August 26, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Suffolk/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Chris Christie 11.00%
  • Paul Ryan 11.00%
  • Jeb Bush 10.75%
  • Rand Paul 10.50%
  • Mike Huckabee 7.00%
  • Scott Walker 6.75%
  • Marco Rubio 5.75%
  • Rick Perry 4.75%
  • Ted Cruz 4.25%
  • Bobby Jindal 3.50%
  • Rick Santorum 2.75%
  • Jon Huntsman 1.75%
  • John Kasich 1.00%
  • Undecided 18.25%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:17 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Paul Ryan, Poll Watch

August 23, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (41%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (44%)  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%

Survey of 903 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% (47%) Republican; 30% (28%) Democrat; 20% (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (32%) Moderate; 24% (19%) Very conservative; 22% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 7% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:35 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

August 15, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor?  

  • Approve 52% (55%) {55%} [53%] (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
  • Disapprove 41% (41%) {39%} [41%] (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)

Among Democrats 

  • Approve 31% (29%) {34%} [29%] (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 60% (67%) {60%} [64%] (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)

Among Republicans 

  • Approve 78% (86%) {83%} [83%] (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
  • Disapprove 17% (10%) {12%} [13%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 57% (62%) {58%} [60%] (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
  • Disapprove 37% (34%) {36%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)

Among Moderates 

  • Approve 53% (57%) [53%] (71%) {65%} [69%] (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
  • Disapprove 40% (39%) [40%] (23%) {30%} [27%] (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)

Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.

  • Favorable 49% (50%) {49%} [46%] (65%) {61%} [60%] (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
  • Unfavorable 40% (42%) {40%} [43%] (27%) {28%} [32%] (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]

Among Democrats 

  • Favorable 28% (25%) {28%} [19%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
  • Unfavorable 59% (63%) {60%} [69%] (47%) {49%} [47%](41%) {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}

Among Republicans 

  • Favorable 79% (82%) {81%} [78%] (92%) {90%} [87%] (86%) {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
  • Unfavorable 16% (13%) {12%} [15%] (5%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}

Among Independents

  • Favorable 52% (55%) {49%} [55%] (69%) {68%} [64%] (69%) {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
  • Unfavorable 37% (37%) {38%} [33%] (22%) {20%} [26%] (16%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}

Survey of 750 registered voters was conducted July 28 – August 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (36%) {36%} [39%] (36%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 20% (21%) {23%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [21%] (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 47% (43%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 – April 6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28 – November 2, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 7-13, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 – June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 – April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:29 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

August 14, 2014

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Jeb Bush 13% [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 13% [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 7% [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
  • Rand Paul 7% [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] {3%} (1%)
  • Undecided 23% [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)

Survey of 342 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted August 4, 2014The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

August 12, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 GOP Primary Poll

The 2016 presidential election is far away, but thinking ahead to the Republican primary for president, who would be your first choice for the Republican candidate? Just tell me a name.

  • Chris Christie 41%
  • Mitt Romney 6%
  • Jeb Bush 5%
  • Ted Cruz 3%
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Rand Paul 2%
  • Paul Ryan 1%
  • Marco Rubio 1%
  • Rick Perry 1%
  • Ron Paul 1%
  • Mike Huckabee 1%
  • Newt Gingrich 0%
  • Bobby Jindal 0%
  • Rudy Giuliani 0%
  • Sarah Palin 0% 
  • Other 3% 
  • Don’t know 30%

Survey of 255 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July 28 – August 5, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:34 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

August 9, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor? 

  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 47%

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

More data below the fold…KWN

(more…)

by @ 12:17 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

August 7, 2014

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Chris Christie (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 47%
  • Chris Christie (R) 49%
  • Joe Biden (D) 42%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 50%
  • Joe Biden (D) 44%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49%
  • Joe Biden (D) 44%

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:45 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Joe Biden, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 34%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Rand Paul (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 34%

Among Independents 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (44%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 32%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Rand Paul (R) 34%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 32%

Among Men

  • Chris Christie (R) 47% (58%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Rand Paul (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 36%

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (60%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (34%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 32%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
  • Rand Paul (R) 31%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 32%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 60% (67%) / 38% (29%) {+22%}
  • Mike Huckabee 34% / 31% {+3%}
  • Chris Christie 47% (69%) / 47% (22%) {0%}
  • Jeb Bush 32% / 33% {-1%}
  • Rand Paul 31% / 33% {-2%}

Would you like to see Chris Christie run for President in 2016 or not?

