April 8, 2014

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 29%
  • Chris Christie 12% (15.72%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% (15.58%)
  • Rand Paul 11% (14.45%)
  • Bobby Jindal 8% (9.49%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (1.70%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% (10.34%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (3.97%)
  • Not sure 17% (17.14%)

Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:42 pm. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Mississippi Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

  • Thad Cochran 52% (54%)
  • Chris McDaniel 35% (31%)
  • Not sure 12% (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Thad Cochran 59% (64%) / 30% (28%) {+29%}
  • Chris McDaniel 37% (33%) / 31% (17%) {+6%}

Survey of 570 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 3-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 74% (78%) Republican; 2% (0%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 59% (56%) Very conservative; 32% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 9% (9%) Moderate; 0% (1%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 17-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:31 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% {44%} [42%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (41%)
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Among Men

  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 46% {41%} [42%] (39%) [44%] (38%)
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 45% {49%} [47%] (49%) [49%] (49%)

Among Women

  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% {46%} [41%] (51%) [46%] (44%)
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 43% {41%} [40%] (38%) [41%] (41%)

Survey of 663 Kentucky voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014.  Party ID: 54% {52%} [52%] (53%) [50%] (51%) Democrat; 38% {36%} [39%] (37%) [35%] (39%) Republican; 8% {12%} [9%] (11%) [15%] (10%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-26, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:25 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 41% [40%] (41%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 36% [42%] (36%)
  • Not sure 23% [18%] (23%)

Among Men

  • Gary Peters (D) 40% [35%] (40%) 
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 40% [50%] (42%)
  • Not sure 20% [14%] (19%)

Among Women

  • Gary Peters (D) 42% [45%] (42%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 32% [34%] (30%)
  • Not sure 26% [21%] (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Gary Peters 26% [22%] (18%) / 27% [21%] (16%) {-1%}
  • Terri Lynn Land 28% [34%] (29%) / 31% [23%] (21%) {-3%}

Survey of 825 registered voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [35%] (36%) Democrat; 30% [30%] (29%) Republican; 35% [35%] (35%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 28% [31%] (33%) Moderate; 26% [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [17%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 14% [14%] (13%) Very conservative; 12% [12%] (11%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 – June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:23 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from March 31-April 6, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 27%
  • Somewhat approve 19%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 42%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:58 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 7, 2014

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Bruce Rauner (R) 43%
  • Pat Quinn (D) 35%
  • Unsure 22% 

Survey of 806 registered Illinois voters was conducted March 21-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 28% Republican; 33% Independent/Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:11 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 26%
  • Somewhat approve 20%
  • Somewhat disapprove 10%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:59 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 6, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Primary Poll 

  • Mary Landrieu (D) 39.3%
  • Bill Cassidy (R) 26.3%
  • Paul Hollis (R) 3.4%
  • Rob Maness (R) 2.6%
  • Undecided 28.4%

Who would be your second choice for U.S. Senate?

  • Paul Hollis (R) 17.0%
  • Bill Cassidy (R) 15.7%
  • Rob Maness (R) 9.7%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 3.6%
  • Undecided 53.9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Bill Cassidy 25.6% / 11.9% {+13.7%}
  • Mary Landrieu 41.0% / 52.2% {-11.2%}

Do you believe that Mary Landrieu has performed her job well enough to deserve to be re-elected or do you think it is time to give a new person a chance?

  • Deserves to be re-elected 34.1%
  • Time to give new person a chance 56.2%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mary Landrieu is doing as U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 41.8%
  • Disapprove 52.9%

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted March 24-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 48% Democrat; 36% Republican; 12% Independent; 4% Other.  Political ideology: 51% Conservative; 30% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:45 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 24%
  • Somewhat approve 22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 41%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 11:42 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 5, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 26%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 38%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 50%
  • Disapprove 49%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 12:16 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 4, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Bobby Jindal (R) 45.0%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.4%
  • Undecided 14.6%

Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of Bobby Jindal.  

  • Favorable 45.0%
  • Unfavorable 46.7%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bobby Jindal is doing as governor?

  • Approve 46.7%
  • Disapprove 48.5%

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted March 24-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 48% Democrat; 36% Republican; 12% Independent; 4% Other.  Political ideology: 51% Conservative; 30% Moderate; 13% Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:49 pm. Filed under 2016, Bobby Jindal, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Oregon 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Jeff Merkley (D) 47%
  • Jason Conger (R) 40%
  • Jeff Merkley (D) 46%
  • Jason Conger (R) 34%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeff Merkley 39% / 32% {+7%}
  • Jason Conger 11% / 16% {-5%}
  • Monica Wheby 7% / 14% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeff Merkley is handling his job as Senator?

  • Approve 41%
  • Disapprove 33%

Survey of 670 likely voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.91 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 34% Republican; 23% Independent/Other. Ideology: 40% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 23% Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:29 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 26%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 13%
  • Strongly disapprove 36%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 50%
  • Disapprove 49%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:12 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 3, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 23%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 39%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 51%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 7:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

I’d like to get your feelings toward some of our political leaders and other people who have been in the news. I’ll read the name of a person and I’d like you to rate that person using something called the feeling thermometer. You can choose any number between 0 and 100. The higher the number, the warmer or more favorable you feel toward that person, the lower the number, the colder or less favorable.

