September 12, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 21%
  • Paul Ryan 12%
  • Rand Paul 7%
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Jeb Bush 6%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Rick Perry 5%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 4%
  • Ted Cruz 4%
  • Rick Santorum 3%

Survey of registered Republicans was conducted September 8-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:17 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

August 28, 2014

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll 

  • Hillary Clinton 66.49% (62.96%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9.95% (11.85%)
  • Joe Biden 7.85% (9.63%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4.19% (0.74%)
  • Martin O’Malley 2.09%
  • Undecided 7.85% (11.85%)

Survey of 191 Democratic caucus-goers was conducted August 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 7.09 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:15 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

August 27, 2014

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 13.11% (11.02%)
  • Chris Christie 10.68% (7.09%)
  • Rick Perry 8.74% (3.15%)
  • Jeb Bush 7.28 (10.24%)
  • Rand Paul 6.80% (10.24%)
  • Paul Ryan 6.31% (6.30%)
  • Rick Santorum 5.83% (5.51%)
  • Marco Rubio 5.34% (5.51%)
  • Ted Cruz 4.85% (9.45%)
  • Scott Walker 4.37% (5.51%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2.91% (3.15%)
  • Jon Huntsman 0.97%
  • John Kasich 0.97%
  • Other 4.37%
  • Undecided 16.99% (3.15%)

Survey of 206 GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 23-36, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.83 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:46 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

July 21, 2014

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll 

  • Hillary Clinton 70%
  • Joe Biden 20%
  • Undecided 10%

Survey of 539 registered Democratic voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:30 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Iowa Caucuses, Joe Biden, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Jeb Bush 12%
  • Rand Paul 12%
  • Paul Ryan 11%
  • Rick Santorum 9%
  • Chris Christie 8%
  • Rick Perry 7%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Marco Rubio 7%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 1%
  • Undecided 20%

Survey of 558 registered Republican voters was conducted July 7-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:45 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

May 23, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 20% {17%} (16%{15%} [17%] (16%
  • Ted Cruz 15% {10%} [10%]
  • Jeb Bush 12% {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 10% {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 9% {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% {9%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
  • Scott Walker 6% {7%}
  • Marco Rubio 4% {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Among Men

  • Ted Cruz 20% {10%} [13%]
  • Mike Huckabee 18% {19%} (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% {9%} [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
  • Rand Paul 11% {14%} [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 10% {7%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
  • Scott Walker 6% {11%}
  • Paul Ryan 6% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% {3%} [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [5%] {10%} [17%] (19%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% {9%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)

Among Women 

  • Mike Huckabee 23% {15%} (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% {17%} [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 11% {9%} [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% {9%} [7%]
  • Rand Paul 8% {14%} [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
  • Chris Christie 7% {15%} [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
  • Scott Walker 5% {1%}
  • Rick Santorum 4% [7%] {11%} [17%] (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% {3%} [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 17% {13%} [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Mike Huckabee 70% {63%} (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 14% {19%} (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+56%}
  • Sarah Palin 68% {61%} {60%} [60%] (70%) / 18% {21%} {26%} [26%] (17%) {+50%}
  • Rick Santorum 62% {44%} [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 13% {21%} [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+49%}
  • Rand Paul 60% {59%} [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 12% {15%} [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+48%}
  • Ted Cruz 58% {40%} [27%] / 11% {14%} [12%] {+47%}
  • Paul Ryan 60% {63%} [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 15% {13%} [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+45%}
  • Marco Rubio 51% {42%} [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 10% {14%} [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+41%}
  • Scott Walker 47% {39%} / 8% {12%} {+39%}
  • Rick Perry 53% {45%} (43%) / 16% {17%} (28%) {+37%}
  • Bobby Jindal 41% {36%} [42%] (43%) / 9% {10%} [14%] (11%) {+32%}
  • Ben Carson 37% / 6% {+31%}
  • Jeb Bush 48% {50%} [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 25% {17%} [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+23%}
  • John Kasich 18% {11%} / 10% {13%} {+8%}
  • Chris Christie 36% {38%} [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 38% {35%} [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {-2%}
  • Scott Brown 12% / 17% {-5%}
  • Peter King 11% / 19% {-8%}
  • Donald Trump 30% {23%} / 40% {44%} {-10%}
  • Joe Scarborough 10% / 22% {-12%}

