September 17, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%](43%) {45%} [46%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]

(more…)

by @ 10:15 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 16, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [45%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% [46%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [42%] (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [38%] (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% [45%] (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [43%]
 Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49% [47%] (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 52% [48%] (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [39%] (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 50% [47%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% [49%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47% [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [42%]

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%] (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [42%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [42%] (46%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% [45%] (44%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [40%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% [38%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [43%] (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% [40%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [43%] 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 35% [40%]
 Survey of 1,328 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 51% [50%](47%) Republican; 26% [30%] (28%) Democrat; 22% [20%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 36% [31%] (32%) Moderate;24% [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [24%] (19%) Very conservative; 14% [16%] (16%) Somewhat liberal; 6% [7%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

September 14, 2014

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 11.17%
  • Mike Huckabee 11.17%
  • Marco Rubio 9.57%
  • Rand Paul 6.91%
  • Chris Christie 6.38%
  • Rick Perry 6.38%
  • Scott Walker 6.38%
  • Paul Ryan 5.85%
  • Ted Cruz 5.32%
  • Rick Santorum 5.32%
  • Bobby Jindal 2.66%
  • Jon Huntsman 2.13%
  • John Kasich 0.53%
  • Undecided 17.02%

Survey of 188 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:27 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 11, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [53%] (49%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% {45%} [40%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {48%} [56%] (50%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42% {44%} [40%] (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% {38%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {48%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% {42%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {48%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 36% {39%}

Among Men

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {43%} [47%] (43%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {50%} [46%] (52%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {42%} [50%] (43%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% {49%} [46%] (53%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {40%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {43%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {47%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {46%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 38% {46%}

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% {41%} [35%] (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {49%} [58%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {53%} [61%] (56%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40% {39%} [35%] (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {51%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {34%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {53%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% {37%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {52%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% {36%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {54%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 36% {33%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?

  • Approve 44% {45%} [44%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 41% {40%} [43%] (36%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?

  • Favorable 50% {51%} [50%] (51%)
  • Unfavorable 35% {35%} [37%] (35%)

Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • He should 31% {35%} [33%] (32%)
  • He should not 53% {50%} [51%] (53%)

Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • He should 32% {27%} [37%] (38%)
  • He should not 53% {59%} [53%] (49%)

Survey of 818 likely voters was conducted September 4-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 40% {38%} [42%] (44%) Democrat; 38% {37%} [37%] (38%) Republican; 22% {25%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% {28%} [32%] (33%) Moderate; 23% {25%} [21%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 19% {22%} [17%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 13% {15%}[17%] (18%) Very conservative; 13% {11%} [13%] (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 6:15 pm. Filed under 2016, Herman Cain, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Poll Watch

September 3, 2014

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
  • Unsure 24%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 35%
  • Unsure 21%

Survey of 859 registered voters was conducted August 14-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat;36% Republican; 27% Independent/Other

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:45 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio

August 23, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (41%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (44%)  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%

Survey of 903 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% (47%) Republican; 30% (28%) Democrat; 20% (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (32%) Moderate; 24% (19%) Very conservative; 22% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 7% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:35 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

August 14, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Rand Paul (R) 49% {49%} [45%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%} [45%] (47%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 48% {46%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {42%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {40%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {44%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41% {41%} 

Among Men

  • Rand Paul (R) 56% {53%} [52%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {40%} [40%] (42%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 54% {51%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {38%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 55%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% 
  • Chris Christie (R) 47% {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {36%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 50% {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%}

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%} [50%] (51%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% {45%} [39%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {42%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% 
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {43%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {47%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {34%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rand Paul’s job performance? 

  • Approve 47% {49%} [46%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 39% {40%} [39%] (39%)  

Do you think Rand Paul should run for President in 2016, or not? 

  • He should run 34% {35%} [30%]
  • He should not 50% {49%} [50%] 

Survey of 991 Kentucky voters was conducted August 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 52% {52%} [51%] (52%) Democrat; 38% {39%} [39%] (37%) Republican; 10% {9%} [10%] (11%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% {31%} [28%] (29%) Moderate; 25% {27%} [26%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 20% {19%} [20%] (23%) Very conservative; 17% {14%}[15%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [10%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:30 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Jeb Bush 13% [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 13% [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 7% [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
  • Rand Paul 7% [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] {3%} (1%)
  • Undecided 23% [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)

Survey of 342 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted August 4, 2014The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

August 7, 2014

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 16%
  • Chris Christie 9%
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Scott Walker 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Rick Santorum 3%

