July 27, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
  • Rand Paul 12% {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
  • Rick Perry 11% {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
  • Paul Ryan 11% {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 8% {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 5% {5%} [7%]
  • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 6% {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 2% {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
  • No opinion 3% {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

  • Paul Ryan 14% {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
  • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
  • Rand Paul 12% {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
  • Rick Perry 10% {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
  • Scott Walker 4% {4%} [7%]
  • Rick Santorum 4% {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
  • No opinion 3% {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

  • Rand Paul 13% {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 13% {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
  • Chris Christie 12% {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
  • Rick Perry 12% {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
  • Paul Ryan 7% {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 5% {6%} [6%]
  • Jeb Bush 5% {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 3% {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
  • No opinion 4% {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men 

  • Rand Paul 14% {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
  • Chris Christie 12% {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
  • Paul Ryan 12% {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
  • Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
  • Ted Cruz 10% {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 9% {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 6% {7%} [8%]
  • Marco Rubio 5% {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 7% {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 2% {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
  • No opinion 1% {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee 15% {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
  • Chris Christie 13% {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
  • Rick Perry 13% {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
  • Rand Paul 10% {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {3%} [6%]
  • Rick Santorum 3% {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
  • Someone else (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
  • None/No one (vol.) 1% {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
  • No opinion 5% {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 470 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.Party ID: 59% {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 41% {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 – June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:08 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

July 24, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44% (47%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 54%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 53% (58%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% (58%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 52% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (40%)

Among Whites

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 71%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 19%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 67% (75%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 20% (19%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 63% (72%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 21% (17%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 66% (68%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 22% (19%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 64% (69%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24% (20%)

Among Blacks

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 10%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% (87%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 12% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (84%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 13% (9%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 81% (92%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 10% (4%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 82% (91%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 9% (6%)

Survey of 691 Mississippi voters was conducted July 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (43%) Republican; 39% (37%) Democrat; 19% (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% (23%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Very conservative; 25% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 14% (15%)Somewhat liberal; 10% (11%) Very liberal. Race: 60% (62%) White; 34% (32%) Black; 6% (6%) Other. Results from the poll conducted November 15-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:20 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Ted Cruz

July 11, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Chris Christie 19% {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Rand Paul 14% {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Mike Huckabee 8%
  • Marco Rubio 8% {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% {13%} [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Bobby Jindal 5% {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Rick Perry 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Rob Portman 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • John Kasich 0%
  • Someone else 3% {3%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don’t know yet 15% {15%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 55% {60%} [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 18% {15%} [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+37%}
  • Rand Paul 53% {56%} [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 23% {21%} [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+30%}
  • Marco Rubio 46% {52%} [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 19% {12%} [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+27%}  
  • Scott Walker 37% {38%} [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 10% {12%} [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+27%}
  • Bobby Jindal 39% {30%} {39%} [30%] (31%) / 13% {17%} {12%} [16%] (21%) {+26%}
  • Ted Cruz 39% {42%} [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 22% {18%} [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+17%}
  • Mike Huckabee 46% / 30% {+16%}
  • Jeb Bush 45% {45%} [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 31% {35%} [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+14%}
  • Rob Portman 19% {11%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 8% {15%} [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {+11%}
  • Chris Christie 46% {43%} [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 36% {42%} [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+10%}
  • John Kasich 22% (12%) {28%} / 12% (9%) {16%} {+10%}
  • Rick Santorum 38% {36%} (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 30% {31%} (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+8%}
  • Rick Perry 39% {36%} [32%] (36%) {39%} / 32% {30%} [27%] (30%) {37%} {+7%}

Survey of 251 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 19 – July 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:39 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch

July 6, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 49% [51%] (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 43% [43%] (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 37% [34%] (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
  • Disapprove 54% [59%] (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 76% [84%] (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 23% [14%] (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 50% [55%] (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 39% [36%] (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)

Among Men 

  • Approve 53% [56%] (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 38% [38%] (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)

Among Women

  • Approve 47% [47%] (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 45% [42%] (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 717 registered voters was conducted June 25-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% [38%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% [21%] (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 42% [41%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 – April 1, 2014 are in square brackets. February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 – December 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:42 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 22, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rasmussen New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor? 

