November 8, 2012

Herman Cain Calls for the Creation of New Third Party

  12:24 pm


Former Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain is calling for the creation of a third political party — saying it is clear to him that neither major political party is willing to address the nation’s economic problems.

“We need a third party to save this country,” Cain told American Family Radio host Bryan Fischer. “This country is in trouble and it is clear that neither party — is going to fix the problems we face.”

Cain agreed with Fischer’s assessment that conservatives are growing tired of being ignored by Republican party leadership — and that many believe the GOP no longer speaks for them.

Cain said it was troubling that Mitt Romney received fewer votes than John McCain did in 2008 — suggesting that many conservatives did not vote on Tuesday.

Now for a little walk down “Memory Lane” with Herman, who had little trouble with the GOP’s direction in this cycle or last before Tuesday’s election:

Here is Mr. Cain in 2008:

Why I Support Mitt Romney: Leadership Substance

The dynamics of political party connections, the political process itself and public perceptions have once again yielded the top two contenders of each major party in the 2008 presidential race. And once again, the public can only hope that the ultimate winner of the White House will be a candidate with the most leadership substance.

My vote is for Mitt Romney.

Great leaders are born and good leaders keep working on it. We are not favored with an obvious great leader in the 2008 presidential race, as is apparent from the primary process and the results thus far.

But Mitt Romney’s leadership credentials offer the best hope of a leader with substance, and the best hope for a good president who could turn out to be great.

And here he is in 2012, with his endorsement of Romney after the suspension of his campaign:

One way to achieve this goal of a more perfect union is by getting Barack Obama out of the White House,” Cain said. “Throwing our support and energy behind Mitt Romney is a big step in accomplishing this mission.

To me, this “Monday Morning Quarterbacking” at it’s worst. Mr. Cain played and large part  in this last campaign and emphatically endorsed the runner-up to the party’s nominee the last time. We are all disappointed as to the results on Tuesday, but feigning despair of the future of the party you were wishing to helm just a few months ago, is too much.


January 28, 2012

RUMOR: Cain to Endorse Gingrich

  7:40 pm

The conservative blog the “Shark Tank” is saying that Herman Cain will endorsed Newt Gingrich tonight. Here’s more from the Miami Herald:

The conservative Shark Tank blog says Herman Cain could endorse Newt Gingrich tonight in Palm Beach County during a Lincoln Day dinner there. There has been buzz for a month Cain might do it, Gingrich’s campaign said to expect a big endorsement tonight and earlier this evening GOP operative Roger Stone suggested Can might be the man.

Whether this makes a difference at all is a good question. Perhaps we should ask Craig Miller. Who’s that? He’s the guy in single-digits in the Florida Senate race primary polls who was endorsed by Cain recently.

But who knows, to the degree there’s an untapped reservoir of tea-party-like supporters who will be swayed by Cain, this could account for a few votes for Gingrich. But will it be enough to overcome Mitt Romney’s ever-widening lead in the polls? Probably not.

EDIT: It’s official – here’s Cain’s Twitter feed:

I am officially endorsing @NewtGingrich for President of the United States! #tcot


January 6, 2012

Herman Cain to Offer “Unconventional” Endorsement on January 19 [UPDATED]

  2:49 pm

Just two days before the South Carolina primary, Herman Cain is setting himself up in hopes of becoming a kingmaker or a game changer:

Herman Cain says he’ll make an endorsement in the presidential race on Jan. 19, two days before the South Carolina primary…

Although Cain has given no clue about whom he’ll support, he is close to former House speaker Newt Gingrich and was complimentary to him in GOP debates.

A GOP presidential debate will be held in Charleston, S.C., on Jan. 19, in conjunction with the Southern Republican Leadership Conference.

Conventional wisdom for awhile said that Cain would endorse Romney as he did in 2008. Then when Gingrich caught fire, conventional wisdom became that Cain would endorse Gingrich since the two are good friends. Now that Santorum is surging, Cain may endorse him since he is (perceived to be) the most conservative of the three.

At any rate, a Cain endorsement is probably worth a lot less than it used to be, but in a state like South Carolina it could mean a whole lot.