Survey of 336 Republican and GOP-leaning Independent primary voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. Party ID: 62% Republican; 38% Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:30 pm. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Chris Christie (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 47%
  • Chris Christie (R) 49%
  • Joe Biden (D) 42%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 50%
  • Joe Biden (D) 44%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49%
  • Joe Biden (D) 44%

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:45 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Joe Biden, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 55% (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (46%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (48%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%)

Among Independents

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 60% (56%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 29% (31%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 31% (33%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Rand Paul (R) 50% (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 30% (35%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% (33%)

Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (58%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% (30%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (64%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 29% (23%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (66%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 23% (24%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (60%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 24% (27%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 59% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (38%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 51% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (38%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (43%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 48% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (40%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% (36%)

Do you think Mike Huckabee should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • Think he should run 42% (39%)
  • Think he should not 45% (46%)
  • Not sure 13% (15%)

Survey of 1,066 Arkansas voters was conducted August 1-3, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (41%)Democrat; 34% (27%) Republican; 31% (32%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% (28%) Moderate; 27% (23%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (23%) Very conservative; 14% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:15 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

July 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

  • Jeb Bush 12% [14%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 12% [5%] (3%)
  • Rand Paul 11% [14%] (11%)
  • Chris Christie 10% [15%] (16%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% [9%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% [8%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% [7%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (6%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% [2%]
  • Rick Santorum 3% [5%] (3%)
  • John Kasich 2%

National survey of 358 registered Republicans was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:11 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch, Rick Perry

July 28, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [49%] (49%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% [41%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [56%] (52%) {50%}
  • Paul Ryan (R) 38% [36%] (39%) {42%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [52%] (51%) {50%} [53%] (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 39% [40%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%] (53%) {51%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% [37%] (38%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [52%] (51%) {45%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 33% [34%] (35%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 58% [58%] [57%] (62%) / 38% [37%] [38%] (33%) {+20%}
  • Jeb Bush 48% [53%] [54%] (50%) / 37% [35%] [33%] (35%) {+11%}
  • Marco Rubio 43% [43%] [44%] (41%) / 35% [36%] [33%] (34%) {+8%}
  • Rand Paul 32% [34%] / 28% [31%] {+4%}
  • Paul Ryan 33% [33%] / 30% [36%] {+3%}
  • Chris Christie 35% [37%] / 36% [35%] {-1%}

Survey of 1,251 registered voters was conducted July 17-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 31% [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 32% [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:45 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Poll Watch

July 24, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44% (47%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 54%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 53% (58%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% (58%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 52% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (40%)

Among Whites

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 71%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 19%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 67% (75%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 20% (19%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 63% (72%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 21% (17%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 66% (68%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 22% (19%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 64% (69%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24% (20%)

Among Blacks

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 10%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% (87%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 12% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (84%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 13% (9%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (92%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 10% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (91%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 9% (6%)

Survey of 691 Mississippi voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Republican; 39% (37%) Democrat; 19% (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% (23%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Very conservative; 25% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (15%)Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) Very liberal. Race: 60% (62%) White; 34% (32%) Black; 6% (6%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:20 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Ted Cruz

July 21, 2014

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Jeb Bush 12%
  • Rand Paul 12%
  • Paul Ryan 11%
  • Rick Santorum 9%
  • Chris Christie 8%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Marco Rubio 7%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 1%
  • Undecided 20%

Survey of 558 registered Republican voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:45 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

July 9, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% {50%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [44%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [44%]  
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [45%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [42%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% {44%} [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [47%] (48%)
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 44% {47%} [40%] (45%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {52%} [49%] 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {39%} [37%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% {54%} 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {40%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 52% {51%} [51%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [37%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 48% {51%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {36%} [35%]
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 49% {50%} [44%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {43%} [42%] (40%)

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% {48%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {46%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {46%} [51%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% {44%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {48%} [49%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {39%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {47%} [53%] (56%)
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 39% {44%} [36%] (36%)

Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • He should run 17% {25%} [17%] (24%)
  • He should not 72% {63%} [72%] (66%)
Survey of 664 registered voters was conducted June 26-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 44% {42%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% {38%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 20% {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% {32%} [27%] (28%) Moderate; 24% {25%} [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 22% {21%} [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 17% {13%} [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 7% {9%} [9%] (12%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