Survey of 303 Republican voters was conducted May 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 42%{33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 37% {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 16%{21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 3% {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:28 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 17%
  • Jeb Bush 17%
  • Chris Christie 14%
  • Rand Paul 11%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • John Kasich 5%
  • Marco Rubio 2%
  • Undecided 16%

Survey of 331 likely GOP voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:01 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 28, 2014

Poll Watch: The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 20%
  • Paul Ryan 19%
  • Jeb Bush 18%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Joe Scarborough 4%

Survey of 168 registered Republican voters was conducted April 22-24, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:00 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 15, 2014

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 14.7%
  • Jeb Bush 10.7%
  • Rand Paul 8.5%
  • Paul Ryan 8.3%
  • Chris Christie 8.0%
  • Ted Cruz 6.2%
  • Marco Rubio 4.7%
  • Rick Santorum 4.7%
  • Scott Walker 4.7%
  • Rick Perry 3.0%
  • John Kasich 0.7%
  • Other 0.7%
  • Undecided 23.8%

Survey of 600 likely Iowa GOP primary voters was conducted April 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 6:22 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 10, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll 

  • Hillary Clinton 62.96%
  • Elizabeth Warren 11.85%
  • Joe Biden 9.63%
  • Mark Warner 1.48%
  • Andrew Cuomo 0.74%
  • Deval Patrick 0.74%
  • Cory Booker 0.00%
  • Undecided 11.85%

Survey of 135 Democratic caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

April 9, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 11.02%
  • Jeb Bush 10.24%
  • Rand Paul 10.24%
  • Ted Cruz 9.45%
  • Ben Carson 8.66%
  • Chris Christie 7.09%
  • Paul Ryan 6.30%
  • Condoleezza Rice 5.51%
  • Marco Rubio 5.51%
  • Scott Walker 5.51%
  • Sarah Palin 5.51%
  • Rick Santorum 5.51%
  • Rick Perry 3.15%
  • Bobby Jindal 3.15%
  • Undecided 3.15%

Survey of 127 GOP caucus-goers was conducted April 3-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 8.7 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

April 3, 2014

Poll Watch: WPA Opinion Research (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

WPA Research (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 14%
  • Rand Paul 10%
  • Scott Walker 8%
  • Paul Ryan 7%
  • Jeb Bush 7%
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Rick Santorum 5%
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • Marco Rubio 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
  • Someone else 2%
  • Undecided 26%

Survey of 402 Republican voters was conducted March 30, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:36 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

February 27, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

  • Hillary Clinton 67% {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
  • Joe Biden 12% {12%} [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5% {5%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
  • Mark Warner 3% {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% {1%} [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
  • Cory Booker 1% {1%} (3%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {2%} [0%]
  • Martin O’Malley 0% {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

  • Joe Biden 40% {51%} [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {16%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 8% {9%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
  • Martin O’Malley 5% {2%} [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%]
  • Cory Booker 2% {6%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 2% {2%} [6%]
  • Mark Warner 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% {0%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 28% {13%} [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

  • Elizabeth Warren 21% {20%} [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 11% {18%} [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
  • Cory Booker 8% {12%}
  • Martin O’Malley 6% {4%} [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% {7%} [5%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 2% {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
  • Mark Warner 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 47% {33%} [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 82% {87%} [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 9% {7%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+73%}
  • Joe Biden 66% {80%} [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 13% {8%} [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+53%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 43% {41%} [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% {8%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+35%}
  • Cory Booker 30% {27%} / 11% {9%} {+19%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 28% {34%} [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 14% {15%} [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+14%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 20% {22%} [14%] / 10% {11%} [6%] {+10%}
  • Mark Warner 19% {14%} [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 11% {10%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+8%}
  • Martin O’Malley 13% {12%} [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 10% {6%} [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+3%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 12% {10%} [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 12% {5%} [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {0%}