  • Approve 51%
  • Disapprove 48%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted June 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:44 am. Filed under Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 14, 2014

Poll Watch: Bloomberg/Selzer & Co. 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (52%) 
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Rand Paul (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
National survey of 723 likely voters was conducted June 6-9, 2014. Results from the poll conducted March 7-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:49 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

June 8, 2014

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

Who has the best chance of being elected over the Democratic candidate in 2016?

  • Chris Christie 19%
  • Jeb Bush 16%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Rand Paul 13%
  • Rick Perry 10%
  • Paul Ryan 10%
  • Bobby Jindal 9%
  • Marco Rubio 9%
  • Ted Cruz 8%
  • Rick Santorum 6%
  • Scott Walker 6%
  • Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}  

  • Paul Ryan 56% (73%) / 23% (10%) {+33%}
  • Marco Rubio 43% (46%) / 23% (15%) {+20%}
  • Rick Perry 49% (55%) / 32% (19%) {+17%}
  • Mike Huckabee 50% (66%) / 34% (17%) {+16%}
  • Rand Paul 46% (51%) / 30% (23%) {+16%}
  • Bobby Jindal 35% / 19% {+16%}
  • Ted Cruz 38% (46%) / 26% (17%) {+12%}
  • Rick Santorum 41% (58%) / 31% (21%) {+10%}
  • Jeb Bush 44% (51%) / 38% (26%) {+6%}
  • Chris Christie 42% (51%) / 40% (30%) {+2%}

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 27-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-11, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:33 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 6, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

  • Chris Christie 23% [26%] (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 14% (9%)
  • Rand Paul 12% [14%] (17%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% [16%]
  • Jeb Bush 10% [10%] (10%)
  • Rick Santorum 8% [8%] (10%)
  • Marco Rubio 6% [6%] (17%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% [5%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [3%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 9% [9%] (6%)

Among Men

  • Chris Christie 22% [29%] (21%)
  • Rand Paul 17% [16%] (22%)
  • Mike Huckabee 12% (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 12% [12%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 9% [15%]
  • Rick Santorum 5% [7%] (8%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% [6%] (18%)
  • Scott Walker 4% [4%]
  • Paul Ryan 4% [3%] (5%)
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% [8%] (4%)

Among Women 

  • Chris Christie 25% [23%] (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 16% (10%)
  • Rick Santorum 12% [10%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 11% [18%]
  • Jeb Bush 8% [7%] (11%)
  • Rand Paul 7% [11%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% [6%] (15%)
  • Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (6%)
  • Scott Walker 2% [3%]
  • Someone else/Not sure 8% [11%] (9%)

Survey of 333 Republican primary voters was conducted May 30 – June 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Ideology: 40%  [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 31% [33%] (29%) Very conservative; 23% [19%] (21%) Moderate; 5% [8%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [3%] (4%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

June 4, 2014

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor? 

  • Approve 44% (41%) [48%] {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 44% (44%) [39%] {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

  • Approve 26% (24%) [34%] {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 61% (65%) [54%] {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

  • Approve 70% (66%) [73%] {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 19% (19%) [18%] {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

  • Approve 40% (47%) [41%] {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 46% (36%) [40%] {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

(more…)

by @ 9:39 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

May 15, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [42%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 44% {43%} [46%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%] (42%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (53%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 41% {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Men

  • Jeb Bush (R) 58% {54%} [59%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {33%} [31%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% {55%} [58%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {35%} [34%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 51% {49%} [51%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [31%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {51%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {35%}
  • Sarah Palin (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%} [39%] (46%)

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%} [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [50%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {38%} [43%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 37% {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [58%] (60%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 32% {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

  • Favorable 36% {39%} [39%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 56% {55%} [58%] (59%)
Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • She should run 19% {23%} [18%] (16%)
  • She should not 74% {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 582 registered voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Sarah Palin

April 17, 2014

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

  • Chris Christie 15% (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (12%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
  • Rick Perry 5% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2%

National survey of 384 registered Republicans was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:43 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

April 11, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 

  • Approve 55% {55%} [53%] (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
  • Disapprove 41% {39%} [41%] (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 29% {34%} [29%] (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 67% {60%} [64%] (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)

Among Republicans

  • Approve 86% {83%} [83%] (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
  • Disapprove 10% {12%} [13%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 62% {58%} [60%] (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
  • Disapprove 34% {36%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)

Among Moderates 

  • Approve 57% [53%] (71%) {65%} [69%] (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
  • Disapprove 39% [40%] (23%) {30%} [27%] (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)

Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.