June 13, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 30% (30%) {26%} [28%] (22%)
  • Marco Rubio 14% (29%) {31%} [22%] (24%)
  • Rand Paul 11% (11%) {5%} [3%] (4%)
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Chris Christie 8% (8%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7% (9%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
  • Scott Walker 7%
  • Paul Ryan 2% (4%) {5%} [8%] (10%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (2%) {5%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% (6%) {5%} [5%] (4%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush 32% (33%) {22%} [33%] (23%)
  • Rand Paul 11% (13%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
  • Scott Walker 10%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Marco Rubio 10% (27%) {34%} [20%] (28%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (7%) {7%} [8%] (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 5% (8%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
  • Paul Ryan 2% (4%) {7%} [8%] (11%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (3%) {4%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% (5%) {4%} [3%] (3%)

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush 27% (25%) {31%} [23%] (21%)
  • Marco Rubio 17% (31%) {27%} [23%] (20%)
  • Rand Paul 11% (10%) {6%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mike Huckabee 9% (10%) {12%} [13%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 8%
  • Chris Christie 7% (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 4%
  • Paul Ryan 3% (5%) {3%} [8%] (9%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (1%) {6%}
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%)
If you had to choose between just Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio as the Republican candidate for President in 2016, who would you pick? 

  • Marco Rubio 45% (49%)  
  • Jeb Bush 41% (36%)
  • Not sure 14% (15%)

Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • Think he should 47%
  • Think he should not 38%

Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • Think he should 42%
  • Think he should not 41%

Survey of 315 Republican primary voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 41% (40%) {36%} [42%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 28% (27%) {35%} [34%] (33%) Very conservative; 22% (24%) {19%} [19%] (20%) Moderate; 6% (6%) {9%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 – September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:33 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Poll Watch

June 12, 2014

Poll Watch: Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Jeb Bush 18% (18%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% (20%)
  • Paul Ryan 13% (19%)
  • Rand Paul 12% (8%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 10%
  • Ted Cruz 9% (9%)
  • Chris Christie 6% (7%)
  • Scott Walker 6% (6%)

Survey of 222 registered Republican voters was conducted June 4-5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:15 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

May 15, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [42%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% {43%} [46%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%] (42%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (53%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 41% {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 58% {54%} [59%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {33%} [31%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% {55%} [58%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {35%} [34%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% {49%} [51%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [31%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {51%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {35%}
  • Sarah Palin (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%} [39%] (46%)

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%} [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [50%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {38%} [43%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [58%] (60%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 32% {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

  • Favorable 36% {39%} [39%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 56% {55%} [58%] (59%)
Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • She should run 19% {23%} [18%] (16%)
  • She should not 74% {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 582 registered voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Sarah Palin

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 17% [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
  • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%](10%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Rand Paul 12% [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% [6%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
  • Marco Rubio 5% [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee 18% [13%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
  • Chris Christie 14% [9%] (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [18%] (8%) {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% [19%] (16%) {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%]
  • Jeb Bush 12% [15%] {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% [7%] (8%) {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 7% (10%) {7%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%]
  • Marco Rubio 4% [6%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [4%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (4%) {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush 23% [15%] (21%) {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
  • Mike Huckabee 16% [26%] (24%) {24%} [25%] (16%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% [13%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%]
  • Chris Christie 10% [9%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%](10%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% [4%] (9%) {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
  • Rand Paul 9% [11%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% [4%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%)
  • Scott Walker 4% (3%) {5%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%]
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% [10%] (7%) {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)

Survey of 394 Republican primary voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 37% [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 2% [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

May 6, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Jeb Bush 13% (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 13% (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
  • Paul Ryan 12% (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
  • Mike Huckabee 10% (10%) {14%}
  • Chris Christie 9% (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
  • Rick Perry 8% (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 7%
  • Ted Cruz 7% (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 4% (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 4% (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
  • No opinion 7% (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

  • Jeb Bush 15% (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
  • Paul Ryan 14% (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
  • Rand Paul 12% (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% (9%) {17%}
  • Chris Christie 8% (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
  • Scott Walker 7%
  • Rick Perry 7% (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 3% (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 2% (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
  • No opinion 8% (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

  • Rand Paul 15% (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
  • Chris Christie 10% (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
  • Rick Perry 8% (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7% (11%) {10%}
  • Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 5% (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 6% (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
  • No opinion 7% (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men 

  • Rand Paul 17% (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
  • Rick Perry 11% (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 8% (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • Mike Huckabee 8% (11%) {14%}
  • Paul Ryan 7% (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 4% (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 3% (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 4% (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
  • No opinion 6% (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