Mean Score

  • Elizabeth Warren 48.6 [50.7] (49.2)
  • Hillary Clinton 47.8 [48.5] (52.1)
  • Paul Ryan 47.4 [46.7] (43.0)
  • Bobby Jindal 47.1 [49.6] (45.2)
  • Scott Walker 46.6 [49.2] (41.1)
  • Marco Rubio 46.3 [47.1] (46.5)
  • Mike Huckabee 46.1 [51.0]
  • Rand Paul 45.7 [47.1] (44.8)
  • Chris Christie 45.2 [55.5] (53.1)
  • Jeb Bush 44.7 [45.1] (40.4)
  • John Kasich 43.6 [49.5]
  • Joe Biden 42.7 [43.7] (46.2)
  • Ted Cruz 42.5 [43.9] (46.8)
  • Peter King 41.6 [39.7] (43.6)
  • Andrew Cuomo 41.2 [43.0] (43.9)
  • Rick Santorum 40.9 [41.0] (40.7)
  • Rick Perry 40.2 [41.2]
  • Howard Dean 40.1 [37.2]
  • Martin O’Malley 40.0 [42.1] (45.7)
  • Brian Schweitzer 37.5 [40.6]
Percent Scoring >50

  • Hillary Clinton 49% [47%] (49%)
  • Joe Biden 37% [37%] (39%)
  • Paul Ryan 35% [36%] (28%)
  • Chris Christie 34% [45%] (37%)
  • Jeb Bush 32% [30%] (22%)
  • Mike Huckabee 30% [36%]
  • Rand Paul 29% [33%] (28%)
  • Marco Rubio 27% [28%] (25%)
  • Rick Santorum 24% [25%] (24%)
  • Ted Cruz 23% [25%] (15%)
  • Rick Perry 23% [24%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% [25%] (21%)
  • Scott Walker 20% [20%] (12%)
  • Bobby Jindal 20% [19%] (16%)
  • Howard Dean 19% [14%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 18% [21%] (20%)
  • John Kasich 11% [13%]
  • Peter King 10% [9%] (10%)
  • Martin O’Malley 5% [6%] (7%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 5% [6%]

Haven’t Heard Enough About to Form an Opinion 

  • Brian Schweitzer 81% [82%]
  • Martin O’Malley 79% [77%] (78%)
  • Peter King 68% [66%] (71%)
  • John Kasich 64% [68%]
  • Scott Walker 54% [57%] (65%)
  • Bobby Jindal 53% [54%] (56%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 46% [46%] (51%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 41% [38%] (41%)
  • Howard Dean 40% [43%]
  • Ted Cruz 38% [36%] (60%)
  • Marco Rubio 34% [34%] (36%)
  • Rick Santorum 30% [28%] (30%)
  • Rick Perry 30% [27%]
  • Rand Paul 26% [22%] (28%)
  • Mike Huckabee 24% [20%]
  • Paul Ryan 20% [18%] (24%)
  • Jeb Bush 18% [18%] (20%)
  • Chris Christie 18% [17%] (21%)
  • Joe Biden 4% [7%] (8%)
  • Hillary Clinton 1% [2%] (2%)

Survey of 1,578 registered voters was conducted March 26-31, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [28%] (35%) Democrat; 24% [26%] (23%) Republican; 35% [37%] (33%) Independent; 8% [9%] (8%) Other/Don’t know. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 6:12 pm. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: WPA Opinion Research (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

WPA Research (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 14%
  • Rand Paul 10%
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • Paul Ryan 7%
  • Jeb Bush 7%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Rick Santorum 5%
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • Marco Rubio 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
  • Someone else 2%
  • Undecided 26%

Survey of 402 Republican voters was conducted March 30, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:36 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Marketing Resource Group (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

MRG (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 40%
  • Gary Peters (D) 38%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted March 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36.5% Independent; 3% Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:08 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 55% (58%)
  • Joe Biden 5% (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 4% (7%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (2%)
  • Howard Dean 0% (1%)
  • Some other candidate 5% (3%)
  • Don’t know 29% (23%)

Survey of 524 registered Democratic voters was conducted March 25-31, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

April 2, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 24%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 39%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 50%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 5:00 pm. Filed under 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 51% (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 43% (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 34% (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%){30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
  • Disapprove 59% (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 84% (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 14% (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 55% (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 36% (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)

Among Men 

  • Approve 56% (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 38% (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)

Among Women

  • Approve 47% (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 42% (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 690 registered voters was conducted March 30 – April 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 41% (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 – December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:11 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

Among Likely Voters

  • Mark Harris (R) 47%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 43%
  • Ted Alexander (R) 46%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 44%
  • Heather Grant (R) 46%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 44%
  • Greg Brannon (R) 47%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 45%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 46%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 45%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as United States Senator?

