.

The young lad was often ill and the local doctor had to be called on regularly to treat his symptoms and make sure it was nothing serious. One cold night the boy was in bed with flu-like symptoms and his mother put out a request for the doctor to come as soon as he could. The town doctor made his way over, through the cold, dark night, to check on the boy.

When the doctor and the boy’s parents arrived in his bedroom, the boy was standing at the window with it wide open and cold air pouring into the room. They quickly pulled him away and asked, “What are you doing?!” The boy replied that he was watching the men “punch holes in the darkness”.

You see, every night the lamp lighters would go through the town and would light the oil lamps that sat atop the lamp post. Each new light pierced through an otherwise completely dark street so much so that it looked like someone was “punching a hole” straight through the darkness and allowing the light on the other side of some dark curtain to enter the scene.

It did not take long for me to picture the “dark” society we currently live in; A society where race relations hasn’t been worse for at least a generation; A society where not only do we murder over one million innocent children every year, but apparently we also harvest and sell their body parts; A society that employs a “do what feels right” attitude in almost every area of their lives, including the sacred act of marriage. The America we live in is a dark place.

Enter the hole puncher.

There are very few candidates on other side of the aisle who are willing to stand up and punch holes in the darkness on social issue after social issue in the way that Mike Huckabee has done and continues to do.

On the issue of gay marriage Huckabee stated that “If the Republicans want to lose guys like me and a whole bunch of still God-fearing, Bible-believing people, go ahead and just abdicate on this issue — and go ahead and say abortion doesn’t matter, either. Because at that point, you lose me. I’m gone. I’ll become an independent. I’ll start finding people that have guts to stand. I’m tired of this.”

This statement was made before the SCOTUS decision and Huckabee continues to fight for marriage to be between one man and one woman, even stating that “Presidents have understood that the Supreme Court cannot make a law…the legislature has to make it, the executive branch has to sign it and enforce it. And the notion that the Supreme Court comes up with the ruling and that automatically subjects the two other branches to following it defies everything there is about the three equal branches of government.”

Mike Huckabee seems to be one of the few candidates who is not only stating his disagreement with the ruling, but flat out saying he would not implement changes as President in support of the ruling. Other candidates, at best, have said it should be an issue that the states decide. But not Huckabee. He continues to punch through the darkness that has taken over the Sodom and Gomorrahs of the world. He continues to support the true family unit in a way that no one else does.

On the ongoing issue of abortion and the most recent viral videos of Planned Abortionhood selling the body parts of babies, Huckabee has regularly stood where others often dare not go. If Mike Huckabee had his way, he would punch so many holes in the darkness of abortion that we would end it for good in this country.

Huckabee states that “It’s not enough to say we’ll end funding for these butchers at Planned Parenthood.  We need to end the disgusting disregard for human life that is the foundation for the infanticide that is beneath the dignity of our nation.  We didn’t end slavery by just limiting how many slaves a person could own or for how long—we recognized that it is a violation of basic human rights.  Let’s stop this slaughter and ask God’s forgiveness for not doing it sooner.”

While governor, Huckabee signed a partial birth ban, established waiting periods, required parental notification, and many other laws in order to limit the number of abortions in his state. A Mike Huckabee presidency would regularly bring this issue to the forefront to be discussed, with scientific reasoning, in order to turn the tide of the hearts and minds of the American people.

Governor Huckabee also seeks to build a true bridge between white and black Americans. In 1998 Huckabee earned 48% of the black vote while running for governor. He regularly polls very well with those earning under $50,000, which in many cases equates to poorer communities often consisting of larger African-American populations. He hits the right note with the idea that people don’t need a hand out, they need a hand up; the idea that we should not be discussing a minimum wage, but a maximum wage; Huckabee focuses not on the actual color of someone’s skin, but on their situation. It just happens that he is addressing situations that many black Americans find themselves in.

And Mike Huckabee sees the link between the three of these. The decay of the family unit, specifically with single mother homes, as well as the highest abortion rates are seen within the black community. Huckabee sees the opportunity to tackle all of these issues at the same time.

Whether it is the darkness of the homosexual agenda, the darkness of abortion and its continual disregard for life or decency, the darkness of race relations, or the basic overreaching darkness of an America that has turned from its foundations in seeking after the One True God, Mike Huckabee will not stop punching holes to let in the light. I for one, am ready to help him keep punching.

  2:24 pm
2016 Candidates, Mike Huckabee  

Hillary’s Impending Demise

Charles Krauthammer: The more people see her, the lower her numbers go.

Chuck Todd: There’s really something quite not right about Hillary’s campaign.

The recent Quinnipiac polls in Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia have sent shock waves throughout the Left. Jeb, Marco, and Scott all beat her handily in all 3 states, despite her winning the women’s vote in all 3. Besides the indication that there’s some underlying truth behind identity politics, the really telling truth is how badly she is losing the men’s vote in all three states…..none of which we’ve won recently.

It’s well known that people find her untrustworthy: it’s an established component of her political persona. A worse problem is that she does so badly on the issue of caring about people’s problems and lives. The best she did in this regard was that only 50% of those polled in Virginia thought that she cares “about people like you.” Her numbers in Iowa and Colorado were significantly worse.