  • Favorable 50% {49%} [46%] (65%) {61%} [60%] (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
  • Unfavorable 42% {40%} [43%] (27%) {28%} [32%] (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]

Among Democrats

  • Favorable 25% {28%} [19%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
  • Unfavorable 63% {60%} [69%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (41%) {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}

Among Republicans

  • Favorable 82% {81%} [78%] (92%) {90%} [87%] (86%) {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
  • Unfavorable 13% {12%} [15%] (5%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}

Among Independents

  • Favorable 55% {49%} [55%] (69%) {68%} [64%] (69%) {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
  • Unfavorable 37% {38%} [33%] (22%) {20%} [26%] (16%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}

Survey of 731 registered voters was conducted March 31 – April 6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {36%} [39%] (36%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 21% {23%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [21%] (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 43% {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28 – November 2, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-13, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 – June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 – April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:35 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

April 9, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor? 

  • Approve 49% {55%} [68%] (69%) {67%} [70%] (74%) {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 44% {38%} [26%] (27%) {24%} [23%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 23% {36%} [51%] (41%) {46%} [48%] (56%) {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
  • Disapprove 68% {55%} [43%] (52%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)

Among Republicans

  • Approve 82% {81%} [90%] (96%) {91%} [93%] (94%) {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
  • Disapprove 14% {16%} [6%] (3%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 54% {56%} [70%] (78%) {73%} [73%] (77%) {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 39% {37%} [24%] (18%) {19%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)

Among Men

  • Approve 53% {54%} [67%] (71%) {72%} [75%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 43% {39%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [19%] (15%) {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)

Among Women

  • Approve 46% {55%} [69%] (66%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
  • Disapprove 45% {37%} [25%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)

Survey of 1,356 New Jersey voters was conducted April 2-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {32%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 23% {21%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [24%] (25%) {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 34% {39%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {7%} [9%] (7%) {5%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don’t know.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-7, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 13-17, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 – September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:05 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

April 2, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 51% (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 43% (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 34% (31%) {38%} [47%] (47%) {52%} [58%] (57%){30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
  • Disapprove 59% (64%) {52%} [45%] (37%) {39%} [26%] (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 84% (77%) {89%} [85%] (89%) {86%} [88%] (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 14% (20%) {7%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 55% (54%) {62%} [73%] (64%) {64%} [71%] (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
  • Disapprove 36% (38%) {30%} [17%] (21%) {24%} [14%] (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%) {41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)

Among Men 

  • Approve 56% (55%) {62%} [70%] (62%) {61%} [69%] (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
  • Disapprove 38% (41%) {28%} [20%] (23%) {27%} [18%] (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)

Among Women

  • Approve 47% (46%) {57%} [61%] (61%) {65%} [70%] (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
  • Disapprove 42% (47%) {36%} [30%] (25%) {26%} [16%] (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
Survey of 690 registered voters was conducted March 30 – April 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (38%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [37%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 21% (22%) {22%} [24%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 41% (40%) {40%} [39%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 – December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:11 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

March 29, 2014

Romney Redux?

There are a number of serious Republicans interested in running for president, at this early point, in two years.

Some of them, such as Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Marco Rubio don’t seem to have a broad enough base that would enable them to win the nomination, but they have motivated and vocal supporters, and if they run, they will be notable factors in the Republican primaries and caucuses.

Others, including Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee and Rick Perry might be seen as figures of the past, and might not run (although Governor Perry is making serious noises about another run in 2016).

2012 vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan, Governors Susana Martinez, Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal, and John Kasich are frequently mentioned, but have yet to indicate their serious interest in 2016.

The two figures who would probably be frontrunners, Governor Chris Christie and former Governor Jeb Bush, have current political problems to overcome (although it is more likely than not that one of these two men will be the GOP nominee).

On the other hand, if the field is large, the primaries and caucuses very bitter, AND the frontrunners falter, the resulting stalemate might propel forward a name which has not really been mentioned seriously, 2012 nominee Mitt Romney, back into contention.

Romney was perhaps the wrong candidate for 2012 because his persona played into the negative Democratic media campaign that year, and because he did not, at the end, assemble as competitive campaign as did Barack Obama. But 2016 promises a very different political environment. After two terms of Mr. Obama, the voters may be weary of any Democrat (as they were in 2008 of any Republican). We must await the results of the 2014 midterm elections to draw more precise and verified conclusions, but Obamacare almost alone seems to be moving the electorate to the GOP, and threatening to ruin the Democratic Party brand for years to come.