Among Registered Voters 

  • Approve 38%
  • Disapprove 50%

Survey of 1.930 registered voters, including 1,489 likely voters, was conducted March 27-31, 2014 for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 2.6 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 42% (42%) Democrat; 32% (33%) Republican; 20% (20%) Independent. Ideology: 40% (39%) Moderate; 36% (38%) Conservative; 18% (17%) Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

  • Thom Tillis 23% [27%] (28%)
  • Greg Brannon 15% [13%] (15%)
  • Mark Harris 11% [9%] (6%)
  • Heather Grant 6% [5%] (11%)
  • Ted Alexander 6% [1%] (7%)
  • Jim Snyder 3% [5%] (4%)
  • Edward Kryn 2% [0%] (3%)
  • Alex Lee Bradshaw 1% [2%] (4%)
  • Undecided 34% [38%] (23%)

Survey of 433 likely GOP primary voters was conducted March 27-31, 2014 for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 19-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

April 1, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 22%
  • Somewhat approve 26%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 39%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 51%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:52 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

March 31, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from March 3-March 9, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 7:19 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Mississippi 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Mississippi 2014 Senate Poll 

  • Thad Cochran (R) 48%
  • Travis Childers (D) 31%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 12%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted March 26-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:03 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 25%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 38%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 50%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:57 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

March 30, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 24%
  • Somewhat approve 23%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 5:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

March 29, 2014

Romney Redux?

There are a number of serious Republicans interested in running for president, at this early point, in two years.

Some of them, such as Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio don’t seem to have a broad enough base that would enable them to win the nomination, but they have motivated and vocal supporters, and if they run, they will be notable factors in the Republican primaries and caucuses.

Others, including Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee and Rick Perry might be seen as figures of the past, and might not run (although Governor Perry is making serious noises about another run in 2016).

2012 vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, Governors Susana Martinez, Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal, and John Kasich are frequently mentioned, but have yet to indicate their serious interest in 2016.

The two figures who would probably be frontrunners, Governor Chris Christie and former Governor Jeb Bush, have current political problems to overcome (although it is more likely than not that one of these two men will be the GOP nominee).

On the other hand, if the field is large, the primaries and caucuses very bitter, AND the frontrunners falter, the resulting stalemate might propel forward a name which has not really been mentioned seriously, 2012 nominee Mitt Romney, back into contention.

Romney was perhaps the wrong candidate for 2012 because his persona played into the negative Democratic media campaign that year, and because he did not, at the end, assemble as competitive campaign as did Barack Obama. But 2016 promises a very different political environment. After two terms of Mr. Obama, the voters may be weary of any Democrat (as they were in 2008 of any Republican). We must await the results of the 2014 midterm elections to draw more precise and verified conclusions, but Obamacare almost alone seems to be moving the electorate to the GOP, and threatening to ruin the Democratic Party brand for years to come.

In spite of withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, changing our approach to the Middle East by diminishing our long alliance with Israel in a trade-off for (so-far) feckless relationships with other players in the region, and reducing our military and defenses, Mr. Obama’s numbers are very low in polls about his performance in foreign policy. He has been out-dueled so far in his relationship with Russian President Putin. His first term secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party in 2016, but, although she will surely try to do so, it might be difficult for her to separate herself from Mr. Obama and her own actions (including her “re-set” with Russia) when working for him. (Remember Hubert Humphrey attempting to do this in 1968?)

Mr. Romney’s assertion that Russia and Mr. Putin were a major problem for the U.S., an assertion he made in the 2012 campaign, and subsequently ridiculed by Mr. Obama, looks rather prescient these days. So do many of his views on the domestic issues he ran on in 2012.

Only twice in the past 100 years has a defeated Republican presidential nominee been renominated by his party. Thomas Dewey lost in 1944, and lost again in 1948. Richard Nixon lost in 1960, but won in 1968 (and again in 1972).

In spite of his recent public visibility, there are no indications that Mitt Romney is even thinking about running again in 2016, nor under present circumstances, would he be considered a serious candidate. But in spite of the large number of major GOP candidates, the Republican field is not yet in focus for one of them to win the nomination.

Considering Mr. Romney’s stature, it is not without some curious interest to speculate, and it’s only speculation, that, in certain circumstances, he might resolve a GOP convention stalemate, or even earlier, return to the campaign field.

I’m just saying.

_________________________________________________________

-Copyright (c) by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

Poll Watch: WPA Opinion Research (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

WPA Research (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Jeb Bush 11%
  • Chris Christie 9%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Paul Ryan 6%
  • Marco Rubio 6%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Rick Santorum 3%

Survey of 801 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted March 18-20, 2014.

Inside the numbers:

The survey also showed that the Republican and Republican-leaning respondents surveyed believed that Mr. Paul, Mr. Christie and Mr. Bush had the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton in a hypothetical general election showdown.

“Christie is clearly not the first choice among GOP voters overall, but when you look at which candidate Republicans believe can beat Hillary Clinton there is evidence that the theory a moderate Republican can beat a liberal Democrat still holds some sway,” the pollster noted.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:55 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch

Join The Community


Sponsored Ad

Meta

Site Meter

Recent Posts

Sponsored Ad

Categories

Archives

Search

Blogroll

Site Syndication

Main