October 31, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 52% [48%] (50%) 
  • Scott Brown (R) 45% [42%] (41%)
  • Some other candidate 1% [5%] (4%)
  • Undecided 2% [5%] (5%)

Survey of 940 likely voters was conducted October 29-30, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:55 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Reuters/Ipsos Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 45%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 45%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Joni Ernst 50% / 50% {0%}
  • Bruce Braley 48% / 52% {-4%}

Online survey of 1,129 likely voters was conducted October 23-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Republican; 32% Democrat; 34% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 47% [48%] (45%) {40%} [44%] (40%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 46% [46%] (39%) {45%} [45%] (47%) 
  • Some other candidate 3% [2%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (3%)
  • Undecided 3% [4%] (9%) {9%} [7%] (10%)

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Kay Hagan?

  • Very favorable 27% [29%]
  • Somewhat favorable 22% [21%]
  • Somewhat unfavorable 13% [14%]
  • Very unfavorable 36% [32%]

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Thom Tillis?

  • Very favorable 22% [22%]
  • Somewhat favorable 24% [25%]
  • Somewhat unfavorable 12% [14%]
  • Very unfavorable 37% [33%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Kay Hagan 49% [50%] / 49% [46%] {0%}
  • Thom Tillis 46% [47%] / 49% [47%] {-3%}

Survey of 982 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 6-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 5-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 48% {44%} [44%] (46%) {41%} [42%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% {43%} [46%] (42%) {39%} [43%]
  • David Patterson (L) 3% {5%} [3%] (5%) {7%} [4%]
  • Undecided 6% {8%} [7%] (8%) {13%} [7%]

Among Men

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 48% {43%} [45%] (48%) {43%} [42%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% {43%}  [44%] (38%) {39%} [41%]
  • David Patterson (L) 4% {5%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [6%]
  • Undecided 5% {8%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [6%]

Among Women

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 47% {44%} [44%] (44%) {39%} [41%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% {43%} [47%] (45%) {39%} [45%]
  • David Patterson (L) 2% {6%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [3%]
  • Undecided 8% {7%} [7%] (7%) {15%} [9%]

Survey of 597 likely voters was conducted October 25-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 15-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 – October 2, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted August 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted July 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2014 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/News 13/UF Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Charlie Crist (D) 36% [40%] (35.74%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 36% [40%] (40.93%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [6%] (6.32%)

Survey of 850 likely voters was conducted October 24-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-31, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50% [47%] (46%) {52%} [45%] (47%) 
  • Scott Brown (R) 42% [41%] (44%) {40%} [39%] (37%)

Survey of 555 likely voters was conducted October 22-26, 2014The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29 – October 5, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted August 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted June 19 – July 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Suffolk University Massachusetts 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Boston Herald/Suffolk University Massachusetts 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Charlie Baker (R) 46.0% {43.2%} [28.50%] (30.83%)
  • Martha Coakley (D) 42.6% {43.8%} [36.13%] (44.17%)
  • Evan Falchuk (UI) 2.6% {2.0%} [0.75%] (0.83%)
  • Jeffrey McCormick (I) 1.8% {1.6%} [1.63%] (2.17%)
  • Scott Douglas Lively (I) 0.6% {0.4%} [1.25%] (1.33%)
  • Undecided 5.8% {8.4%} [26.63%] (19.33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Charlie Baker 49.0% {44.6%} [32.88%] (35.33%)  / 26.2% {27.0%} [20.25%] (14.00%) {+22.8%}
  • Martha Coakley 46.2% {46.4%} [53.38%] (53.67%) / 44.2% {41.8%} [26.75%] (28.67%) {+2.0%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 – February 3, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Bangor Daily News/Ipsos Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Bangor Daily News/Ipsos Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Paul LePage (R) 42% {36%}
  • Mike Michaud (D) 42% {42%}
  • Eliot Cutler (I) 13% {16%}

If the election for Governor of Maine were held today and Eliot Cutler (Independent) was not on the ballot, for whom would you vote?

  • Mike Michaud (D) 48% {50%}
  • Paul LePage (R) 46% {41%}

Online survey of 488 likely voters was conducted October 23-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 6-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Vox Populi Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Vox Populi Polling (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Thom Tillis (R) 48%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 43%
  • Undecided 9%

Survey of 615 active voters was conducted October 26-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.95 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 36% Republican; 25% Independent/Something else.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Maggie Hassan (D) 48% {53%} [55%] (51%) {45%} 
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 46% {43%} [40%] (39%) {32%}

Among Men

  • Walt Havenstein (R) 50%
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 45% 

Among Women

  • Maggie Hassan (D) 52% 
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 42%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {34%} [35%] Republican; 30% {31%} [32%] Democrat; 34% {35%} [33%] Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Elon University North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 44.7% (44.9%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40.7% (40.8%)
  • Someone else 6.3% (9.1%)
  • Don’t know 6.6% (4.6%)

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 48% (50%)
  • Kay Hagan (D) 38% (38%)

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 52% (52%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 34% (33%)

Survey of 687 likely voters was conducted October 21-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.74 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 5-9, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 47% (46%) [44%] {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 46% (43%) [40%] {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 4% (5%) [5%] {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 53% (49%) [48%] {44%} (42%) [39%] {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
  • Kay Hagan (D) 39% (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% (6%) [6%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {12%}

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 54% (49%) [49%] {45%} (44%) [39%]{40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40% (37%) [33%] {32%} (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 3% (5%) [4%] {7%} (8%) [12%] {10%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Kay Hagan 46% / 49% {-3%}
  • Thom Tillis 42% (37%) [34%] {28%} (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 50% (49%) [48%] {48%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-12%}

Survey of 657 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 46% (44%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 34% (37%) [34%] {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 19% (19%) [21%] {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46% [46%] (42%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 44% [42%] (46%)
  • Other 5% [7%] (5%)
  • Undecided 5% [5%] (7%)

Survey of likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 4-8, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 30, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Bob Beauprez (R) 47% {46%} [43%] (41%) {38%}
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% {46%} [44%] (48%) {48%}

Survey of 573 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 48% {47%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

  • Mark Udall (D) 59% {39%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%)
  • Cory Gardner (R) 38% {46%} [44%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 54% {51%} [54%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 43% {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 53% {48%} [51%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
  • Cory Gardner (R) 42% {43%} [41%] (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

  • Favorable 49% {45%} (34%) {35%} (23%)
  • Unfavorable 45% {42%} (39%) {42%} (25%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Udall?

