August 8, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

  12:34 pm

PPP (D) Georgia 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Chris Christie (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (50%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 44% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%)
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 43% (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Sarah Palin (R) 38%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (45%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 42% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (50%)
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 41% (38%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Sarah Palin (R) 30%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Chris Christie (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 24%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 64% (67%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 23% (22%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 67% (67%)
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 21% (21%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 65%
  • Rand Paul (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 71%
  • Sarah Palin (R) 19%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 51%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 48% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (44%)
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 49% (52%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (43%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Sarah Palin (R) 44%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Chris Christie (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (55%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 41% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (58%)
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 38% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Rand Paul (R) 37%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Sarah Palin (R) 33%

Survey of 520 Georgia voters was conducted August 2-5, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (41%) Republican; 38% (37%) Democrat; 23% (22%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (25%) Moderate; 22% (22%) Very conservative; 21% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (19%) Somewhat liberal; 9% (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted February 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal


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56 Responses to “Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey”

  1. Dave in AZ:

    I love PPP. It just shows you how worthless they are. Especially this far out.

  2. eric:

    PPP had the 2012 election pegged the whole way. The fact that people still believe in skewed polls is pretty amazing.

  3. DL210:

    Bill Clinton won GA in ’92. It could possibly be up for grabs in ’16.

  4. Joe for the most electable coservative:

    PPP proved themselves to be fairly solid. In fact the only time the polls seemed to be far off was the 2004 election day exit polls. Except for that, most polls usually give an accurate picture of the electorate. The rough lesson of 2012

  5. mac:

    Huckabee is the only one on the GOP landscape that can beat Hillary. Among the GOP, Huckabee has a singular ability to win the votes of African-American born-agains, which will be key in throughout the south and Ohio. Huckabee is the only one in the GOP with strong ties to the African-American clergy.

  6. Joe for the most electable coservative:

    R42012 editors suggestion for new posting: Ted Cruz interview in TIME

    Its easy to see why if entered the race in 2016 he would want as many debates as he could. Speaking like this would chill out a lot of centrist cons (not centrist republicans, centric cons) over the course of a primary season. The Palin path (IA, SC) is still there for the taking. I would support Ted Cruz over Rand Paul. I cant believe one interview has me saying this when my whole Christie/Rubio/Jeb/Walker/Ryan thing is still spinning in my head. One interview was all it took. Nice job Senator :)

    If your stump interview would just drop that last paragraph you’ll be fine. Real leaders don’t do political analysis. They don’t have to

  7. Spud:

    Interesting how they’ll go full spectrum, from the pretty liberal Christie to the neoconish Bush, while skipping libertarianesque Paul. That’s odd. Just name recognition? *shrug*

  8. mac:

    Assuming she runs, Hillary will pull an unusual number of women voters, the GOP needs to make up the difference. How? African-American and Hispanic socons.

    Huckabee is the only one who can do that.

  9. mac:

    1. Huckabee is the only one who keeps the south solidly red versus Hillary.

    2. Huckabee is the only one who can win with W’s electoral map versus Hillary.

    3. W’s electoral map is the only path to victory versus Hillary.

  10. Garden State Pride:

    Wow, If Hillary carries GA, she will most likely carry Arkansas, KY, WV and NC.

  11. Massachusetts Conservative:

    I actually believe this poll. First of all, Romney only won GA by 8. Second of all, Hillary’s name ID is about 98% and Christie’s is more like 75%. Third of all, very conservative voters are upset with Christie right now and some of them are opting out of choosing him.

  12. Jerald:

    Wow, that’s some gender gap……and in Georgia..

  13. Jerald:

    The pressure on Hillary to run is going to be tremendous…

  14. Guy from Ohio:

    Do people here realize that Georgia is the next Virginia/North Carolina? Say hello to the next swing state.

  15. Huckarubio:

    Wow, I didn’t realize there was anyone on this site other than me that still cheered the Huckabee vote! Glad to have you mac! Couldn’t agree more and until polls include Huckabee, they are null and void in my mind. People can say “he wont run” or “he is too conservative”, but they are polling plenty of people who might not run. Cruz is a strong right wing conservative as is Sad Santorum and they waste time polling him! Huckabee-Martinez would be awesome.

  16. Joe:

    And someone commented the other day “how nice it will be to go into an election cycle without the Huckabee people constantly promoting him.” Well, they’re baaaaaack!

  17. packeryman:

    Mac, your political analysis of the existing political scene in your #5 post, exhibit either shear insanity andor your inability to eunction in the real world of politics.