  • Paul Ryan 17% (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
  • Jeb Bush 12% (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% (9%) {14%}
  • Rand Paul 10% (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Ted Cruz 5% (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Rick Perry 4% (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 4% (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 3% (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
  • No opinion 9% (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 473 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted May 2-4, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% (50%) {52%} Republican; 39% (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

May 2, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 27% [25%] (22%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [11%] (9%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% [16%] (18%)
  • Chris Christie 7% [9%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% [9%] (12%)
  • Mike Huckabee 6%
  • Paul Ryan 6% [5%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (3%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush 29% [23%] (21%)
  • Rand Paul 19% [14%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% [16%] (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% [5%] (6%)
  • Chris Christie 6% [9%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% [10%] (14%)
  • Scott Walker 5% [8%] (4%)
  • Mike Huckabee 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (4%)

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush 26% [26%] (23%)
  • Marco Rubio 14% [16%] (20%)
  • Chris Christie 9% [9%] (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7%
  • Rand Paul 7% [8%] (5%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% [7%] (9%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% [6%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [3%] (1%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (2%)

Survey of 494 Republican voters was conducted April 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 38%
  • Mike Huckabee 11%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Rand Paul 10%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Scott Walker 7%
  • John Kasich 3%
  • Undecided 6%

Survey of 365 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

April 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 17%
  • Jeb Bush 17%
  • Chris Christie 14%
  • Rand Paul 11%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • John Kasich 5%
  • Marco Rubio 2%
  • Undecided 16%

Survey of 331 likely GOP voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:01 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 28, 2014

Bob Schieffer: Romney May Run if Jeb Bush Does Not

Hmmmmm…

Mitt Romney has said time and time again that he has no interest in running for president a third time.

But, on Sunday morning, CBS’ Bob Schieffer said not to write off the idea of a 2016 campaign by Romney so quickly.

“I have a source that told me that if Jeb Bush decides not to run, that Mitt Romney may actually try it again,” Schieffer said.

During a political panel discussion, the “Face the Nation” host said that he has been told that Romney will consider seeking the Republican nomination for the presidency in 2016 if former Florida governor Jeb Bush chooses to sit the race out.

Full story here.

by @ 5:54 pm. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mitt Romney

March 29, 2014

Romney Redux?

There are a number of serious Republicans interested in running for president, at this early point, in two years.

Some of them, such as Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio don’t seem to have a broad enough base that would enable them to win the nomination, but they have motivated and vocal supporters, and if they run, they will be notable factors in the Republican primaries and caucuses.

Others, including Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee and Rick Perry might be seen as figures of the past, and might not run (although Governor Perry is making serious noises about another run in 2016).

2012 vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, Governors Susana Martinez, Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal, and John Kasich are frequently mentioned, but have yet to indicate their serious interest in 2016.

The two figures who would probably be frontrunners, Governor Chris Christie and former Governor Jeb Bush, have current political problems to overcome (although it is more likely than not that one of these two men will be the GOP nominee).

On the other hand, if the field is large, the primaries and caucuses very bitter, AND the frontrunners falter, the resulting stalemate might propel forward a name which has not really been mentioned seriously, 2012 nominee Mitt Romney, back into contention.

Romney was perhaps the wrong candidate for 2012 because his persona played into the negative Democratic media campaign that year, and because he did not, at the end, assemble as competitive campaign as did Barack Obama. But 2016 promises a very different political environment. After two terms of Mr. Obama, the voters may be weary of any Democrat (as they were in 2008 of any Republican). We must await the results of the 2014 midterm elections to draw more precise and verified conclusions, but Obamacare almost alone seems to be moving the electorate to the GOP, and threatening to ruin the Democratic Party brand for years to come.

In spite of withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, changing our approach to the Middle East by diminishing our long alliance with Israel in a trade-off for (so-far) feckless relationships with other players in the region, and reducing our military and defenses, Mr. Obama’s numbers are very low in polls about his performance in foreign policy. He has been out-dueled so far in his relationship with Russian President Putin. His first term secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party in 2016, but, although she will surely try to do so, it might be difficult for her to separate herself from Mr. Obama and her own actions (including her “re-set” with Russia) when working for him. (Remember Hubert Humphrey attempting to do this in 1968?)

Mr. Romney’s assertion that Russia and Mr. Putin were a major problem for the U.S., an assertion he made in the 2012 campaign, and subsequently ridiculed by Mr. Obama, looks rather prescient these days. So do many of his views on the domestic issues he ran on in 2012.

Only twice in the past 100 years has a defeated Republican presidential nominee been renominated by his party. Thomas Dewey lost in 1944, and lost again in 1948. Richard Nixon lost in 1960, but won in 1968 (and again in 1972).