Survey of 335 Democratic voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 28%{35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 20% {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 9% {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:05 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (50%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 42% (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (43%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (36%)

Among Independents

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% 
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (34%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (29%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (32%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (47%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (32%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (42%)

Among Moderates 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 28%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (52%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 28% (25%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (65%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 28% (18%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (61%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 27% (20%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 50%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% 
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 48% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (47%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%)

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 33% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (53%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (51%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 34% (33%)

Survey of 869 Iowa voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (38%) Democrat; 31% (37%) Republican; 32% (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (32%) Moderate; 24% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (19%) Somewhat liberal14% (18%) Very conservative; 10% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:11 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 17% (16%{15%} [17%] (16%
  • Rand Paul 14% [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 13% [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 10% [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% [10%]
  • Paul Ryan 9% [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
  • Scott Walker 7%
  • Bobby Jindal 7% [2%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee 19% (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%)
  • Scott Walker 11%
  • Ted Cruz 10% [13%]
  • Jeb Bush 9% [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
  • Bobby Jindal 9% [4%] (2%)
  • Paul Ryan 8% [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Chris Christie 7% [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)

Among Women

  • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 15% [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
  • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% [7%]
  • Bobby Jindal 4% [0%] (5%)
  • Marco Rubio 3% [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
  • Scott Walker 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 13% [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 63% [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 13% [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+50%}
  • Mike Huckabee 63% (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 19% (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+44%}
  • Rand Paul 59% [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 15% [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+44%}
  • Sarah Palin 61% {60%} [60%] (70%) / 21% {26%} [26%] (17%) {+40%}
  • Jeb Bush 50% [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+33%}
  • Rick Perry 45% (43%) / 17% (28%) {+28%}
  • Marco Rubio 42% [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 14% [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+28%}
  • Scott Walker 39% / 12% {+27%}
  • Ted Cruz 40% [27%] / 14% [12%] {+26%}
  • Bobby Jindal 36% [42%] (43%) / 10% [14%] (11%) {+26%}
  • Rick Santorum 44% [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 21% [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+23%}
  • Chris Christie 38% [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 35% [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+3%}
  • John Kasich 11% / 13% {-2%}
  • Donald Trump 23% / 44% {-21%}

Survey of 283 Republican voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points.  Political ideology:39% [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 21% [16%](21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:13 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

December 17, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Chris Christie (R) 45% [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 44% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (38%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Chris Christie (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Rand Paul (R) 29%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 25%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 28%

Among Men

  • Chris Christie (R) 51% [45%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 30% [35%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 53% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% (39%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [47%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (53%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 35% (34%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 34%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 33%

Do you think Chris Christie would make a good President or not?

  • Yes 46%
  • No 30%

Do you think Hillary Clinton would make a good President or not?

  • Yes 53%
  • No 42%

Do you think Rand Paul would make a good President or not?

  • Yes 38%
  • No 42%

Do you think Jeb Bush would make a good President or not?

  • Yes 36%
  • No 47%

Do you think Ted Cruz would make a good President or not?

  • Yes 28%
  • No 42%

Do you think Joe Biden would make a good President or not?

  • Yes 29%
  • No 62%
Survey of 1,617 registered voters was conducted December 10-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% [27%] Republican; 27% [29%] Democrat; 40% [40%] Independent; 4% [4%] Other/Don’t know. Ideology: 41% Moderate; 39% Conservative; 16% Liberal.  Gender: 52% [51%] Female; 48% [49%] Male.  Race: 92% [93%] White; 2% [3%] Black; 2% [1%] Hispanic; 3% [4%] Other/Don’t know.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:40 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

December 15, 2013

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Chris Christie 44% / 29% {+15%}
  • Paul Ryan 40% / 32% {+8%}
  • Hillary Clinton 50% / 45% {+5%}
  • Mike Huckabee 39% / 35% {+4%}
  • Scott Walker 26% / 26% {0%}
  • Marco Rubio 26% / 30% {-4%}
  • Rick Santorum 31% / 36% {-5%}
  • Rand Paul 31% / 38% {-7%}
  • Ted Cruz 24% / 32% {-8%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 12% / 20% {-8%}
  • Rick Perry 31% / 40% {-9%}
  • Jeb Bush 29% / 44% {-15%}
  • Martin O’Malley 8% / 24% {-16%}
  • Joe Biden 36% / 57% {-21%}