  • Yes 46%
  • No 49%

Among Men

  • Yes 50%
  • No 44%

Among Women 

  • Yes 42%
  • No 53%

Survey of 1,148 registered voters was conducted July 31 – August 4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% (33%) Democrat; 24% (25%) Republican; 35% (36%) Independent; 7% (7%) Other/Don’t know. Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 55% (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (46%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (48%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%)

Among Independents

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 60% (56%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 29% (31%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 31% (33%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Rand Paul (R) 50% (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 30% (35%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% (33%)

Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (58%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% (30%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (64%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 29% (23%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (66%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 23% (24%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (60%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 24% (27%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 59% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (38%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 51% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (38%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (43%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 48% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (40%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% (36%)

Do you think Mike Huckabee should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • Think he should run 42% (39%)
  • Think he should not 45% (46%)
  • Not sure 13% (15%)

Survey of 1,066 Arkansas voters was conducted August 1-3, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (41%)Democrat; 34% (27%) Republican; 31% (32%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% (28%) Moderate; 27% (23%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (23%) Very conservative; 14% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:15 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

July 27, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
  • Rand Paul 12% {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
  • Rick Perry 11% {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
  • Paul Ryan 11% {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 8% {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 5% {5%} [7%]
  • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 6% {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 2% {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
  • No opinion 3% {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

  • Paul Ryan 14% {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
  • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
  • Rand Paul 12% {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
  • Rick Perry 10% {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
  • Scott Walker 4% {4%} [7%]
  • Rick Santorum 4% {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
  • No opinion 3% {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

  • Rand Paul 13% {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 13% {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
  • Chris Christie 12% {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
  • Rick Perry 12% {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 5% {6%} [6%]
  • Jeb Bush 5% {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 3% {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
  • No opinion 4% {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men 

  • Rand Paul 14% {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
  • Chris Christie 12% {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
  • Paul Ryan 12% {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
  • Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
  • Ted Cruz 10% {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 9% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 6% {7%} [8%]
  • Marco Rubio 5% {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 2% {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
  • No opinion 1% {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee 15% {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
  • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
  • Rick Perry 13% {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
  • Rand Paul 10% {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {3%} [6%]
  • Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 1% {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
  • No opinion 5% {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 470 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.Party ID: 59% {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 41% {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 – June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:08 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

July 24, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44% (47%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 54%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 53% (58%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% (58%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 52% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (40%)

Among Whites

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 71%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 19%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 67% (75%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 20% (19%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 63% (72%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 21% (17%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 66% (68%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 22% (19%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 64% (69%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24% (20%)

Among Blacks

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 10%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% (87%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 12% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (84%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 13% (9%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (92%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 10% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (91%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 9% (6%)

Survey of 691 Mississippi voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Republican; 39% (37%) Democrat; 19% (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% (23%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Very conservative; 25% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (15%)Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) Very liberal. Race: 60% (62%) White; 34% (32%) Black; 6% (6%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:20 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Ted Cruz

July 11, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Chris Christie 19% {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Rand Paul 14% {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Mike Huckabee 8%
  • Marco Rubio 8% {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% {13%} [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Bobby Jindal 5% {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Rick Perry 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Rob Portman 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • John Kasich 0%
  • Someone else 3% {3%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don’t know yet 15% {15%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 55% {60%} [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 18% {15%} [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+37%}
  • Rand Paul 53% {56%} [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 23% {21%} [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+30%}
  • Marco Rubio 46% {52%} [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 19% {12%} [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+27%}  
  • Scott Walker 37% {38%} [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 10% {12%} [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+27%}
  • Bobby Jindal 39% {30%} {39%} [30%] (31%) / 13% {17%} {12%} [16%] (21%) {+26%}
  • Ted Cruz 39% {42%} [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 22% {18%} [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+17%}
  • Mike Huckabee 46% / 30% {+16%}
  • Jeb Bush 45% {45%} [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 31% {35%} [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+14%}
  • Rob Portman 19% {11%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 8% {15%} [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {+11%}
  • Chris Christie 46% {43%} [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 36% {42%} [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+10%}
  • John Kasich 22% (12%) {28%} / 12% (9%) {16%} {+10%}
  • Rick Santorum 38% {36%} (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 30% {31%} (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+8%}
  • Rick Perry 39% {36%} [32%] (36%) {39%} / 32% {30%} [27%] (30%) {37%} {+7%}

Survey of 251 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 19 – July 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:39 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch

July 6, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 49% [51%] (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 43% [43%] (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 37% [34%] (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
  • Disapprove 54% [59%] (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 76% [84%] (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 23% [14%] (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 50% [55%] (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 39% [36%] (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)

Among Men 

  • Approve 53% [56%] (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 38% [38%] (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)

Among Women

  • Approve 47% [47%] (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 45% [42%] (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 717 registered voters was conducted June 25-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% [38%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% [21%] (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 42% [41%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 – April 1, 2014 are in square brackets. February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 – December 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:42 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 22, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rasmussen New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor? 

