August 4, 2011

Romney Worries Democrat Insiders the Most

National Journal has just published a poll of “Democrat Insiders” that shows them considering Mitt Romney the biggest obstacle to Obama retaining the White House in 2012.

With the economy sputtering, Democratic political operatives view former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney as the main Republican threat to President Obama‘s reelection, according to this week’s National Journal Political Insiders Poll.

Democratic Insiders see Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who has not yet declared whether or not he will run for president, as the second strongest against Obama. A separate poll of Republican insiders, released Thursday, also showed Perry as Romney’s main GOP challenger.

Who would be the Republicans’ strongest presidential nominee in 2012?
Democrats
(105 votes)
June 2011
(100 votes)
Mitt Romney 48% 27%
Rick Perry 20% 5%
Jon Huntsman 16% 25%
Chris Christie 6% 11%
Tim Pawlenty 6% 20%

Romney has nearly doubled where he was two months ago.  Perry has surged from also-ran 5% to a respectable 20%.

The Democrats continue their odd fascination with Huntsman giving him 16%. The man continues to languish down in the 1 – 2% range in most if not all of the polls, yet here he is in third place among Democrat insiders. They appear to like his penchant for only criticizing fellow Republicans and not Obama.

Nobody else is in double digits.

 

by @ 1:17 pm. Filed under Barack Obama, Chris Christie, Jon Huntsman, Rick Perry, Tim Pawlenty
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28 Responses to “Romney Worries Democrat Insiders the Most”

  1. Reginald Says:

    This should be a very important point in our GOP nomination process. Do we nominate a symbolic candidate, or do we nominate somebody who can win the Whitehouse?

  2. Greg Says:

    Well, a big base of our party will easily convince themselves that a symbolic candidate can win the presidency despite polling and other figures stating otherwise. Rick Perry says, “I am god’s candidate and he will provide the path to a general election victory”, and a big part pf the party is on board.

  3. Matt "MWS" Says:

    If Democrats really knew what they were doing, they wouldn’t be Democrats.

  4. Bob Hovic Says:

    Interesting.

    I’m not much of a conspiracy theorist, and I believe that Romney would be a fairly strong candidate in the general — perhaps our strongest, though I’m not convinced of that.

    Nonetheless, when I see this sort of poll, I always wonder what incentive there is for ‘Democratic insiders’ to answer this sort of question honestly.

  5. Rob Says:

    #4, it’s hard to argue with that logic.

  6. Mark in PA Says:

    3
    lol. nice.

    I don’t get these polls. The results can only make their “most feared candidate” look stronger. So why wouldn’t they vote for the one that they really think is the weakest?? These polls strike me as worthless.

  7. Mark in PA Says:

    4
    you beat me to it.

  8. Thunder (Romney/Huckabee) Says:

    Bob Hovic Says:
    August 4th, 2011 at 1:42 pm

    Interesting.

    I’m not much of a conspiracy theorist, and I believe that Romney would be a fairly strong candidate in the general — perhaps our strongest, though I’m not convinced of that.

    Nonetheless, when I see this sort of poll, I always wonder what incentive there is for ‘Democratic insiders’ to answer this sort of question honestly.
    =============================================================================
    You have to look at the rest of the field to understand.

    Perry — They will run against Bush
    Bachmann — See Sarah Palin, they will paint her he same.
    Ron Paul — No way he can win the nomination, let alone the General
    ZPaw — Too boring to win.
    Newt — isn’t going any where
    Huntsman — will never survive the Nomination process
    Santorum — couldn’t even win his own state.

    So given that list, its no wonder they fear Romney.

  9. CF Says:

    4

    So you believe that Democrats ARE being honest when they hate on Palin, Bachmann and others in public?

    So your conspiracy only works when it applies in favor of Romney?

  10. PabloZed Says:

    I think these “insiders” are simply following the conventional wisdom and the current state of the race. If Huntsman were doing better, or even Pawlenty, each would be considered a threat.

  11. Matt "MWS" Says:

    #10 exactly.