Survey of 650 adults was conducted December 8-11, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 73% / 10% {+63%}
  • Mike Huckabee 66% / 17% {+49%}
  • Rick Santorum 58% / 21% {+37%}
  • Rick Perry 55% / 19% {+36%}
  • Scott Walker 46% / 11% {+35%}
  • Marco Rubio 46% / 15% {+31%}
  • Ted Cruz 46% / 17% {+29%}
  • Rand Paul 51% / 23% {+28%}
  • Jeb Bush 51% / 26% {+25%}
  • Chris Christie 51% / 30% {+21%}

Survey of 182 Republican adults was conducted December 8-11, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 7.3 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch, Republican Party

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Hillary Clinton 89% / 7% {+82%}
  • Joe Biden 71% / 18% {+53%}
  • Martin O’Malley 18% / 13% {+5%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 16% / 14% {+2%}

Survey of Democratic adults was conducted December 8-11, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 8 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

November 27, 2013

Poll Watch: Harper Polling/Conservative Intel (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Harper Polling/Conservative Intel (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Chris Christie 17% (12.00%)
  • Ted Cruz 16%
  • Rand Paul 13% (12.50%)
  • Rick Santorum 11% (13.50%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (18.00%)
  • Scott Walker 7% (2.50%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% (26.50%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Not sure 17% (15.00%)

Survey of 390 likely GOP caucusgoers was conducted November 23-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.96 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted January 29, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:24 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

July 23, 2013

Poll Watch: TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa Democratic Caucus Survey

TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa Democratic Caucus Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 55.6%
  • Joe Biden 7.8%
  • Elizabeth Warren 5.0%
  • Andrew Cuomo 1.1%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0.5%
  • Martin O’Malley 0.2%
  • Unsure 29.7%

Survey of 2,175 Iowa Democrats was conducted July 10-12, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 44.0%Somewhat liberal; 23.1% Very liberal; 22.6% Independent6.1%Somewhat conservative; 4.1% Very conservative.

Inside the numbers:

Of those voters who believe the country is definitely going in the right direction, Clinton’s support spiked to 65.9%. Democratic voters with a high propensity to participate in Primaries gave Clinton her lowest support numbers at 45.2%. Younger voters between 18-29 gave Clinton her highest support with 69.1% saying they would support her.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

July 22, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Chris Christie (R) 49%
  • Joe Biden (D) 32%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Scott Walker (R) 39%
  • Scott Walker (R) 42%
  • Joe Biden (D) 39%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Chris Christie (R) 52%
  • Joe Biden (D) 21%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Scott Walker (R) 35%
  • Scott Walker (R) 41%
  • Joe Biden (D) 33%

Among Men

  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
  • Chris Christie (R) 52%
  • Joe Biden (D) 27%
  • Scott Walker (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Scott Walker (R) 46%
  • Joe Biden (D) 34%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Joe Biden (D) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Scott Walker (R) 34%
  • Joe Biden (D) 44%
  • Scott Walker (R) 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Chris Christie 42% / 16% {+26%}
  • Hillary Clinton 52% / 41% {+11%}
  • Scott Walker 17% / 17% {0%}
  • Joe Biden 38% / 47% {-9%}

Among Independents

  • Chris Christie 43% / 15% {+28%}
  • Hillary Clinton 50% / 40% {+10%}
  • Scott Walker 16% / 18% {-2%}
  • Joe Biden 31% / 51% {-20%}

Among Men

  • Chris Christie 46% / 17% {+29%}
  • Scott Walker 22% / 20% {+2%}
  • Hillary Clinton 45% / 49% {-4%}
  • Joe Biden 35% / 54% {-19%}