In spite of withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, changing our approach to the Middle East by diminishing our long alliance with Israel in a trade-off for (so-far) feckless relationships with other players in the region, and reducing our military and defenses, Mr. Obama’s numbers are very low in polls about his performance in foreign policy. He has been out-dueled so far in his relationship with Russian President Putin. His first term secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party in 2016, but, although she will surely try to do so, it might be difficult for her to separate herself from Mr. Obama and her own actions (including her “re-set” with Russia) when working for him. (Remember Hubert Humphrey attempting to do this in 1968?)

Mr. Romney’s assertion that Russia and Mr. Putin were a major problem for the U.S., an assertion he made in the 2012 campaign, and subsequently ridiculed by Mr. Obama, looks rather prescient these days. So do many of his views on the domestic issues he ran on in 2012.

Only twice in the past 100 years has a defeated Republican presidential nominee been renominated by his party. Thomas Dewey lost in 1944, and lost again in 1948. Richard Nixon lost in 1960, but won in 1968 (and again in 1972).

In spite of his recent public visibility, there are no indications that Mitt Romney is even thinking about running again in 2016, nor under present circumstances, would he be considered a serious candidate. But in spite of the large number of major GOP candidates, the Republican field is not yet in focus for one of them to win the nomination.

Considering Mr. Romney’s stature, it is not without some curious interest to speculate, and it’s only speculation, that, in certain circumstances, he might resolve a GOP convention stalemate, or even earlier, return to the campaign field.

I’m just saying.

_________________________________________________________

-Copyright (c) by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

March 12, 2014

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 41% [48%] {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 44% [39%] {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

  • Approve 24% [34%] {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 65% [54%] {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

  • Approve 66% [73%] {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 19% [18%] {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

  • Approve 47% [41%] {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 36% [40%] {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Men

  • Approve 42% [48%] {63%} (67%) [65%] {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
  • Disapprove 43% [41%] {23%} (19%) [26%] {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

  • Approve 40% [48%] {58%} (56%) [52%] {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
  • Disapprove 46% [38%] {24%} (29%) [32%] {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%]{53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Survey of 703 registered voters was conducted March 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 45% [44%] {44%} (46%) [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 30% [33%] {35%} (35%) [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 25% [23%] {21%} (19%) [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 20-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 – October 5, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 – May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 – April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:48 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

March 11, 2014

Less Ado About Christie

Some Democrats, recognizing New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s immense potential appeal to voters as a presidential candidate in 2016, have seemed determined to “smear” him out of the race by labeling him a “bully” and trying to associate him directly with alleged scandals in his home state.

It could work. Democrats are very good at this sort of thing. The only problem, and this is very much part of his appeal, is that Mr. Christie is not content, as are most Republican politicians, just to play defense.

There were several days a few weeks ago when it seemed that most of the U.S. political news was about the so-called “bridgegate” in New Jersey. Virtually every pundit, on the right and the left, was writing Mr. Christie’s purported presidential ambitions off. Soon, however, it became apparent that the Democrats and their media allies (and some GOP rivals) were trying, if you will, to “bully” Mr. Christie out of the national scene, and a number of conservative politicians and commentators belatedly rallied to his side.

Governor Christie’s own response to the facts in the case and to the allegations made against him should be a model for other politicians to emulate. He came forward immediately, denounced the wrongdoing, fired those evidently responsible, and apologized for what happened “on his watch.” Then went back to his job.

In the meantime, the “hot’ story has become as cold as an old political promise. Mr. Christie’s appeal as a formidable fundraiser reappeared as he broke records in obtaining funds for the Republican Governors Association (of which he is this year’s chair). Then, in an invited appearance at a very conservative conference (which had refused to invite him a year ago), he was warmly welcomed with a standing ovation. Finally, Mr. Christie announced he would no longer answer questions about “bridgegate,” having voluntarily been willing to answer them at length previously.

Governor Christie has a long, long way to go if he wishes to be the 2016 Republican presidential nominee. But he has so far survived handily a major political crisis. Those in both parties who want to push him out of the way now know that the qualities that made him seem so formidable so early in the political contest are much stronger than perhaps generally thought.