  18. mac:

    Thanks, I’ve been visiting this site since mid 2007 but comment sporadically. Martinez would be okay but, I’m thinking Mike would benefit most from Condi’s FP experience and star power, plus I think she’d help ‘close the deal’ with minority socons and women who might otherwise go with Hillary.

    Plus, like everyone else, Huck needs to raise a billion dollars, but I think that has more to do with the establishment deciding to finally support him rather than his ability, or lack thereof, to raise money.

    BTW, love the handle!

  19. mac:

    Ok, I’ll take the bait. Huck is one of the most popular figures in the GOP, twice elected as governor, over-performed on a shoestring budget in 07-08, when they were polling him was consistently at or near the top, is skillful in stump speeches and town halls, gives good interviews, is likeable with strong people skills. His populist message connects with many average Americans.

    He is well connected with the clergy and a sizeable percentage of African-Africans are devout born-again Christians (and socons) who pay heed to the opinions of their pastors. There are also growing numbers of Hispanic born-agains here in Florida.

    I could go on, but there’s a start.

  20. Huckabee is okay, but...:

    Huckabee is definitely a great guy, and his wide appeal has been proven based on his victories in his home state. His run in 2008 was strong and admirable, and definitely set him up to remain on the scene as a player and potential candidate in a future election (2012, or even now 2016).

    However, while his choices since then have been respectable, they are *not* those of somebody who has intention of running for office in the future. His weight gain has resulted in a very odd body shape that does not look presidential – in fact, the odd distribution of the weight makes him look less “leader-like” than Christie. This may sound mean but its true.

    Also, the country is not going to go for somebody who is a Fox News show-host, regardless of the fact that his show does have a nice atmosphere with interesting discussions. The weekly shows also open the door to past quotes of his being yanked out and used against him in a potential election.

    Hosting a show and enjoying a happy life-style of eating is respectable for somebody who made their mark, and now wants to contribute to the intellectual discussion – but definitely not of somebody who will run for President.

  21. Massachusetts Conservative:

    I wonder why anyone is even discussing Huckabee. He has zero interest in ever running for president again. Why hang any hopes on it?

  22. mac:

    As I’ve written here recently, if Christie’s the nominee, I’ll support him. However, I don’t think he puts any blue state in play, just loses by less than others. Meanwhile, I think he makes states like GA, NC, WV, KY and AR vulnerable to the dems.

    Regarding Mike’s current physical state, give him six months and he could be back in 07-08 form. Bill Clinton ballooned a few times in his career. I agree that a run is not likely, but he’s a patriotic guy who would run if his party (and the party’s wallets) were behind him.

  23. Enrique:

    Mac and Huckarubio,

    I agree that Huckabee would be formidable.

  24. Spud:

    Anybody catch the 10 gun bills Christie signed into law today? 5 more still on his desk.

    One of the bills he signed prevents anybody on a terrorist watch list from buying a gun. There are some problems. The watch lists are secret, so nobody knows if they’re on one. There’s no way to get off of one. There’s no conviction required to strip your 2A rights.

    Ahh good ol’ Christie, wiping his ass with the 2nd yet again. Forget your rights, Christie doesn’t play that whole Constitution game.

  25. Enrique:


    If he vetoes a bill preventing terrorists from getting a gun, that is political suicide.

    That bill was a trap passed by Jersey democrats.

    As you mentioned, that law would be impossible to implement, because the watch list is secret. So it is wholly irrelevant.

    Spud, don’t be a reactionary sucker.

  26. Martha:

    Might as well start talking Fred if we’re going to talk Huck. No difference. Neither is interested, and they’re both old news.

  27. Martha:

    It kind of amazes me when people criticize Christie for being the governor in NJ. Hello.

  28. Jerald:

    #27 Martha,

    Nothing amazes me anymore.

    The only thing 24 hour news and social media has done is make ignorant people think they are well informed…

  29. Spud:

    @25: I like how you made a trip to fantasyland and attributed it to me. I did not say anything was impossible to implement, and that bill is most certainly is not. Please don’t make things up and claim I said them, especially when they’re as dumb as that was. Thanks. As for that bill being a trap, if it was then he fell into it.

    As for being a “reactionary sucker” lol no. Go visit some progun boards and see what people there have to say. My reaction was very mild, mostly because I was already certain that he wasn’t going to be competative, and have been saying so for a while. This was just funny watching him put the final nails in the coffin of his white house aspirations.

    The most anti-gun state in the nation, and he’s still signing bills! Lol! Especially stupid bills, like the ban on…oh nevermind. I’m sure you’ll see the article later today.