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton 58% / 33% {+25%}
  • Chris Christie 39% / 14% {+25%}
  • Joe Biden 41% / 40% {+1%}
  • Scott Walker 11% / 14% {-3%}

Survey of 1,256 registered voters was conducted July 15-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% Democrat; 27% Republican; 40% Independent; 4% Other/Don’t know. Gender: 51% Female; 49% Male.  Race: 93% White; 3% Black; 1% Hispanic; 4% Other/Don’t know.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

July 18, 2013

Poll Watch: TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa Republican Caucus Survey

TheRun2016/cygnal (R) Iowa GOP Caucus Poll

  • Marco Rubio 11.4%
  • Rand Paul 10.5%
  • Paul Ryan 9.3%
  • Jeb Bush 8.7%
  • Chris Christie 7.7%
  • Rick Santorum 6.7%
  • Ted Cruz 6.1%
  • Scott Walker 2.1%
  • Bobby Jindal 1.3%
  • Unsure 36.3%

Survey of 1,705 Iowa Republicans was conducted July 10-12, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.37 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41.9%Very conservative; 39.6% Somewhat conservative; 14.5% Independent; 2.8% Somewhat liberal; 1.2% Very liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:10 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

July 12, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Chris Christie (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36%

 

Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Chris Christie (R) 31%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Rand Paul (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 30%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 31%

Survey of 668 registered Iowa voters was conducted July 5-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat;37% Republican; 25% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32%Moderate; 21% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal18% Very conservative; 9% Very liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:06 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

July 11, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Rand Paul 18% (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 16% (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
  • Paul Ryan 15% (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Rick Santorum 6% {10%} [17%] (16%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (3%)
  • Susana Martinez 1% (4%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 7% (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Among Men

  • Rand Paul 21% (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 17% (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)
  • Jeb Bush 13% (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 13%
  • Paul Ryan 11% (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 10% (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% {10%} [17%] (19%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% (2%)
  • Susana Martinez 1% (5%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 4% (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)

Among Women

  • Paul Ryan 19% (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
  • Chris Christie 16% (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
  • Jeb Bush 15% (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
  • Marco Rubio 12% (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)   
  • Rick Santorum 7% {11%} [17%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 7%
  • Bobby Jindal 0% (5%)
  • Susana Martinez 0% (2%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 68% (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 12% (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+56%}
  • Rand Paul 60% (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 15% (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+45%}
  • Rick Santorum 57% {64%} [65%] (68%) / 15% {18%} [22%] (17%) {+42%}
  • Jeb Bush 58% (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+41%}
  • Marco Rubio 54% (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 14% (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+40%}
  • Bobby Jindal 42% (43%) / 14% (11%) {+28%}
  • Chris Christie 45% (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 27% (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+18%}
  • Ted Cruz 27% / 12% {+15%}
  • Susana Martinez 18% (18%) / 12% (16%) {+6%}

Survey of 250 Republican voters was conducted July 5-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 45%(43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 33% (31%) {39%}[40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:56 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

May 7, 2013

Poll Watch: McKeon & Associates/Freedom to Choose PAC 2016 Iowa Democratic Caucuses Survey

McKeon & Associates/Freedom to Choose PAC 2016 Iowa Democratic Caucuses Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 43%
  • Joe Biden 27%
  • Andrew Cuomo 11%
  • Another Candidate 9%

The poll, provided to The Daily Caller, surveyed 804 registered Iowa voters using phone interviews. 328 usually participated in the Republican presidential caucuses, and 247 said they usually participated in the Democratic caucuses. The poll was conducted on April 18 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

by @ 8:58 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

May 6, 2013

Poll Watch: McKeon & Associates/Freedom to Choose PAC 2016 Iowa Republican Caucuses Survey

McKeon & Associates/Freedom to Choose PAC 2016 Iowa Republican Caucuses Survey

  • Rand Paul 39%
  • Marco Rubio 20%
  • Chris Christie 11%
  • Jeb Bush 10%
  • Bobby Jindal 3%
  • Condoleezza Rice 3%

The poll, provided to The Daily Caller, surveyed 804 registered Iowa voters using phone interviews. 328 usually participated in the Republican presidential caucuses, and 247 said they usually participated in the Democratic caucuses. The poll was conducted on April 18 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Among voters who said they usually took part in the Republican presidential caucuses, 39 percent said they would vote for Paul if the caucuses were held today. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio was in a distant second place with 20 percent. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie was at 11 percent, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush was at 10 percent, and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal was tied with former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice at three percent.