  • Approve 51%
  • Disapprove 48%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:44 am. Filed under Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 14, 2014

Poll Watch: Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%) 
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Rand Paul (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
National survey of 723 likely voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014. Results from the poll conducted March 7-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:49 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

June 8, 2014

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

Who has the best chance of being elected over the Democratic candidate in 2016?

  • Chris Christie 19%
  • Jeb Bush 16%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Rick Perry 10%
  • Paul Ryan 10%
  • Bobby Jindal 9%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Ted Cruz 8%
  • Rick Santorum 6%
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}  

  • Paul Ryan 56% (73%) / 23% (10%) {+33%}
  • Marco Rubio 43% (46%) / 23% (15%) {+20%}
  • Rick Perry 49% (55%) / 32% (19%) {+17%}
  • Mike Huckabee 50% (66%) / 34% (17%) {+16%}
  • Rand Paul 46% (51%) / 30% (23%) {+16%}
  • Bobby Jindal 35% / 19% {+16%}
  • Ted Cruz 38% (46%) / 26% (17%) {+12%}
  • Rick Santorum 41% (58%) / 31% (21%) {+10%}
  • Jeb Bush 44% (51%) / 38% (26%) {+6%}
  • Chris Christie 42% (51%) / 40% (30%) {+2%}

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 27-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:33 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 6, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

  • Chris Christie 23% [26%] (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 14% (9%)
  • Rand Paul 12% [14%] (17%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% [16%]
  • Jeb Bush 10% [10%] (10%)
  • Rick Santorum 8% [8%] (10%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% [6%] (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% [5%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [3%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% [9%] (6%)

Among Men

  • Chris Christie 22% [29%] (21%)
  • Rand Paul 17% [16%] (22%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 12% [12%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% [15%]
  • Rick Santorum 5% [7%] (8%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% [6%] (18%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [4%]
  • Paul Ryan 4% [3%] (5%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% [8%] (4%)

Among Women 

  • Chris Christie 25% [23%] (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 16% (10%)
  • Rick Santorum 12% [10%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% [18%]
  • Jeb Bush 8% [7%] (11%)
  • Rand Paul 7% [11%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% [6%] (15%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 2% [3%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 8% [11%] (9%)

Survey of 333 Republican primary voters was conducted May 30 – June 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Ideology: 40%  [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 31% [33%] (29%) Very conservative; 23% [19%] (21%) Moderate; 5% [8%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (4%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 4, 2014

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor? 

  • Approve 44% (41%) [48%] {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 44% (44%) [39%] {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

  • Approve 26% (24%) [34%] {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 61% (65%) [54%] {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

  • Approve 70% (66%) [73%] {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 19% (19%) [18%] {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

  • Approve 40% (47%) [41%] {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 46% (36%) [40%] {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

(more…)

by @ 9:39 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

May 15, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [42%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% {43%} [46%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%] (42%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (53%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 41% {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 58% {54%} [59%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {33%} [31%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% {55%} [58%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {35%} [34%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% {49%} [51%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [31%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {51%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {35%}
  • Sarah Palin (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%} [39%] (46%)

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%} [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [50%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {38%} [43%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [58%] (60%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 32% {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

  • Favorable 36% {39%} [39%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 56% {55%} [58%] (59%)
Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • She should run 19% {23%} [18%] (16%)
  • She should not 74% {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 582 registered voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Sarah Palin

April 17, 2014

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

  • Chris Christie 15% (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (12%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
  • Rick Perry 5% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2%

National survey of 384 registered Republicans was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:43 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

April 11, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 

  • Approve 55% {55%} [53%] (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
  • Disapprove 41% {39%} [41%] (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 29% {34%} [29%] (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 67% {60%} [64%] (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)

Among Republicans

  • Approve 86% {83%} [83%] (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
  • Disapprove 10% {12%} [13%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 62% {58%} [60%] (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
  • Disapprove 34% {36%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)

Among Moderates 

  • Approve 57% [53%] (71%) {65%} [69%] (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
  • Disapprove 39% [40%] (23%) {30%} [27%] (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)

Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.