  30. mac:

    Actually Huckabee is becoming more ubiquitous by the day. His radio show which, BTW, is much, much better than the TV show, will soon be used by Cumulus to replace Rush in many markets.

  31. eric:

    27 Seriously. People who live in heartland/southern red states and only consume Fox News have their own version of the “beltway bubble”. Do you really think the reason we don’t have a guy like Rick Perry governing NJ is because nobody has the so-called courage to run as a so-called true conservative there? Absolute madness. And calling him a liberal is just as tone deaf as Obama’s “price of arugula at Whole Foods” debacle but in reverse.

  32. Enrique:


    Rush will NEVER be replaced. Only when he dies will he be replaced, and even then whoever takes his slot will not replace him.

    Huckabee may have a good show and go national, but it won’t be in the noon-3 time slot.

  33. OHIO JOE:

    “Might as well start talking Fred if we’re going to talk Huck.” Except, no polling company is polling Fred nor are the betters in Vegas betting on him.

  34. Enrique:

    Spud 29,

    If you think Christie is going to push for federal gun laws when he is president, then you are really really really dumb.

    I support gun ownership. Even the gun law in Kennesaw, Georgia which requires homeowners to have a gun. That law has singlehandedly reduced crime in Kennesaw. Impressive. (Except when it is litigated the law will be unconstitutional because no law can require a citizen to purchase a product, well, until Obamacare, but that’s another conversation.)

    Bottom line, Christie is not going to touch federal gun laws as president.

    You’re creating a concern that does not exist.

  35. Rob:

    While I don’t think Huckabee will run, it would be foolish to think he wouldn’t be formidable. Huckabee’s biggest weakness as a candidate had nothing to do with policy or leadership, he just genuinely hated raising money. He does have an overall good and solid conservative record as a governor, and he knows how to fight the Clinton machine. He doesn’t foam at the mouth, which might turn off some in the party. Again, I don’t think he’ll run, but he would be a force to be reckoned with.

  36. Enrique:

    Huck would be my second choice after Christie.

    This is assuming Rubio is not going to run for pres until 2024 when the latino vote is a larger percentage of the electorate.

  37. Thomas Alan:

    It kind of amazes me when people criticize Christie for being the governor in NJ. Hello.

    Eh, there are times when he makes odd choices to run from battles.

  38. Enrique:

    I am hopeful that Christie will campaign as a conservative after his Jersey reelection from Nov. 2013 all the way to Nov. 2016.

    If he does not, I may reconsider my vote.

    But I’m hopeful he will campaign as a conservative.

  39. Enrique:

    I’ll just respond to eric that the “herd mentality” of moderatism on this website is just as pernicious and toxic as the “herd mentality” of conservatism on other websites.

    You people are just as guilty. And equally blind to it.

    In truth, I’m the perfect balance.

  40. mac:

    That may be, but the fact is, Cumulus is replacing Rush with Huck in many markets.

  41. Bright:

    Let not be deceived, no republican, even Christie, can win any of the state in the North East, including New Jersey! Those states need strong liberals. Only Huckabee can win overwhelmingly in all the red states and gets the votes of a huge number Christian democrats across the country. Huckabee supporters are in love with him and will come out bold and strong. Any people besides Huckabee may loose some Southern States to Hillary. Republican needs the charming charisma and experience of Huckabee to beat Hilary. He has beaten the Clinton before and he can do it again.

    I for one do not admire a selfish candidate who indirectly turned against its party candidate for its own present and future benefits. Such candidate will disappoint the republican party if he, somehow, becomes the president. Supporting such candidate will only lead to more republicans back-stabbing their candidates in the future.

    Let the pollsters include Huckabee and let’s see how he performs.

  42. Martha:

    37. Thomas, yes that is true.

    But I think Christie is being unfairly characterized as a liberal, just as Romney was. And that is rubbish. They are/were both practical and effective conservative governors for their blue states. Yet, among the right-wing crazies, they don’t get any credit at all.

    There I go again, defending Christie. Ha ha.

  43. Martha:

    I can see why Huck fans still pine for him to run. If Romney were available, I would be doing the same thing. But it’s not going to happen. There are two things people like to say about him that I just don’t buy–one that he knows how to fight the Clinton machine, and two, that he can peal off black votes. I think they are both laughable.

  44. Martha:

    I would rather listen to Huck than Rush any day of the week. Time for Rush to just go away, I think.

  45. OHIO JOE:

    “Time for Rush to just go away, I think.” Why, because he is not a RINO.