Chris Christie might yet falter. He might not choose to run for president. But if he enters the contest (presumably) in 2015, he will likely again be one of the frontrunners, and probably the man to beat.

————————————————————————————–
Copyright (c) 2014 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

by @ 2:54 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie

March 4, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Rand Paul (R) 29%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 34%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Rand Paul (R) 29%

Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Rand Paul (R) 27%

Among Men 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Rand Paul (R) 34%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Chris Christie (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
  • Rand Paul (R) 24%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Andrew Cuomo 47% / 19% {+28%}
  • Hillary Clinton 59% / 32% {+27%}
  • Chris Christie 48% / 40% {+8%}
  • Paul Ryan 29% / 29% {0%}
  • Rand Paul 26% / 34% {-8%}

Survey of 729 registered voters was conducted February 22-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 23% Republican; 41% Independent/Other. Ideology: 48% Moderate; 27% Liberal; 24% Conservative. Click here to view crosstabs.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:18 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

March 3, 2014

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll

  • Chris Christie 19%
  • Jeb Bush 18%
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Paul Ryan 13%
  • Ted Cruz 9%
  • Rand Paul 7%
  • Marco Rubio 4%
  • Scott Walker 3%
  • Undecided 13%

Survey of 338 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:04 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

February 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 49% {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%}[42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 46% {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

(more…)

by @ 10:14 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

February 14, 2014

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Chris Christie (R) 39%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted February 5-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 37% Republican; 20% Independent. Ideology: 37% Moderate; 36% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 50% (46%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 34% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (59%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 31% (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 65% (71%) / 30% (24%) {+35%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 59% (52%) / 28% (27%) {+31%}
  • Chris Christie 41% (55%) / 38% (17%) {+3%}

Survey of 1,488 New York State voters was conducted February 6-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (44%) Democrat; 21% (19%) Republican; 32% (32%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted March 11-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

February 12, 2014

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Chris Christie 13% {16%} [18%] (15%)
  • Mike Huckabee 13%
  • Marco Rubio 12% {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% {12%} [11%] (13%)
  • Rand Paul 9% {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Jeb Bush 8% {8%} [10%] (10%)
  • Sarah Palin 8%
  • Scott Walker 7% {4%} [4%] (2%)

Survey of registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted February 4-9, 2014Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Without Christie or Palin in the race, Huckabee and Rubio tie at the top with 15 percent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:59 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

January 31, 2014

Poll Watch: Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Purple Strategies New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Chris Christie (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 33%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 35%
Among Independents

  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
  • Chris Christie (R) 46%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 25%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 28%

Among Men

  • Chris Christie (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Chris Christie (R) 52%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 29%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 55%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 30%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Chris Christie (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
  • Chris Christie (R) 39%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 36%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 39%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38%

Survey of 1,052 likely voters was conducted January 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Party ID: 27% Democrat; 27% Republican; 43% Independent. Ideology: 43% Moderate; 30% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Wildstein: “Christie Knew”

The New York Times is reporting that former Port Authority official David Wildstein’s attorney has released a letter claiming that Mr. Wildstein has evidence that Gov. Chris Christie knew about the lane closures at the George Washington Bridge as they were happening.

The former Port Authority official who personally oversaw the lane closings on the George Washington Bridge in the scandal now swirling around Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey said on Friday that the governor knew about the lane closings when they were happening, and that he had the evidence to prove it.

In a letter released by his lawyer, the official, David Wildstein, a high school friend of Mr. Christie’s who was appointed with the governor’s blessing at the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, which controls the bridge, described the order to close the lanes as “the Christie administration’s order” and said “evidence exists as well tying Mr. Christie to having knowledge of the lane closures, during the period when the lanes were closed, contrary to what the governor stated publicly in a two-hour press conference” three weeks ago.

“Mr. Wildstein contests the accuracy of various statements that the governor made about him and he can prove the inaccuracy of some,” the letter added.

The letter marked the first signal that Mr. Christie may have been aware of the closings, something he repeatedly denied during a two-hour press conference earlier this month.

In early January, documents revealed that a deputy chief of staff to Mr. Christie, Bridget Anne Kelly, had sent an email to Mr. Wildstein saying, “Time for some traffic problems in Fort Lee,” the town at the New Jersey end of the bridge, where Mr. Christie’s aides had pursued but failed to receive an endorsement from the mayor.

