September 17, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%](43%) {45%} [46%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]

(more…)

by @ 10:15 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 16, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [45%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% [46%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [42%] (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [38%] (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% [45%] (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [43%]
 Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49% [47%] (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 52% [48%] (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [39%] (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 50% [47%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% [49%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47% [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [42%]

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%] (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [42%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [42%] (46%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% [45%] (44%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [40%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% [38%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [43%] (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% [40%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [43%] 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 35% [40%]
 Survey of 1,328 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 51% [50%](47%) Republican; 26% [30%] (28%) Democrat; 22% [20%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 36% [31%] (32%) Moderate;24% [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [24%] (19%) Very conservative; 14% [16%] (16%) Somewhat liberal; 6% [7%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

September 14, 2014

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 11.17%
  • Mike Huckabee 11.17%
  • Marco Rubio 9.57%
  • Rand Paul 6.91%
  • Chris Christie 6.38%
  • Rick Perry 6.38%
  • Scott Walker 6.38%
  • Paul Ryan 5.85%
  • Ted Cruz 5.32%
  • Rick Santorum 5.32%
  • Bobby Jindal 2.66%
  • Jon Huntsman 2.13%
  • John Kasich 0.53%
  • Undecided 17.02%

Survey of 188 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:27 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 12, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 21%
  • Paul Ryan 12%
  • Rand Paul 7%
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Jeb Bush 6%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Rick Perry 5%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 4%
  • Ted Cruz 4%
  • Rick Santorum 3%

Survey of registered Republicans was conducted September 8-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:17 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

August 27, 2014

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 13.11% (11.02%)
  • Chris Christie 10.68% (7.09%)
  • Rick Perry 8.74% (3.15%)
  • Jeb Bush 7.28 (10.24%)
  • Rand Paul 6.80% (10.24%)
  • Paul Ryan 6.31% (6.30%)
  • Rick Santorum 5.83% (5.51%)
  • Marco Rubio 5.34% (5.51%)
  • Ted Cruz 4.85% (9.45%)
  • Scott Walker 4.37% (5.51%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2.91% (3.15%)
  • Jon Huntsman 0.97%
  • John Kasich 0.97%
  • Other 4.37%
  • Undecided 16.99% (3.15%)

Survey of 206 GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 23-36, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.83 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:46 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

August 23, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (41%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (44%)  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%

Survey of 903 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% (47%) Republican; 30% (28%) Democrat; 20% (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (32%) Moderate; 24% (19%) Very conservative; 22% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 7% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:35 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

August 7, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 55% (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (46%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (48%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%)

Among Independents

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 60% (56%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 29% (31%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 31% (33%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Rand Paul (R) 50% (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 30% (35%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% (33%)

Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (58%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% (30%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (64%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 29% (23%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (66%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 23% (24%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (60%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 24% (27%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 59% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (38%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 51% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (38%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (43%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 48% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (40%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% (36%)

Do you think Mike Huckabee should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • Think he should run 42% (39%)
  • Think he should not 45% (46%)
  • Not sure 13% (15%)

Survey of 1,066 Arkansas voters was conducted August 1-3, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (41%)Democrat; 34% (27%) Republican; 31% (32%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% (28%) Moderate; 27% (23%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (23%) Very conservative; 14% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:15 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 33% (38%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% (14%
  • Jeb Bush 10% (10%)
  • Chris Christie 8% (4%)
  • Rand Paul 7% (13%)
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Bobby Jindal 5% (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% (3%)
  • Paul Ryan 3% (3%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% (10%)

Survey of 479 Republican primary voters was conducted August 1-3, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% (45%) Very conservative; 40% (29%) Somewhat conservative; 13% (16%) Moderate; 4% (6%) Somewhat liberal1% (4%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

July 24, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44% (47%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 54%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 53% (58%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% (58%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 52% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (40%)

Among Whites

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 71%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 19%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 67% (75%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 20% (19%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 63% (72%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 21% (17%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 66% (68%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 22% (19%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 64% (69%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24% (20%)

Among Blacks

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 10%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% (87%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 12% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (84%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 13% (9%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (92%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 10% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (91%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 9% (6%)

Survey of 691 Mississippi voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Republican; 39% (37%) Democrat; 19% (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% (23%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Very conservative; 25% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (15%)Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) Very liberal. Race: 60% (62%) White; 34% (32%) Black; 6% (6%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:20 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Ted Cruz