    “But I think Christie is being unfairly characterized as a liberal” Maybe he should start acting like a Conservative.

  46. mac:

    This idea that Huckabee can attract the votes of African-Americans, especially born-again African-Americans, isn’t concocted out of thin air. In addition to having a track record of campaigning for, and winning, an usually high percentage of the black vote in Arkansas, during his POTUS campaign he was one of the view to show up for the BET debate and met with leaders at the NAACP meeting in St. Louis.

    Huckabee gained the admiration of Star Parker and JC Watts among others. Huck attends the SBC convention annually and has a network with the clergy, including African-American clergyman.

    I’ve related this personal story here before, for the past three years I’ve met with a group of guys, fellow born again Christians, at Starbucks on Saturday mornings. One of them is an engineering professor at a local university who happens to be an African-American from Detroit. Once I shared that Huckabee was the first and only politician that I’ve ever donated money to, my friend laughed and said the same was true of him. We didn’t meet until 2009, so I had no influence on him. Could it be that I just happened to bump into the only black Huckabee fan or could Huckabee’s appeal to black born-again Christians be stronger than you think?

  47. OHIO JOE:

    “two, that he can peal off black votes. I think they are both laughable.” What is even more laughable is that Mr. Christie can win the White vote, he will do worse than Mr. Romney among Whites. More Whites will either stay home or vote 3rd party if we are stupid enough to nominate the childish Mr. Christie.

  48. RegularJoe:

    I was all for Huck in 2008. If he ran again he would probably get my vote. I agree he matches up well against Hillary (as well as any republican can, I mean come on it’s Hillary). You’d think someone as likeable as the Huckster wouldn’t have such a hard time fundraising, however another go around would certainly make it easier with his much higher political profile

  49. Martha:

    46. Mac, great story, and you might be right. But I tend to think that what happened in Arkansas among blacks was an anomaly, although there’s no doubt Huck’s appeal to born-again Chritians was there.

    I don’t see Huck being able to raise the money, or to effectively campaign. He shows no evidence of it. He took off in 2007 primarily because he was folksy during the debate, and he presented a contrast to the Mormon the Christian right were suspicious of. But he had no staying power, organization talent, or plan to deal with the issues. He was basically all sound bites.

    I don’t know who matches up against Hillary, to be honest. But I see Huck as a very weak choice.

    OJ, you proved my point. Christie is a gosh darn conservative as anyone can be in NJ, and you should appreciate that, not rip him apart! I don’t even support Christie for 2016. But I might if I think he can do better than anyone else who may run. And I’m certainly not going to question his conservatives credentials if I think he may be the best shot! Right now, no one looks all that promising!

  50. RegularJoe:

    Honestly I think we have a great lineup of candidates. If Hillary runs it will be very tough but if she doesn’t I could see any of them rolling into the WH. Other than Hillary and possibly with the exception of Booker they have terrible candidates

  51. Martha:

    50. Regular Joe, I hope you are right! As of now, I’m still thinking we missed out on having the best president in a generation, so no one looks good to me. Plus, Hillary is running unless she dies or becomes incapacitated in some way.

  52. OHIO JOE:

    “And I’m certainly not going to question his conservatives credentials” Then stop questioning the Conservative credentials of everybody who is even more Conservative than him. Mr. Christie needs to grow up and start acting like an adult. Then we will talk. Until then, I want little business with him. I was willing to vote for Mr. Romney in the general election, but Mr. Christie and Mr. Ryan, not so much. They are a two man wrecking crew to use your lingo.

  53. Martha:

    OJ, ha ha. I agree Christie does need to mature. But I don’t question ‘the conservative credentials of everybody who is even more conservative than him’. I don’t know what you mean by that.

  54. Spud:

    @34: If Christie was President and a bill landed on his desk he’d sign it, without question. I’m not creating a concern, he won’t have the opportunity, so it’s not something I worry about, or that anybody else should.

    @47: Winning at all costs isn’t much of a win. If the person in the white house is a (R) but acts like a (D) more often than not…you didn’t win, you lost.

  55. Jerald:

    #54 Spud

    Once again you are showing you are governed by your emotions rather than your brain.

    If you treated your fanances like you do your politics, you’d be (are?) bankrupt.

    “Let me see, I can share with others and get 30% or I can demand the whole pie and get nothing. Well, I’ll forfeit Christie or whoever and take Hillary. There, that’s better.”

    Good grief…

  56. Viking:

    2016 could be a bloodbath. if the economy is better and the media as usual shills hard, Hillary will certainly walk over everyone but maybe Christie.

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