In spite of his recent public visibility, there are no indications that Mitt Romney is even thinking about running again in 2016, nor under present circumstances, would he be considered a serious candidate. But in spite of the large number of major GOP candidates, the Republican field is not yet in focus for one of them to win the nomination.

Considering Mr. Romney’s stature, it is not without some curious interest to speculate, and it’s only speculation, that, in certain circumstances, he might resolve a GOP convention stalemate, or even earlier, return to the campaign field.

I’m just saying.

_________________________________________________________

-Copyright (c) by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

March 16, 2014

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

  • Jeb Bush 22% (16.0%)
  • Mike Huckabee 19% (15.8%)
  • Chris Christie 12% (16.6%)
  • Rand Paul 8% (9.7%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% (11.1%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% (7.2%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (2.3%)
  • Rick Santorum 2% (2.8%)
  • Undecided 19% (18.5%)

Survey of GOP primary voters was conducted March 6-7, 2014.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 – December 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:56 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

March 14, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

  • Mike Huckabee 18% [16%] (13%) (11%) {15%} [11%] (17%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% [14%] (10%) (13%) {14%} [12%] (17%)
  • Chris Christie 14% [13%] (19%) (13%) {14%} [14%] (21%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [11%] (11%) (10%) {5%} [7%] (4%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% [8%] (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% [8%] (7%) (22%) {21%} [18%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (10%) (15%) {16%} [12%] (7%)
  • Scott Walker 5% [6%] (4%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% [5%] (3%) (4%) {3%} (3%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% [10%] (10%) (8%) {7%} [7%] (10%)

If Mike Huckabee was not a candidate for President in 2016, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?

  • Jeb Bush 21% [18%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {15%} [12%]
  • Rand Paul 15% [13%] (12%) {16%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [17%]
  • Chris Christie 14% [17%] (23%) {16%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [15%]
  • Ted Cruz 13% [11%] (15%) {15%} [20%] (12%) {7%}
  • Paul Ryan 9% [9%] (11%) {11%} [10%] (13%) {9%} [12%]
  • Marco Rubio 8% [8%] (8%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {16%} [21%]
  • Scott Walker 5% [7%] (6%) [3%]
  • Bobby Jindal 5% [5%] (4%) {6%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% [11%] (10%) {8%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Mike Huckabee 62% [64%] (65%) (71%) {70%} [73%] (69%) / 18% [18%] (14%) (12%) {15%} [15%] (15%) {+44%}
  • Paul Ryan 58% [58%] {67%} [75%] (78%) {76%} [74%] (47%) / 17% [18%] {13%} [11%] (9%) {11%} [15%] (11%) {+41%} 
  • Rand Paul 56% [58%] (58%) {58%} [60%] (61%) {55%} [53%] (42%) / 17% [21%] (15%) {16%} [16%] (13%) {20%} [22%] (20%) {+39%}
  • Jeb Bush 53% [56%] (49%) {56%} [51%] (59%) {59%} [63%] (71%) / 21% [18%] (22%) {17%} [16%] (12%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {+32%}
  • Marco Rubio 46% {57%} [62%] (59%) {60%} [62%] (53%) / 19% {13%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {+27%}
  • Ted Cruz 43% [45%] (43%) {27%} / 20% [20%] (21%) {13%} {+23%}
  • Chris Christie 41% [40%] (47%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {44%} [49%] (62%) / 37% [38%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (12%) {+4%}
Survey of 542 Republican primary voters was conducted March 6-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% [39%] (39%) {42%} [37%] (40%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 35% [37%] (34%) {34%} [39%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (41%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 21% [17%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [19%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 6% [4%] (4%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [5%] (2%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-26, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 – December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:49 pm. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

February 1, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {47%} [50%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% {45%} [43%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%} [53%] (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41% {43%} [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {50%}
  • Paul Ryan (R) 39% {42%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {51%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {45%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {52%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {36%}

(more…)

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 25% (22%)
  • Marco Rubio 16% (18%)
  • Rand Paul 11% (9%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% (6%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (3%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush 23% (21%)
  • Marco Rubio 16% (17%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (13%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% (14%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (11%)
  • Scott Walker 8% (4%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% (6%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (4%)

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush 26% (23%)
  • Marco Rubio 16% (20%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (17%)
  • Rand Paul 8% (5%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (9%)
  • Paul Ryan 6% (6%)
  • Bobby Jindal 3% (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% (1%)

Survey of 586 Republican voters was conducted January 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

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