Mr. Christie has steadfastly denied that he knew before this month that anyone in his administration was responsible for the lane closings, and his administration has tried to portray it as the actions of a rogue staff member.

The governor fired Ms. Kelly. Mr. Wildstein, the director of interstate capital projects at the Port Authority, resigned.

President-Elect Hillary Clinton had no comment for this story.

by @ 2:48 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie

State of the 2016 Presidential Field

With President’s Obama’s popularity waning, and with his promise of a transformational presidency long ago thwarted by his own inability to turn around the nation’s economy or enact a bold legislative agenda, eyes are beginning to turn towards potential presidential candidates on both sides of the aisle as Americans commence the search for a leader to move the nation forward and renew its sense of optimism.

On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads her fellow Democrats by several laps, with even sitting Vice President Joe Biden polling well behind the seeming Hillary juggernaut. Given Mrs. Clinton’s popularity due to memories of her husband’s “Golden Age” economy, the contest for the Democratic nomination in 2016 may very well become a coronation. And though she currently leads all potential Republican presidential candidates in early polls of the general election, the aging Secretary of State is now tied not only to her popular husband’s Administration, but to the unpopular Obama Administration. It remains to be seen whether Mrs. Clinton can appeal to the American center the way her husband did, or the way she briefly did during her populist 2008 presidential campaign.

Meanwhile, the Republican field appears to be full of moving parts. In the wake of his re-election last year to the New Jersey governorship, Gov. Chris Christie appeared to be the frontrunner for 2016 due to his panache and charisma and his independent streak, all of which would theoretically allow the governor to sell the GOP message to the sorts of swing voters that Republicans will need in order to snag the White House in 2016. But “Bridge-gate” has hit Christie where it hurts, and with questions raised about the governor’s ethics in its wake, public support for Christie, both in New Jersey and nationally, is waning.

With Christie’s fall leaving an opening for another Republican candidate who could potentially garner non-traditional Republican voters, buzz began to circulate that former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee was considering yet another presidential run. Gov. Huckabee, during his races in Arkansas, had previously demonstrated an ability to perform disproportionately well for a Republican among usually solidly Democratic African-American voters. Despite strong poll numbers, Huckabee’s recent foray back into the spotlight has already begun to open old wounds, as his use of the term “libido” in relation to women has given Democrats an opportunity to try and reignite the 2012 “War on Women” that damaged the prospects of Gov. Romney. It is possible that Gov. Huckabee, for generational reasons, is ill-equipped to run a presidential campaign in a world where every word that comes out of a politician’s mouth is now fair game for a “hashtag” on Twitter.

Meanwhile, the candidates of the Republican base, such as Sen. Ted Cruz and Sen. Rand Paul, continue to perform strongly among Republican voters, while faring poorly in a general election matchup against Hillary Clinton. Sen. Paul’s attempt to become a more mainstream carrier of his father’s message has earned him a place in the Senate and a following among Republicans, but has not given him the kind of national following needed to win the White House at this juncture. Sen. Paul’s potential to perform solidly in both Iowa and New Hampshire during the Republican primaries will make him a force to be reckoned with nonetheless. At the same time, Sen. Cruz is attempting to become the Tea Party candidate for the 2016 cycle, a position that will make for a strong primary campaign but that might not translate well to success in the general election.

Still other prominent candidates are attempting to thread the needle and become a candidate who can garner broad support while still being rooted in the traditional Republican base. Rep. Paul Ryan, currently doing well in polls of Republican primary voters, is one such candidate. While his prospects were dampened by a less than magnetic performance during his stint as vice presidential nominee in 2012, Ryan remains a young, smart, articulate candidate who has positions acceptable to the base and who has demonstrated an ability to win crossover voters in Wisconsin. Still, whether Ryan has the charisma necessary to go the distance nationally remains to be seen. Sen. Marco Rubio once sought to fill the same position, but his star seems to have faded recently, as his positions on immigration reform put him at odds with the GOP base without doing him much good in the political center.

As such, the GOP field remains wide open for other entrants hoping to both garner the nomination and become the nation’s 45th president. One name beginning to surface is that of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. A popular executive in the state of Florida, Gov. Bush positioned himself during the last presidential cycle as a reasonable Republican who understands that the concerns of most voters are not necessarily on the same page as the “playbooks” of today’s Beltway political consultants. At least one poll has shown Gov. Bush holding Mrs. Clinton under 50% in a general election matchup in the all important state of Florida, and another poll shows only a two point gap between the two nationally. Moreover, Gov. Bush leads, or ties for the lead, in two recent polls of the Republican field, and has the potential to become the “establishment candidate” should he enter the race, a powerful position in a Republican presidential primary.