    These candidates haven’t changed in 2 months so much as perceptions of the race.

  12. Thunder (Romney/Huckabee) Says:

    PabloZed Says:
    August 4th, 2011 at 2:01 pm

    I think these “insiders” are simply following the conventional wisdom and the current state of the race. If Huntsman were doing better, or even Pawlenty, each would be considered a threat.
    =============================================================================
    You are correct to a degree…. Huntsman is going nowhere. Pawlenty needs to do well in Ames or else…

  13. Bob Hovic Says:

    Mark in PA (6):“So why wouldn’t they vote for the one that they really think is the weakest??”

    Perhaps they did. ;-)

    Just kidding — I think PabloZ has it in #10 — it’s just CW.

  14. Spenza Says:

    Matt, the Dems are fearing Romney most based on Economical credentials the most.

  15. drobin Says:

    Democrats are scared of Mitt because his demonstrated record in Massachusetts shows that he knows how to get them to work with him even vetoing 700 plus liberal bills while governor.
    Conservative Republicans can say what they want about Romney’s religion but unlike Perry, Romney left his state budget in the black after fixing a huge deficit. Perry’s state budget is much worse then it was when he was made governor. It’s going to be hard to sell Perry’s ability to balance a budget from looking at his.

  16. Rightgal. Says:

    In 08, after Romney suspended his campaign, Howard Dean disclosed that he was ‘relieved’ as Romney was the ONLY one the DNC felt they could not win against. All the other, McCain included, they felt they could easily trounce. Romney would have been a huge problem for them.

  17. Craig for Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    The Dems may fear T-Paw the least but he’s a cookin’ up a somethin’ special for the next debate.. ;)
    T-Paw’s new interview with the Miami Herald. And keep in mind, these two questions are back-to-back.

    QUESTION: Mitt Romney?

    PAWLENTY: Well, I’m not going to play the word game with the Republican opponents… (It’s) interesting fodder for you guys, but not so interesting for me.”

    QUESTION: Name a regret in the campaign?

    PAWLENTY: In one of the debates I had recently, I was asked a direct point about Massachusetts’ healthcare and I stayed focused on Obama, didn’t answer the question about Mitt’s role in healthcare in Massachusetts. That was viewed by some as a missed opportunity. I think I was. It’s something I would have done differently…. The Massachusetts healthcare plan was the blueprint or the forerunner of ObamaCare.”

  18. Massachusetts Conservative Says:

    Notice the change since June 2011? Maybe it’s because the economy has gotten worse since then.

  19. Rightgal. Says:

    Craig 4 …. But the next day, he ‘answered’ the question, when Mitt was not around.

  20. Rightgal. Says:

    maybe too Pawlent sees his chance of president fading every minute, and needs/wants/hopes to keep the veep slot open for consideration?

  21. CF Says:

    17

    TPaw won’t make it to the next debate.

  22. Craig for Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    Pawlenty would be a complete disaster on a Romney ticket.

    You can’t have two boring guys. You need a master communicator and unrelenting pit bull clearing the way as your VP nominee, at the very least.

    And that ain’t Timid Timmy. THAT’S HUCK!

  23. Craig for Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    CF,

    Crazy T-Paw will be at the Ames debate next week. Although I think he’s wasting everyone’s time.

  24. Greg Says:

    The democrats can cast all of the other candidates as being under-educated, unaccomplished outside of politics, etc. Mitt is the one guy that they cannot diss on by saying that he’s another dumb republican.

  25. Reginald Says:

    I mean, you’re going to send a guy like Perry up against the Harvard-educated Obama? Whatever. I read somewhere that Perry has never taken a college-level economics or finance class.

  26. Craig for Huck, Bach, Rick, or Mitt Says:

    Where did Reagan and Lincoln go to school again?

  27. CF Says:

    26

    Nice cherry picking. Where did Thomas Jefferson, Ben Franklin, George Washington, and John Adams go to school?

  28. Matt "MWS" Says:

    “I read somewhere”

    Always a nice way to preface a claim.

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