Remember that she’s running as a Democrat, and that question is their bread and butter. If people think a Democrat doesn’t really care about people like them, they have no shot.

Now that there’s significant doubt as to her ability to win The General, the Left will return to its time-honored practice of eating its dead. Her fundraising will start to drop. Jeb is outraising her by a margin of 2 to 1 already, but how many large donors are going to continue to sink money into a campaign with declining prospects of success?

It’s not going to make it less likely that Joe Biden enters, and some of those close to him have indicated that it’s likely that he will. It’s not going to deflate Bernie’s surging campaign. They, and other rivals, will start to go more negative about her.

You might think I’m banking too much on these polls, that she will return to large leads in the future, but I see no signs of that in states that really matter to the outcome of the election. She has been faltering long before they came out and many Democrats have been worried about her campaign for months.

Now they’re a lot more than worried.

  1:05 pm
Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden  

Race 4 2016 Weekly Readers Poll (Re-Post)

Since it has been bounced off the front page, I decided to re-post the link to our weekly readers poll so those who have not yet had a chance to vote can do so. Have at it!

——————————————————————————————–

It’s Monday Thursday and that means it’s time to re-post our weekly Race readers poll. I have a lot going on so there’s only five questions this week and you have to login with Google to vote.

Last week we got 125 responses, our most yet! Senator Marco Rubio continues to be the top choice of the Race family, coming in with 27.6%. Governors Mike Huckabee (15.4%) and Scott Walker (11.4%) came in second and third, respectively.

While Rubio garners the most support, a plurality (34.1%) of respondents said they expect Governor Jeb Bush to ultimately win the Party’s nomination. Rubio comes in second on this question with 27.6% and both Walker and Huckabee both are expected to take the stage in Cleveland next summer by 11.4% of respondents.

By a wide margin, 71.3% to 28.7%, Race readers believe Donald Trump’s presence in the race is largely negative. Opinions are split as to when Trump’s candidacy will end but the top choice was Super Tuesday (31.7%) and 32.2% expect Ben Carson to drop out around the time of the South Carolina primary.

Unsurprisingly to those of us who have been here for a while, 58.7% of Race readers were Mitt Romney supporters in 2012 with none of the other candidates reaching double-digits. The candidate yours truly supported, libertarian Representative Ron Paul, garnered 9.1%, same as former House Speaker Newt Gingrich.

62.6% of Race readers do not listen to conservative talk radio and a plurality (41.5%) do not watch cable news. Of those who do get some of their news from cable TV, Fox News (40.7%) is the run away winner.

Race 4 2016 Weekly Readers Poll

  11:46 am
2016, 2016 Candidates, Misc.  

Poll Watch: Trump, Walker Lead Nationally

Public Policy Polling (D) National Republican Primary

  • Trump – 19% (-)
  • Walker – 17% (18)
  • Bush – 12% (11)
  • Carson – 10% (12)
  • Rubio – 10% (13)
  • Huckabee – 8% (12)
  • Cruz – 4% (10)
  • Fiorina – 4% (-)
  • Paul – 4% (9)
  • Christie – 3% (5)
  • Kasich – 3% (-)
  • Jindal – 1% (-)
  • Perry – 1% (2)
  • Santorum – 1% (-)
  • Gilmore – 0% (-)
  • Graham – 0% (-)
  • Pataki – 0% (-)
  • Undecided – 2% (7)

Survey of 524 Republican primary voters was conducted July 20-21 and has a margin of error of ±4.3%. Numbers from PPP’s May survey are in parentheses.

General Election Matchups

  • Clinton – 46%
  • Bush – 41%
  • Clinton – 47%
  • Carson – 39%
  • Clinton – 48%
  • Cruz – 40%
  • Clinton – 47%
  • Fiorina – 37%
  • Clinton – 46%
  • Huckabee – 40%
  • Clinton – 45%
  • Paul – 42%
  • Clinton – 46%
  • Rubio – 41%
  • Clinton – 50%
  • Trump – 37%
  • Clinton – 46%
  • Walker – 41%

Survey of 1,087 registered voters was conducted July 20-21 and has a margin of error of ±3%.

  9:21 am
Poll Watch  

Trump Threatens to Go Third Party

Well that didn’t take long – only a few days after promising to only run as a Republican, Trump threatens to bolt if the RNC isn’t “fair” to him. Here’s more from the Hill

Donald Trump says the chances that he will launch a third-party White House run will “absolutely” increase if the Republican National Committee is unfair to him during the 2016 primary season.

“The RNC has not been supportive. They were always supportive when I was a contributor. I was their fair-haired boy,” the business mogul told The Hill in a 40-minute interview from his Manhattan office at Trump Tower on Wednesday. “The RNC has been, I think, very foolish.”

Pressed on whether he would run as a third-party candidate if he fails to clinch the GOP nomination, Trump said that “so many people want me to, if I don’t win.”
“I’ll have to see how I’m being treated by the Republicans,” Trump said. “Absolutely, if they’re not fair, that would be a factor.”

__________________________________________________________________________

-Matthew Newman is an engineer and blogger who also writes at Old Line Elephant and Red Maryland. Follow Newman on Twitter @mdmrn.

  7:41 am
2016, Donald Trump  

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