July 23, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 25%
  • Jeb Bush 16% (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% (19%)
  • Chris Christie 8% (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 6% (4%)
  • Rand Paul 6% (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% (8%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (5%)
  • Scott Walker 2% (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 16% (10%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee 22%
  • Jeb Bush 15% (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 13% (22%)
  • Chris Christie 10% (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (7%)
  • Rand Paul 5% (14%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (4%)
  • Scott Walker 3% (2%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 14% (10%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee 28%
  • Jeb Bush 18% (18%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% (17%)
  • Chris Christie 7% (23%)
  • Rand Paul 7% (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% (5%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (6%)
  • Scott Walker 1% (0%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 19% (10%)

Survey of 434 usual Republican primary voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% (46%) Very conservative; 35% (33%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (15%) Moderate; 3% (4%) Somewhat liberal; 0% (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:58 pm. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

July 9, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% {50%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [44%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [44%]  
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [45%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [42%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% {44%} [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [47%] (48%)
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 44% {47%} [40%] (45%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {52%} [49%] 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {39%} [37%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% {54%} 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {40%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 52% {51%} [51%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [37%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 48% {51%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {36%} [35%]
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 49% {50%} [44%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {43%} [42%] (40%)

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% {48%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {46%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {46%} [51%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% {44%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {48%} [49%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {39%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {47%} [53%] (56%)
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 39% {44%} [36%] (36%)

Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • He should run 17% {25%} [17%] (24%)
  • He should not 72% {63%} [72%] (66%)
Survey of 664 registered voters was conducted June 26-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 44% {42%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% {38%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 20% {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% {32%} [27%] (28%) Moderate; 24% {25%} [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 22% {21%} [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 17% {13%} [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 7% {9%} [9%] (12%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

May 23, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 20% {17%} (16%{15%} [17%] (16%
  • Ted Cruz 15% {10%} [10%]
  • Jeb Bush 12% {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 10% {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 9% {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% {9%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
  • Scott Walker 6% {7%}
  • Marco Rubio 4% {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Among Men

  • Ted Cruz 20% {10%} [13%]
  • Mike Huckabee 18% {19%} (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% {9%} [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
  • Rand Paul 11% {14%} [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 10% {7%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
  • Scott Walker 6% {11%}
  • Paul Ryan 6% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% {3%} [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [5%] {10%} [17%] (19%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% {9%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)

Among Women 

  • Mike Huckabee 23% {15%} (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% {17%} [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 11% {9%} [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% {9%} [7%]
  • Rand Paul 8% {14%} [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
  • Chris Christie 7% {15%} [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
  • Scott Walker 5% {1%}
  • Rick Santorum 4% [7%] {11%} [17%] (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% {3%} [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 17% {13%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Mike Huckabee 70% {63%} (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 14% {19%} (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+56%}
  • Sarah Palin 68% {61%} {60%} [60%] (70%) / 18% {21%} {26%} [26%] (17%) {+50%}
  • Rick Santorum 62% {44%} [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 13% {21%} [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+49%}
  • Rand Paul 60% {59%} [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 12% {15%} [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+48%}
  • Ted Cruz 58% {40%} [27%] / 11% {14%} [12%] {+47%}
  • Paul Ryan 60% {63%} [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 15% {13%} [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+45%}
  • Marco Rubio 51% {42%} [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 10% {14%} [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+41%}
  • Scott Walker 47% {39%} / 8% {12%} {+39%}
  • Rick Perry 53% {45%} (43%) / 16% {17%} (28%) {+37%}
  • Bobby Jindal 41% {36%} [42%] (43%) / 9% {10%} [14%] (11%) {+32%}
  • Ben Carson 37% / 6% {+31%}
  • Jeb Bush 48% {50%} [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 25% {17%} [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+23%}
  • John Kasich 18% {11%} / 10% {13%} {+8%}
  • Chris Christie 36% {38%} [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 38% {35%} [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {-2%}
  • Scott Brown 12% / 17% {-5%}
  • Peter King 11% / 19% {-8%}
  • Donald Trump 30% {23%} / 40% {44%} {-10%}
  • Joe Scarborough 10% / 22% {-12%}

Survey of 303 Republican voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42%{33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 37% {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 16%{21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 3% {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:28 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

May 15, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [42%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% {43%} [46%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%] (42%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (53%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 41% {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 58% {54%} [59%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {33%} [31%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% {55%} [58%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {35%} [34%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% {49%} [51%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [31%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {51%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {35%}
  • Sarah Palin (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%} [39%] (46%)

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%} [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [50%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {38%} [43%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [58%] (60%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 32% {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