UPDATE: Cain says his endorsement will be “unconventional“… and when asked if he viewed Romney as a “conventional candidate,” he responded by saying all the remaining candidates are conventional.

Great. So, Cain may well endorse someone who’s not even in the race? Might the Matthew E Millers and Bill Kristols of this world finally get their wish of a late entrant to the Republican primaries?


December 4, 2011

Rumor: Herman Cain to Endorse Gingrich Tomorrow

  11:23 pm

Sources tell FOX 5 News in Atlanta that Herman Cain will endorse Newt Gingrich tomorrow.

Hat-tipThe Argo Journal


Thoughts on the End of the Cain Campaign

  9:23 pm

Herman Cain’s campaign came to an end yesterday. Was it a necessary end from a political standpoint? I don’t think so. I do think that this latest allegation did pack a punch? Cain detractors and cynics will argue it was because it was true. I think far more charitably, it was a harmful and devestating betrayal by someone Cain viewed as a friend, coupled with the negative impact on his family, and the fact that the media narrative had shoved him off message. Regaining his footing would have been difficult. The type of campaign he’d been running would no longer work. The only option would have been to hunker down in Iowa and hope for a comeback kid style turnaround.

But it wasn’t to be. Some thoughts:

The 24/7 News cycle will be the death of our Republic:  The 24/7 news cycle has been a killer this campaign season as well as the media mindset that developed around it. The signal event that knocked Cain out of first place was an eleven second pause in an editorial board meeting. In the information age, I guess  that pause is an eternity.

The media coverage and mass hysteria that followed was absurd. One reason we consider the Founding Fathers and Lincoln great is that they were not having microphones constantly shoved in their face. Among the Founding generation of leaders was there none that had an awkward pause or mis-spoke. Certainly they did, but the journalists of their era did not make that the story as the concern was about the substance of the candidacy. Certainly, Cain hurt himself on several occasions, but Cain’s critique of a nitpicky media is valid.

The cycle turned uglier with the stories serving as fuel for ugly gossips. I’ve seen rumors of all sorts of things including illegitimate child, not reported in the press, and with no substantive basis being flouted across the Internet in the comments of news stories. While it could take weeks or months to spread malicious gossip and let the rumors take on a life of their own. We do it in hours. Therefore, it seems that the prime contribution of the information age to politics is that we are far more efficient gossips than our grandparents.

As for the news media itself, the media’s prime offense in Cain’s sexual harassment/affair allegations is that rather than them seeing their goal as reporting the truth, they really believed they’d done their job by reporting the allegations.  Whether the allegations against Cain are true or not, the evidence for them was so flimsy that pretty much anyone could be similarly framed. File this as an illustration of, “Why good people don’t run.”

The Campaign Staff Conundrum: Much has been written about the failings of Cain’s staff in the campaign. I honestly cannot blame them for what happened. It’s a common challenge for non-traditional presidential candidates at work.

There are a limited number of top dollar campaign consultants out there who are extemely competent, skilled, and are experienced at what they do. There are many reasons why these type of people are not going to be available to a non-traditional long shot candidate. First, is pure math. These campaigns typically have less resources not only to pay the consultants, but also to run the campaign. Secondly, consultants may not feel like they can even handle some non-traditional candidates, let alone bring them to victory.

So what’s the non-traditional candidate to do? Find the best consultants he can and make do. Usually, these folks are true believers who work for less than the top flight consultants. If all goes well, candidate and staff gel and they’re able to gain traction. Usually, all doesn’t go well. In Cain’s case, up until the allegations, it went remarkably well. Block’s campaign  strategy had Cain at one point leading in 17 of the first 24 states to vote.

Unfortunately, the wheels came off as the campaign moved into constant crisis management mode and no one on staff was prepared for it. Was it Cain’s fault? Cain had no money to hire when consultants were avialable and then when Cain had money that he could have hired someone topflight, the best people were not available.

Perhaps, the biggest confusion is on the part of the American people. Americans, in general don’t have a high opinion of political spin doctors and the whole political establishment is held disdainfully, which explains part of Cain’s rise. However, these consultants provide support and advice that help candidates to succeed. Ultimately, Cain rose as high as he did because it wasn’t a traditional politician running a traditional campaign and ultimately he was forced out because he wasn’t a traditional politician running a traditional campaign.