Paul’s lead was buoyed by his strong support among independent voters, who said they usually attend the Republican caucuses. Sixty-seven percent said they would support Paul. The other 33 percent said they would support Christie.

Among self-identified Republicans, Rubio and Paul ran close, with Rubio getting the support 24 percent and Paul getting the support of 30 percent. Christie’s share of the vote fell to four percent among such voters.

by @ 2:41 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

March 20, 2013

Paul Snares Headliner’s Slot at Iowa GOP Lincoln Day Dinner

Scott Conroy has the story:

But another crucial campaign advantage over his father may be even more valuable than additional air time. While Ron Paul’s early support came almost entirely from outside of the Republican Party machinery, Rand Paul already enjoys institutional GOP support in Washington and — perhaps more valuably — within the ranks of the Iowa GOP.

Not coy about his presidential ambitions, the first-term lawmaker will aim to build on his recent momentum when he delivers the headlining speech at the Iowa Republican Party’s annual Lincoln Dinner in May.

It won’t be Paul’s first trip to the nation’s first voting state, which appears fated to become his home away from home over the next several years. Before the 2012 GOP caucuses, he campaigned there alongside his father and returned to the state in May to deliver a keynote speech at an event hosted by the Iowa Faith and Freedom Coalition, an influential socially conservative group.

Be sure to read the full story here.

by @ 3:04 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Rand Paul

February 8, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

  • Hillary Clinton 68% (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
  • Joe Biden 21% (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
  • Mark Warner 2% (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 2% (3%) {3%} [4%]
  • Deval Patrick 1% (1%) {0%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
  • Martin O’Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [1%]
  • Someone else/Undecided 3% (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)

Given the choices of Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?

  • Joe Biden 58% (40%) {36%} [28%]
  • Andrew Cuomo 13% (14%) {14%} [14%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% (9%) {8%} [10%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 6%
  • Deval Patrick 3% (2%) {0%}
  • Mark Warner 2% (1%) {3%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {4%} [2%]
  • Martin O’Malley 0% (4%) {2%} [0%]
  • Someone else/Undecided 11% (28%) {34%} [36%]

If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?

  • Andrew Cuomo 26% (30%) {20%} [17%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% (13%) {11%} [13%]
  • Martin O’Malley 8% (3%) {2%} [3%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 5%
  • Deval Patrick 3% (4%) {4%}
  • Mark Warner 2% (2%) {6%} [1%]
  • Brian Schweitzer 2% (2%) {4%} [4%]
  • Someone else/Undecided 37% (46%) {53%} [47%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 90% (86%) {90%} [88%] / 5% (11%) {6%} [6%] {+85%}
  • Joe Biden 84% (85%) {79%} [76%] / 9% (15%) {11%} [6%] {+75%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 45% (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% (11%) {10%} [8%] {+37%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 35% (38%) {26%} [26%] / 13% (16%) {19%} [17%] {+22%}
  • Deval Patrick 17% (14%) {10%} / 6% (11%) {9%} {+11%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 14% / 6% {+8%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 9% (12%) {5%} [7%] / 5% (7%) {10%} [9%] {+4%}
  • Martin O’Malley 8% (9%) {4%} [6%] / 6% (13%) {8%} [7%] {+2%}
  • Mark Warner 10% (12%) {10%} [10%] / 11% (11%) {10%} [11%] {-1%}

Survey of 313 Iowa Democrats was conducted January 31 – February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 33% (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 33% (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 26% (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 6% (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conductedNovember 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 am. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Poll Watch

February 7, 2013

Poll Alert: New PPP Iowa Poll Finds Rubio and Huckabee Tied in Iowa

by @ 2:49 pm. Filed under Iowa Caucuses, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee

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