  • Favorable 36% {39%} [39%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 56% {55%} [58%] (59%)
Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • She should run 19% {23%} [18%] (16%)
  • She should not 74% {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 582 registered voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Sarah Palin

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 17% [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
  • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%](10%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Rand Paul 12% [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% [6%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
  • Marco Rubio 5% [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee 18% [13%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
  • Chris Christie 14% [9%] (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [18%] (8%) {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% [19%] (16%) {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
  • Jeb Bush 12% [15%] {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% [7%] (8%) {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 7% (10%) {7%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
  • Marco Rubio 4% [6%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [4%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (4%) {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush 23% [15%] (21%) {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
  • Mike Huckabee 16% [26%] (24%) {24%} [25%] (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% [13%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]
  • Chris Christie 10% [9%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%](10%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% [4%] (9%) {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
  • Rand Paul 9% [11%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% [4%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
  • Scott Walker 4% (3%) {5%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%]
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% [10%] (7%) {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)

Survey of 394 Republican primary voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 37% [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 2% [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

May 2, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Mike Huckabee 38%
  • Ted Cruz 14% 
  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Jeb Bush 10%
  • Chris Christie 4%
  • Paul Ryan 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Marco Rubio 3%
  • Cliven Bundy 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10%

Survey of 342 Republican primary voters was conducted April 25-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Political ideology: 45% Very conservative; 29% Somewhat conservative; 16% Moderate; 6% Somewhat liberal4% Very liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 6:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 17% 
  • Rand Paul 15%
  • Chris Christie 13%
  • Jeb Bush 13%  
  • Ted Cruz 12%
  • John Kasich 10%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • Undecided 11%

Survey of 300 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

May 1, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Arkansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 57% 
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Jeb Bush 8%  
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Marco Rubio 4%
  • John Kasich 2%
  • Scott Walker 1%
  • Undecided 7%

Survey of 240 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 24% 
  • Jeb Bush 16%
  • Rand Paul 15%  
  • Chris Christie 14%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • John Kasich 3%
  • Undecided 12%

Survey of 271 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 30, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 19% (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 17% (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Rand Paul 15% (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 6% (9%) {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
  • Cliven Bundy 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

  • Ted Cruz 19% (16%) {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
  • Rand Paul 18% (8%) {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 13% (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%](10%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% (8%) {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
  • Cliven Bundy 3%
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (4%) {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee 26% (24%) {24%} [25%] (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% (21%) {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 13% (7%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]
  • Rand Paul 11% (11%) {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (12%) {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% (9%) {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% (5%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (2%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
  • Cliven Bundy 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% (7%) {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)

Survey of 694 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 26-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 45% (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 35% (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 13% (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 4% (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 4% (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 17%
  • Jeb Bush 17%
  • Chris Christie 14%
  • Rand Paul 11%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • John Kasich 5%
  • Marco Rubio 2%
  • Undecided 16%

Survey of 331 likely GOP voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:01 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 28, 2014

Poll Watch: The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 20%
  • Paul Ryan 19%
  • Jeb Bush 18%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Joe Scarborough 4%

Survey of 168 registered Republican voters was conducted April 22-24, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:00 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 16, 2014

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 13% (13%)
  • Jeb Bush 13% (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 12% (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
  • Rand Paul 12% (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Paul Ryan 12% (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
  • Ted Cruz 4% (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
  • Rick Perry 3% (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
  • John Kasich 0% (1%)
  • Undecided 14% (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)

Survey of 416 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted April 7-10, 2014The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 15, 2014

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 14.7%
  • Jeb Bush 10.7%
  • Rand Paul 8.5%
  • Paul Ryan 8.3%
  • Chris Christie 8.0%
  • Ted Cruz 6.2%
  • Marco Rubio 4.7%
  • Rick Santorum 4.7%
  • Scott Walker 4.7%
  • Rick Perry 3.0%
  • John Kasich 0.7%
  • Other 0.7%
  • Undecided 23.8%

Survey of 600 likely Iowa GOP primary voters was conducted April 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 6:22 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 10, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 22% {19%} [20%] (15%)
  • Jeb Bush 18% {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 12% {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Paul Ryan 9% {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Rand Paul 9% {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 7% {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
  • Marco Rubio 5% {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 6% {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee 19% {15%} [15%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 16% {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
  • Jeb Bush 15% {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
  • Chris Christie 12% {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
  • Scott Walker 10% {7%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
  • Paul Ryan 8% {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)
  • Rand Paul 8% {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 4% {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee 24% {24%} [25%] (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 21% {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
  • Chris Christie 12% {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 11% {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]
  • Marco Rubio 5% {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {5%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%]
  • Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)