  • Favorable 50% {49%} [46%] (65%) {61%} [60%] (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
  • Unfavorable 42% {40%} [43%] (27%) {28%} [32%] (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]

Among Democrats

  • Favorable 25% {28%} [19%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
  • Unfavorable 63% {60%} [69%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (41%) {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}

Among Republicans

  • Favorable 82% {81%} [78%] (92%) {90%} [87%] (86%) {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
  • Unfavorable 13% {12%} [15%] (5%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}

Among Independents

  • Favorable 55% {49%} [55%] (69%) {68%} [64%] (69%) {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
  • Unfavorable 37% {38%} [33%] (22%) {20%} [26%] (16%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}

Survey of 731 registered voters was conducted March 31 – April 6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {36%} [39%] (36%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 21% {23%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [21%] (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 43% {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28 – November 2, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-13, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 – June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 – April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:35 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

April 9, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor? 

  • Approve 49% {55%} [68%] (69%) {67%} [70%] (74%) {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 44% {38%} [26%] (27%) {24%} [23%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 23% {36%} [51%] (41%) {46%} [48%] (56%) {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
  • Disapprove 68% {55%} [43%] (52%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)

Among Republicans

  • Approve 82% {81%} [90%] (96%) {91%} [93%] (94%) {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
  • Disapprove 14% {16%} [6%] (3%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 54% {56%} [70%] (78%) {73%} [73%] (77%) {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 39% {37%} [24%] (18%) {19%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)

Among Men

  • Approve 53% {54%} [67%] (71%) {72%} [75%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 43% {39%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [19%] (15%) {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)

Among Women

  • Approve 46% {55%} [69%] (66%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
  • Disapprove 45% {37%} [25%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)

Survey of 1,356 New Jersey voters was conducted April 2-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {32%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% {21%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 34% {39%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {7%} [9%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don’t know.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 – September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:05 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

April 2, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 51% (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 43% (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 34% (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%){30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
  • Disapprove 59% (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 84% (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 14% (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 55% (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 36% (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)

Among Men 

  • Approve 56% (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 38% (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)

Among Women

  • Approve 47% (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 42% (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 690 registered voters was conducted March 30 – April 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 41% (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 – December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:11 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

March 29, 2014

Romney Redux?

There are a number of serious Republicans interested in running for president, at this early point, in two years.

Some of them, such as Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio don’t seem to have a broad enough base that would enable them to win the nomination, but they have motivated and vocal supporters, and if they run, they will be notable factors in the Republican primaries and caucuses.

Others, including Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee and Rick Perry might be seen as figures of the past, and might not run (although Governor Perry is making serious noises about another run in 2016).

2012 vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, Governors Susana Martinez, Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal, and John Kasich are frequently mentioned, but have yet to indicate their serious interest in 2016.

The two figures who would probably be frontrunners, Governor Chris Christie and former Governor Jeb Bush, have current political problems to overcome (although it is more likely than not that one of these two men will be the GOP nominee).

On the other hand, if the field is large, the primaries and caucuses very bitter, AND the frontrunners falter, the resulting stalemate might propel forward a name which has not really been mentioned seriously, 2012 nominee Mitt Romney, back into contention.

Romney was perhaps the wrong candidate for 2012 because his persona played into the negative Democratic media campaign that year, and because he did not, at the end, assemble as competitive campaign as did Barack Obama. But 2016 promises a very different political environment. After two terms of Mr. Obama, the voters may be weary of any Democrat (as they were in 2008 of any Republican). We must await the results of the 2014 midterm elections to draw more precise and verified conclusions, but Obamacare almost alone seems to be moving the electorate to the GOP, and threatening to ruin the Democratic Party brand for years to come.

In spite of withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, changing our approach to the Middle East by diminishing our long alliance with Israel in a trade-off for (so-far) feckless relationships with other players in the region, and reducing our military and defenses, Mr. Obama’s numbers are very low in polls about his performance in foreign policy. He has been out-dueled so far in his relationship with Russian President Putin. His first term secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party in 2016, but, although she will surely try to do so, it might be difficult for her to separate herself from Mr. Obama and her own actions (including her “re-set” with Russia) when working for him. (Remember Hubert Humphrey attempting to do this in 1968?)

Mr. Romney’s assertion that Russia and Mr. Putin were a major problem for the U.S., an assertion he made in the 2012 campaign, and subsequently ridiculed by Mr. Obama, looks rather prescient these days. So do many of his views on the domestic issues he ran on in 2012.

Only twice in the past 100 years has a defeated Republican presidential nominee been renominated by his party. Thomas Dewey lost in 1944, and lost again in 1948. Richard Nixon lost in 1960, but won in 1968 (and again in 1972).

