July 17, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Rand Paul (R) 46% [48%] (47%) {47%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [43%] (43%) {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [42%] (43%) {38%} [42%] (41%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% [42%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%] 
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [45%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [40%]

Among Independents

  • Rand Paul (R) 42% [48%] (52%) {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [37%] (32%) {38%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [38%] (34%) {31%} [34%] (38%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% [41%] (43%) {47%} [43%] (41%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [41%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [35%]

Among Men

  • Rand Paul (R) 53% [55%] (56%) {56%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [35%] (34%) {34%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 43% [49%] (50%) {51%} [50%] (51%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [33%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (32%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% [49%] 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [37%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [45%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [37%]

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [50%] (51%) {53%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 39% [40%] (38%) {38%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [51%] (53%) {45%} [50%] (49%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% [36%] (33%) {41%} [36%] (38%)   
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [52%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% [38%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [54%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [35%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Rand Paul 39% [41%] / 28% [30%] {+11%}
  • Mike Huckabee 36% [37%] / 29% [30%] {+7%}
  • Hillary Clinton 48% [48%] [51%] (53%) / 48% [47%] [44%] (44%) {0%}
  • Chris Christie 34% [35%] [50%] (49%) / 37% [38%] [22%] (17%) {-3%}
  • Jeb Bush 31% [29%] / 36% [40%] {-5%}

Among Independents

  • Rand Paul 36% [43%] / 29% [28%] {+7%} 
  • Mike Huckabee 33% [38%] / 28% [28%] {+5%}
  • Hillary Clinton 46% [44%] [49%] (54%) / 48% [48%] [45%] (42%) {-2%}
  • Chris Christie 32% [37%] [50%] (50%) / 40% [35%] [17%] (15%) {-8%}
  • Jeb Bush 28% [24%] / 38% [42%] {-10%}

Among Men

  • Rand Paul 48% [52%] / 26% [29%] {+22%} 
  • Mike Huckabee 38% [44%] / 30% [31%] {+8%}
  • Jeb Bush 37% [33%] / 36% [41%] {+1%}
  • Chris Christie 34% [38%] [49%] (55%) / 37% [41%] [28%] (18%) {-3%}
  • Hillary Clinton 40% [39%] [43%] (42%) / 57% [56%] [52%] (53%) {-17%}

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton 55% [57%] [59%] (63%) / 40% [38%] [37%] (34%) {+15%}
  • Mike Huckabee 33% [30%] / 29% [29%] {+4%}
  • Rand Paul 31% [30%] / 30% [31%] {+1%}
  • Chris Christie 34% [33%] [51%] (43%) / 36% [35%] [16%] (17%) {-2%}
  • Jeb Bush 25% [25%] / 37% [39%] {-12%}

Survey of 1,147 registered voters was conducted July 10-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 29% [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 27% [28%] (29%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Democrat; 37% [37%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (42%) Independent; 6% [10%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 – February 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:08 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch, Rand Paul
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13 Responses to “Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey”

  1. Ryan60657 Says:

    Rand-mentum!

  2. Huckafan Says:

    1: Rand was up 5 in the last poll. Hilary gained on everyone except bush, where she lost 1 pt.

  3. mark Says:

    Wow, Jeb completely sucks.

  4. Ryan60657 Says:

    2.

    Hill-ionaire’s support did not change from last poll. (maybe 43% is her ceiling?) Rand slipped 2 points, which is within the MOE.

  5. mark Says:

    4. Class warfare! ;)

  6. James Madison Says:

    its a randslide!!!!!!

  7. mac Says:

    “This chart shows why Mike Huckabee should be taken seriously as a 2016 threat”

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/07/17/this-chart-shows-why-mike-huckabee-should-be-taken-seriously-as-a-2016-threat/

  8. mac Says:

    7.

    “In the chart above, former secretary of state Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) is clearly in the best position — she’s almost universally known and very well-liked. Huckabee, though, leads everyone else — Democrat and Republican — in net favorability (+12). And more than half the country is already familiar with him. (Side note: Name recognition is vital in politics. Candidates spend millions of dollars simply raising their name ID. Because if voters don’t know you, they aren’t going to vote for you.)

    Sure, there are better known Republicans. Christie and Bush are two. But as the chart shows, their net favorability is much lower.

    Potential candidates mentioned more often than Huckabee, such as Scott Walker, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, have lower favorability and lower name recognition.”

  9. mac Says:

    “Huckabee May Have Slight Edge in GOP Field for General Election

    Former Arkansas governor and current talk show host Mike Huckabee is arguably in a slightly better position image-wise among the national adult population than other potential Republican presidential candidates. His +12 net favorable rating edges out Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul’s +9 for the highest among Republican candidates. Huckabee’s 54% familiarity score trails those for New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (65%) and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (65%), but is above the 52% average for the 11 Republicans measured in the poll. Christie’s and Bush’s net favorable ratings are among the lowest.”

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/173402/clinton-best-known-best-liked-potential-2016-candidate.aspx

  10. mac Says:

    Jeb already throwing in the towel?

    “Former Florida governor Jeb Bush (R) has joined with a team of bankers to create a private equity investment firm, a development that raises new questions about whether he will run for president in 2016.

    The news comes as Bush is viewed as a potential frontrunner for the Republican nomination for president in 2016. Polls show him running well in key states and many Republicans view him as party’s strongest possible nominee.

    Bloomberg reports that Bush teamed with former bankers from Credit Suisse Group AG and Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. to create a Florida-based investment firm. The report says the firm has been raising funds for oil and gas companies.

    The private equity industry became a focal point in the 2012 campaign. Democrats repeatedly painted Republican nominee Mitt Romney’s private equity career in a negative light, in an effort to portray him as out of touch with the concerns of ordinary Americans. If Bush runs for president in 2016, he could face similar attacks.”

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2014/07/17/jeb-bush-reportedly-created-private-equity-firm/?tid=recommended_strip_1

  11. Dave Says:

    This same poll shows Gardner up 2 on Udall. Some have called Cory the best candidate of the cycle, yet we’re not seeing that part of the poll here.

    I have fond hopes for Colorado in 2014. With ANY kind of wave we will pick up both the Senate seat and the Governorship. Beauprez is looking good as well.

  12. ChrisD Says:

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/173402/clinton-best-known-best-liked-potential-2016-candidate.aspx?ref=image

  13. Mister Owl Says:

    I seriously hope that Warren runs and curbstomps Hillary in the primary. I would hate to have to support hillary as a lesser of two evils.

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