Survey of 314 Republican primary voters was conducted April 3-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 32% {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 21% {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 6% {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:24 pm. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 9, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 11.02%
  • Jeb Bush 10.24%
  • Rand Paul 10.24%
  • Ted Cruz 9.45%
  • Ben Carson 8.66%
  • Chris Christie 7.09%
  • Paul Ryan 6.30%
  • Condoleezza Rice 5.51%
  • Marco Rubio 5.51%
  • Scott Walker 5.51%
  • Sarah Palin 5.51%
  • Rick Santorum 5.51%
  • Rick Perry 3.15%
  • Bobby Jindal 3.15%
  • Undecided 3.15%

Survey of 127 GOP caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.7 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

March 29, 2014

Romney Redux?

There are a number of serious Republicans interested in running for president, at this early point, in two years.

Some of them, such as Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio don’t seem to have a broad enough base that would enable them to win the nomination, but they have motivated and vocal supporters, and if they run, they will be notable factors in the Republican primaries and caucuses.

Others, including Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee and Rick Perry might be seen as figures of the past, and might not run (although Governor Perry is making serious noises about another run in 2016).

2012 vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, Governors Susana Martinez, Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal, and John Kasich are frequently mentioned, but have yet to indicate their serious interest in 2016.

The two figures who would probably be frontrunners, Governor Chris Christie and former Governor Jeb Bush, have current political problems to overcome (although it is more likely than not that one of these two men will be the GOP nominee).

On the other hand, if the field is large, the primaries and caucuses very bitter, AND the frontrunners falter, the resulting stalemate might propel forward a name which has not really been mentioned seriously, 2012 nominee Mitt Romney, back into contention.

Romney was perhaps the wrong candidate for 2012 because his persona played into the negative Democratic media campaign that year, and because he did not, at the end, assemble as competitive campaign as did Barack Obama. But 2016 promises a very different political environment. After two terms of Mr. Obama, the voters may be weary of any Democrat (as they were in 2008 of any Republican). We must await the results of the 2014 midterm elections to draw more precise and verified conclusions, but Obamacare almost alone seems to be moving the electorate to the GOP, and threatening to ruin the Democratic Party brand for years to come.

In spite of withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, changing our approach to the Middle East by diminishing our long alliance with Israel in a trade-off for (so-far) feckless relationships with other players in the region, and reducing our military and defenses, Mr. Obama’s numbers are very low in polls about his performance in foreign policy. He has been out-dueled so far in his relationship with Russian President Putin. His first term secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party in 2016, but, although she will surely try to do so, it might be difficult for her to separate herself from Mr. Obama and her own actions (including her “re-set” with Russia) when working for him. (Remember Hubert Humphrey attempting to do this in 1968?)

Mr. Romney’s assertion that Russia and Mr. Putin were a major problem for the U.S., an assertion he made in the 2012 campaign, and subsequently ridiculed by Mr. Obama, looks rather prescient these days. So do many of his views on the domestic issues he ran on in 2012.

Only twice in the past 100 years has a defeated Republican presidential nominee been renominated by his party. Thomas Dewey lost in 1944, and lost again in 1948. Richard Nixon lost in 1960, but won in 1968 (and again in 1972).

In spite of his recent public visibility, there are no indications that Mitt Romney is even thinking about running again in 2016, nor under present circumstances, would he be considered a serious candidate. But in spite of the large number of major GOP candidates, the Republican field is not yet in focus for one of them to win the nomination.

Considering Mr. Romney’s stature, it is not without some curious interest to speculate, and it’s only speculation, that, in certain circumstances, he might resolve a GOP convention stalemate, or even earlier, return to the campaign field.

I’m just saying.

_________________________________________________________

-Copyright (c) by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

March 14, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

  • Mike Huckabee 18% [16%] (13%) (11%) {15%} [11%] (17%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% [14%] (10%) (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
  • Chris Christie 14% [13%] (19%) (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [11%] (11%) (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% [8%] (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% [8%] (7%) (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (10%) (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
  • Scott Walker 5% [6%] (4%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% [5%] (3%) (4%) {3%} (3%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% [10%] (10%) (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)

If Mike Huckabee was not a candidate for President in 2016, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?