While many observers question the wisdom of another candidate named Bush leading the GOP ticket, the dynastic issues that would normally arise from a Bush nomination would be cancelled out by the nomination of Hillary Clinton to head the Democratic ticket. And while Mr. Bush would turn 63 in 2016, Mrs. Clinton will turn 69 that same year, meaning that both candidates will be Baby Boomers and neither will have a clear claim to Generations X or Y. And while Mr. Bush does not exude charisma, he does exude competence and statesman-like qualities, similar to Mrs. Clinton, and comes across as eminently reasonable for voters looking for a sober alternative to continued Democratic rule.

At this early juncture, though, anything could still happen. If a young, interesting candidate with potentially broad-based appeal, such as Gov. Susana Martinez of New Mexico, were to jump into the race, the dynamics of the race could change entirely. As would those dynamics change if Mrs. Clinton decided not to run. The reality is that the landscape of 2016, while coming into focus, is anything but certain.

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 National Presidential Survey

ABC News/Washington Post 2016 National Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%

National survey of 873 registered voters was conducted January 20-23, 2014. Party ID: 32% Democrat; 25% Republican; 37% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

January 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 48% {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 39% {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

  • Approve 34% {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%}(26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 54% {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

  • Approve 73% {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 18% {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

  • Approve 41% {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 40% {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Men

  • Approve 48% {63%} (67%) [65%] {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
  • Disapprove 41% {23%} (19%) [26%] {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

  • Approve 48% {58%} (56%) [52%] {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
  • Disapprove 38% {24%} (29%) [32%] {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Survey of 734 registered voters was conducted January 20-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 44% {44%} (46%) [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 33% {35%} (35%) [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 23% {21%} (19%) [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 – October 5, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 – May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 – April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:57 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

January 22, 2014

Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 

  • Approve 53% (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
  • Disapprove 41% (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)

Among Democrats

  • Approve 29% (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 64% (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)

Among Republicans

  • Approve 83% (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
  • Disapprove 13% (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)

Among Independents

  • Approve 60% (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
  • Disapprove 33% (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)

(more…)

by @ 4:12 pm. Filed under Chris Christie, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (41%) {42%} [49%] (46%) [45%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (42%) {43%} [36%] (40%) [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (48%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {49%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% (41%) {40%} [36%] (38%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (48%) {48%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38% (39%) {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%) {51%} [54%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 35% (37%) {36%} [31%]
Among Independents
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (32%) {32%} [40%] (39%) [36%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% (47%) {48%} [38%] (41%) [36%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {41%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% (43%) {41%} [39%] (41%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (44%) {42%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 36% (39%) {43%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (46%) {47%} [48%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 33% (37%) {35%} [29%]
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (48%) {45%} [53%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 34% (38%) {40%} [33%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (60%) {60%} [60%] 
  • Rand Paul (R) 30% (28%) {28%} [25%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (60%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 30% (28%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (63%) {65%} [61%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 25% (22%) {21%} [20%]
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 43% (49%) {47%} [39%] (43%) [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (33%) {35%} [45%] (38%) [38%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 46% (51%) {46%} [42%] (45%) {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%) {43%} [47%] (42%) {40%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% (47%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (40%) {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (43%) {45%} [49%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (45%) {41%} [36%]
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (50%) {48%} [52%] (53%) [51%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% (36%) {39%} [33%] (36%) [32%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (57%) {54%} [58%] (58%) {57%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 33% (32%) {34%} [30%] (32%) {33%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (57%) {55%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 33% (31%) {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (58%) {57%} [58%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 31% (29%) {31%} [27%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 51% (53%) [56%] (55%) {52%} (61%) / 40% (42%) [36%] (38%) {40%} (34%) {+11%}
  • Chris Christie 33% (47%) [40%] (45%) / 30% (23%) [22%] (18%) {+3%}

Survey of 1,933 registered voters was conducted January 15-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 26% (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 36% (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 9% (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don’t know. Race: 74% (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 11% (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 8% (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 7% (6%) {8%} [8%] Other.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 – July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 – March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:21 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

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