Return to Sender?:  Rick Lowry of National Review has called for Herman Cain to return all of the contributions the campaign is sitting on, “His suspended campaign is presumably still sitting on millions of dollars of contributions. Cain owes it to his supporters to endeavor to return that money to all those people who gave it to him in good faith.” 
As someone who gave money to the Cain campaign, I’ll say, “No, he doesn’t owe it to us.”  No campaign that has run any length of time has turned around and started to issue refunds. There was no term by which we were promised to get our money back if Cain was forced out of the race. I knew full well that Cain might not make it to the White House. That was a risk I took. I’d rather not be patronized by people like Lowry who think I got bamboozled into thinking this was a sure thing.

In addition, how exactly is the refund process going to work? You refund the last people to give to the campaign? Or the first? Or do you retire all the campaign expenses, figure out what percentage of the funds raised remain after subtracting the costs of issuing tens of thousands of checks to people who haven’t asked for them and don’t want them?  It’d be a massive operation that will probably not be worth it to anyone other than big dollar contributors.

Like with other folks with a campaign surplus left, Cain will be able to use the money to support campaigns across the country financially.

Where Do Cain Supporters Go Next: Regardless of where Cain goes, Newt Gingrich stands a good chance of picking up a lot of support from Cain supporters initially. Though Cain’s departure from the race means that Gingrich will be up next for a full on media examination, and there’s a lot of problems there to cover.

For my part, I plan on adopting no candidate prior to the New Hampshire Primary. I absolutely will not support Gingrich in the GOP Primary unless perhaps the only alternative is Ron Paul. If it comes down to a simple Gingrich-Romney race, I’m supporting Romney.

Of course, it won’t be until after New Hampshire that we know if that is the actual state of the race. Given that Newt Gingrich’s rise from first to third has occurred over the last couple of weeks, it’s far from certain that he’ll be among the final two. There remain three outside shots that have a chance of unseating Gingrich:

Rick Perry: Probably the best chance in the field to dethrone Gingrich. He is improving in his debate performances, and he made a good case in the Huckabee forum for people to take a second look at him. Still, hsi one statement on the border casts a shadow on his campaign.

Michele Bachmann: She has a good grasp of some issues, particularly on foreign policy, but seems too hooked on talking points and gets into way too many pointless conflicts such as the allegation that she stole the email list of a group of Iowa Homeschoolers.

Rick Santorum: Stacy McCain’s apparent new favorite as well as another conservative blogger who backed the Cain campaign.  I like Santorum though he has had some ugly moments in the debates. My big question is money. To call his fundraising enemic is an insult to enemic fundraisers everywhere. While he jibes with a lot of social conservatives, he’s raising money like Alan Keyes with $189,000 cash on hand. How that wins Iowa, I don’t know. And a bigger mystery is how he manages to survive if he finishes strong in Iowa with Florida coming up at the end of the month.


Cain to Endorse Gingrich?

  5:21 pm

A top advisor to Herman Cain, speaking on the condition of anonymity, tells Politico that Cain plans to endorse before the Iowa Caucuses and that the frontrunner for the endorsement at this point in time is Newt Gingrich:

A top adviser to Herman Cain says the former presidential candidate plans to endorse one of his ex-rivals, most likely New Gingrich, this month in order to have an impact before the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3.

“He wants to play ‘who to endorse’ for a while,” said the adviser, who spoke on condition of anonymity in order to speak bluntly. “Then he’ll probably be endorsing somebody in a couple weeks — before the caucuses…. I’d say he’s going to endorse Newt Gingrich,” the adviser said.

The two have a relationship that goes back to Gingrich’s tenure as Speaker of the House, when he appointed Cain to the National Commission on Economic Growth and Tax Reform Commission (known as the “Kemp Commission”), which reported in 1996.

The adviser said Cain would like to play a role in the campaign, and in a Republican administration if his party wins the White House.

“He can go into the African-American community, and there’s a lot of African Americans who like Herman Cain,” the adviser said. “I’ve seen him in churches — this guy can preach. And he can represent the successful black businessmen.”’