In spite of his recent public visibility, there are no indications that Mitt Romney is even thinking about running again in 2016, nor under present circumstances, would he be considered a serious candidate. But in spite of the large number of major GOP candidates, the Republican field is not yet in focus for one of them to win the nomination.

Considering Mr. Romney’s stature, it is not without some curious interest to speculate, and it’s only speculation, that, in certain circumstances, he might resolve a GOP convention stalemate, or even earlier, return to the campaign field.

I’m just saying.

_________________________________________________________

-Copyright (c) by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

March 12, 2014

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 41% [48%] {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 44% [39%] {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

  • Approve 24% [34%] {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 65% [54%] {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

  • Approve 66% [73%] {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 19% [18%] {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

  • Approve 47% [41%] {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 36% [40%] {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Men

  • Approve 42% [48%] {63%} (67%) [65%] {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
  • Disapprove 43% [41%] {23%} (19%) [26%] {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

  • Approve 40% [48%] {58%} (56%) [52%] {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
  • Disapprove 46% [38%] {24%} (29%) [32%] {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%]{53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Survey of 703 registered voters was conducted March 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 45% [44%] {44%} (46%) [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 30% [33%] {35%} (35%) [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 25% [23%] {21%} (19%) [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 20-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 – October 5, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 – May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 – April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:48 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

March 11, 2014

Less Ado About Christie

Some Democrats, recognizing New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s immense potential appeal to voters as a presidential candidate in 2016, have seemed determined to “smear” him out of the race by labeling him a “bully” and trying to associate him directly with alleged scandals in his home state.

It could work. Democrats are very good at this sort of thing. The only problem, and this is very much part of his appeal, is that Mr. Christie is not content, as are most Republican politicians, just to play defense.

There were several days a few weeks ago when it seemed that most of the U.S. political news was about the so-called “bridgegate” in New Jersey. Virtually every pundit, on the right and the left, was writing Mr. Christie’s purported presidential ambitions off. Soon, however, it became apparent that the Democrats and their media allies (and some GOP rivals) were trying, if you will, to “bully” Mr. Christie out of the national scene, and a number of conservative politicians and commentators belatedly rallied to his side.

Governor Christie’s own response to the facts in the case and to the allegations made against him should be a model for other politicians to emulate. He came forward immediately, denounced the wrongdoing, fired those evidently responsible, and apologized for what happened “on his watch.” Then went back to his job.

In the meantime, the “hot’ story has become as cold as an old political promise. Mr. Christie’s appeal as a formidable fundraiser reappeared as he broke records in obtaining funds for the Republican Governors Association (of which he is this year’s chair). Then, in an invited appearance at a very conservative conference (which had refused to invite him a year ago), he was warmly welcomed with a standing ovation. Finally, Mr. Christie announced he would no longer answer questions about “bridgegate,” having voluntarily been willing to answer them at length previously.

Governor Christie has a long, long way to go if he wishes to be the 2016 Republican presidential nominee. But he has so far survived handily a major political crisis. Those in both parties who want to push him out of the way now know that the qualities that made him seem so formidable so early in the political contest are much stronger than perhaps generally thought.

Chris Christie might yet falter. He might not choose to run for president. But if he enters the contest (presumably) in 2015, he will likely again be one of the frontrunners, and probably the man to beat.

————————————————————————————–
Copyright (c) 2014 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

by @ 2:54 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie

March 4, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Rand Paul (R) 29%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 34%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Rand Paul (R) 29%

Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Rand Paul (R) 27%

Among Men 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Rand Paul (R) 34%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Chris Christie (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
  • Rand Paul (R) 24%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Andrew Cuomo 47% / 19% {+28%}
  • Hillary Clinton 59% / 32% {+27%}
  • Chris Christie 48% / 40% {+8%}
  • Paul Ryan 29% / 29% {0%}
  • Rand Paul 26% / 34% {-8%}

Survey of 729 registered voters was conducted February 22-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 23% Republican; 41% Independent/Other. Ideology: 48% Moderate; 27% Liberal; 24% Conservative. Click here to view crosstabs.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:18 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

March 3, 2014

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

  • Chris Christie 19%
  • Jeb Bush 18%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Paul Ryan 13%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Rand Paul 7%
  • Marco Rubio 4%
  • Scott Walker 3%
  • Undecided 13%

Survey of 338 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:04 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

February 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 49% {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%}[42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 46% {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

(more…)

by @ 10:14 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

February 14, 2014

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Chris Christie (R) 39%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted February 5-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 37% Republican; 20% Independent. Ideology: 37% Moderate; 36% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

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