  • Jeb Bush 21% [18%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {15%} [12%]
  • Rand Paul 15% [13%] (12%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [17%]
  • Chris Christie 14% [17%] (23%) {16%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [15%]
  • Ted Cruz 13% [11%] (15%) {15%} [20%] (12%) {7%}
  • Paul Ryan 9% [9%] (11%) {11%} [10%] (13%) {9%} [12%]
  • Marco Rubio 8% [8%] (8%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {16%} [21%]
  • Scott Walker 5% [7%] (6%) [3%]
  • Bobby Jindal 5% [5%] (4%) {6%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% [11%] (10%) {8%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Mike Huckabee 62% [64%] (65%) (71%) {70%} [73%] (69%) / 18% [18%] (14%) (12%) {15%} [15%] (15%) {+44%}
  • Paul Ryan 58% [58%] {67%} [75%] (78%) {76%} [74%] (47%) / 17% [18%] {13%} [11%] (9%) {11%} [15%] (11%) {+41%} 
  • Rand Paul 56% [58%] (58%) {58%} [60%] (61%) {55%} [53%] (42%) / 17% [21%] (15%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {20%} [22%] (20%) {+39%}
  • Jeb Bush 53% [56%] (49%) {56%} [51%] (59%) {59%} [63%] (71%) / 21% [18%] (22%) {17%} [16%] (12%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {+32%}
  • Marco Rubio 46% {57%} [62%] (59%) {60%} [62%] (53%) / 19% {13%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {+27%}
  • Ted Cruz 43% [45%] (43%) {27%} / 20% [20%] (21%) {13%} {+23%}
  • Chris Christie 41% [40%] (47%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [49%] (62%) / 37% [38%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (12%) {+4%}
Survey of 542 Republican primary voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% [39%] (39%) {42%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 35% [37%] (34%) {34%} [39%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 21% [17%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 6% [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 – December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:49 pm. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

March 12, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 19% [20%] (15%)
  • Chris Christie 15% [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Jeb Bush 12% [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Rand Paul 12% [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 6% [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
  • Marco Rubio 5% [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 12% [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

  • Chris Christie 16% [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 16% [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
  • Mike Huckabee 15% [15%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 13% [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
  • Rand Paul 13% [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 7% [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
  • Paul Ryan 3% [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 12% [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee 24% [25%] (16%)
  • Chris Christie 13% [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]
  • Rand Paul 10% [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%]
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 14% [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)

Survey of 392 Republican primary voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 35% [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 4% [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 3% [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:34 pm. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

February 27, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 17% (16%{15%} [17%] (16%
  • Rand Paul 14% [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 13% [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 10% [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% [10%]
  • Paul Ryan 9% [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
  • Scott Walker 7%
  • Bobby Jindal 7% [2%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee 19% (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%)
  • Scott Walker 11%
  • Ted Cruz 10% [13%]
  • Jeb Bush 9% [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
  • Bobby Jindal 9% [4%] (2%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Chris Christie 7% [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 15% [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% [7%]
  • Bobby Jindal 4% [0%] (5%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
  • Scott Walker 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 63% [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 13% [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+50%}
  • Mike Huckabee 63% (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 19% (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+44%}
  • Rand Paul 59% [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 15% [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+44%}
  • Sarah Palin 61% {60%} [60%] (70%) / 21% {26%} [26%] (17%) {+40%}
  • Jeb Bush 50% [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+33%}
  • Rick Perry 45% (43%) / 17% (28%) {+28%}
  • Marco Rubio 42% [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 14% [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+28%}
  • Scott Walker 39% / 12% {+27%}
  • Ted Cruz 40% [27%] / 14% [12%] {+26%}
  • Bobby Jindal 36% [42%] (43%) / 10% [14%] (11%) {+26%}
  • Rick Santorum 44% [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 21% [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+23%}
  • Chris Christie 38% [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 35% [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+3%}
  • John Kasich 11% / 13% {-2%}
  • Donald Trump 23% / 44% {-21%}

Survey of 283 Republican voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points.  Political ideology:39% [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 21% [16%](21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:13 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

February 24, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 20%
  • Chris Christie 13%
  • Jeb Bush 13%
  • Ted Cruz 12%
  • Rand Paul 11%
  • Paul Ryan 7%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13%

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee 21%
  • Chris Christie 15%
  • Jeb Bush 13%
  • Ted Cruz 13%
  • Rand Paul 12%
  • Paul Ryan 5%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Marco Rubio 4%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10%

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee 19%
  • Jeb Bush 13%
  • Chris Christie 12%
  • Paul Ryan 10%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Marco Rubio 7%
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
  • Someone else/Not sure 17%

Survey of 375 Republican primary voters was conducted February 18-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Political ideology: 32% Very conservative; 32% Somewhat conservative; 29%Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:13 pm. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

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