A Cain endorsement would get heavy news coverage and would add to the momentum for Gingrich, who finished a clear first in separate polls of Iowa primary voters released this weekend by the Des Moines Register and NBC/Marist.

Be sure to read the whole piece here.


December 3, 2011

Herman Cain Suspends Presidential Campaign

  12:59 pm

The announcement was made at an event which was supposed to be celebrating the opening of a new campaign headquarters:

GOP presidential candidate Herman Cain “suspends” his presidential campaign. He made the announcement with his wife standing behind him at his headquarters in Atlanta.

After allegations of a 13-year extramarital affair and numerous allegations of sexual assault, Cain said it has been difficult to raise the funds necessary to continue to vie for the Republican nomination.

“As false accusations continue, they have sidetracked my ability to present solutions to the American people,” Cain said.

“I am at peace with my God. I am at peace with my wife and she is at peace with me.”


December 2, 2011

BREAKING: Cain to Make “Major Announcement” Tomorrow

  2:11 pm

NBC reports that Herman Cain is set to make a “major announcement” tomorrow in his home state of Georgia.

The Washington Post says according to sources inside the campaign, the announcement will be “whether he intends to continue his campaign.” Cain is inviting “top supporters and donors” to Atlanta to give them advance word of his decision just before he makes the announcement publicly. According to one supporter who was invited to Atlanta, Cain said he wanted to express his gratitude at the private meeting.

The announcement coincides with an event that has been on Cain’s calendar for awhile: the opening of new Atlanta campaign headquarters. That event will be replaced by Cain’s announcement.


DMR Poll: Cain Down to 8%

  10:23 am

The Des Moines Register has offered a rare preview of their latest Iowa poll, and it does not look good for Herman Cain. Cain has slipped from 23% support in the previous poll down to just 8% now. Cain was rated as the candidate most likely to have a scandal in the White House (at 47%), but voters also took him to task over his lack of knowledge on basic issues. Twenty-seven percent of Iowa voters called him the least knowledgeable candidate in the race — a dubious honor to be sure, when flanked by the likes of Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann.

The allegations of a 13-year affair surfaced on day two of the four day poll, but even before that story came out Cain was already floundering in the Hawkeye State. On the first day of polling, he clocked in at just 12%. That number slid further as the polling went on.

Full results will be released Saturday at 7 central time.


November 29, 2011

Signs Indicate Cain Will Drop Out by the End of the Week [UPDATED]

  2:31 pm

It’s been an exciting roller coaster ride for Herman Cain. When he first entered the race — the first ‘major’ Republican candidate to do so — Intrade investors gave him exactly 0.1% chance of winning the nomination. He was a WorldNetDaily columnist, a talk radio host, and former pizza CEO who had badly lost the only other two political races in which he had run. Nobody gave him a chance.

Cain soldiered on after a rough fifth place finish at Ames, and managed to win the Presidency V straw poll which shot him to the top of the pack. Now, however, fate has come full circle and through a combination of verbal gaffes and charges of impropriety, Cain finds himself once again at the bottom of the pack.

Headlines like “Herman Cain abandoned by conservatives” mark how far Cain has come, and how far he has fallen. The bad news is piling up, as one of his Super PACs filed paperwork this afternoon to legally change their name. The PAC removed Cain’s name from their title, which has been amended simply to “Beat Obama PAC”.

Just a couple hours ago, a Cain aide confirmed that Cain will decide whether to drop out of the race by the end of the week. The signs are there that he is preparing to close up shop. He’s calling individual donors to talk to them about the situation – something that wouldn’t be happening if Cain had decided to soldier on against all odds once again.

Perhaps most tellingly, Cain asked one of his aides to cancel a New York media dinner that was set for Sunday night. Cain asked for the dinner to be canceled “in case he dropped out of the race.

Up until that cancellation, Cain had said multiple times that he would keep his campaign schedule while he sorted through all this. The fact that he is now cancelling appearances would seem to indicate that the reassessing is all but finished and the decision has been reached.

It is a sad and unfitting end for a candidate that had many Republicans excited. Cain survived a lot during this race. But it looks like he won’t survive this.

UPDATE: Rumor — Cain campaign employees are supposedly leaking that Herman Cain will officially drop out of the race tomorrow.


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