  • Favorable 42%
  • Unfavorable 49%

Survey of 573 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 38% {37%} [33%] (34%){31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 37% {35%} [34%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 25% {29%} [34%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Tom Cotton (R) 51% [47%] (47%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 44% [44%] (40%) {44%} [43%] (40%)

Survey of 967 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-25, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 25-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Scott Brown (R) 49% {48%} [43%] (45%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% {49%} [53%] (50%)
  • Undecided 2% {3%} [4%] (5%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 54% {52%} [49%]
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 43% {45%} [46%]
  • Undecided 3% {3%} [5%]

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% {53%} [59%] 
  • Scott Brown (R) 43% {44%} [38%]
  • Undecided 3% {3%} [3%]

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {34%} [35%] Republican; 30% {31%} [32%] Democrat; 34% {35%} [33%] Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% [42%] (42%) {39%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% [42%] (44%) {37%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% [7%] (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 83% [86%] (83%) {73%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 7% [5%] (7%) {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% [3%] (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 81% [81%] (80%) {74%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 8% [7%] (11%) {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% [6%] (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

  • Charlie Crist (D) 47% [41%] (37%) {36%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 29% [38%] (44%) {34%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 16% [11%] (11%) {12%}

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 47% [46%] (48%) {45%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 37% [38%] (40%) {32%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% [10%] (8%) {9%}

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 49% [45%] (43%) {45%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 35% [39%] (41%) {30%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% [6%] (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 45% [44%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 42% [44%] (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 84% [87%] (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 8% [6%] (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 83% [85%] (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 9% [8%] (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

  • Charlie Crist (D) 53% [46%] (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 33% [40%] (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 49% [48%] (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 39% [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 51% [46%] (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 37% [40%] (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Charlie Crist 45% [42%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 45% [47%] (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {0%}
  • Rick Scott 41% [40%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 46% [48%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-5%}

Survey of 817 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 33% [33%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 31% [30%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 27% [29%] (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 9% [7%] (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Nathan Deal (R) 49% (49%) {45%} [44%] (41%)
  • Jason Carter (D) 43% (43%) {44%} [45%] (48%
  • Some other candidate 2% (2%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 6% (6%) {8%} [8%] (7%)

Survey of 977 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 – October 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46% (46%) {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 39% (41%) {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
  • Steve Shogan (I) 7% (6%) {8%} [8%] 

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner (R) 37% (42%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 35% (40%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 19% (9%) {13%} [15%]  

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 54% (51%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 33% (38%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 6% (6%) {9%} [9%]  

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 45% (45%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
  • Cory Gardner (R) 39% (41%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 8% (5%) {7%} [7%]  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Cory Gardner (R) 49% (48%) {49%} [52%]
  • Mark Udall (D) 41% (44%) {44%} [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 48% (49%) {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 40% (42%) {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+8%}
  • Mark Udall 43% (44%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 50% (49%) {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-7%}

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner 42% (48%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 42% (41%) {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {0%}
  • Mark Udall 38% (46%) {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 53% (47%) {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {-15%}

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner 58% (55%) {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 32% (39%) {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+26%}
  • Mark Udall 36% (39%) {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 57% (56%) {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-21%}

Among Women

  • Mark Udall 49% (50%) {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 44% (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+5%}
  • Cory Gardner 40% (43%) {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 48% (44%) {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-8%}

Survey of 844 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 27% (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 34% (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

  • David Perdue (R) 46% (46%) {46%} [46%] (42%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 46% (42%) {41%} [40%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 3% (3%) {4%} [4%] (7%)
  • Undecided 5% (9%) {9%} [10%] (6%)

Survey of 977 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 – October 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Snyder (R) 45% (47%) {45%} [43%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (44%)
  • Mark Schauer (D) 43% (39%) {39%} [45%] (43%) {38%} [39%] (36%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2014 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 22-25, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 50% (45%) {42%} [45%] (45%) {44%}[38%] (38%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 35% (34%) {33%} [39%] (36%) {38%} [41%] (37%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2014 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 22-25, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Scott Walker (R) 50% {47%} [50.5%] (49.4%) {46.5%} [46.3%] (47.9%) {48%} [47%] (47%) 
  • Mary Burke (D) 43% {47%} [44.7%] (45.8%) {48.6%} [46.8%] (45.2%) {41%} [41%] (45%) 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mary Burke 39% {43.7%} [39.6%] (40.9%) / 49% {44.3%} [44.2%] (39.2%) {-10%}

Survey of 1,164 likely voters was conducted October 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 6:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Scott Walker

Poll Watch: Rasmussen South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mike Rounds (R) 45% [44%] (51%)
  • Rick Weiland (D) 31% [29%] (31%)
  • Larry Pressler (I) 21% [18%]
  • Undecided 3% [7%] (11%)

Survey of 908 likely voters was conducted October 22-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 25-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Monmouth University Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Nathan Deal (R) 48%
  • Jason Carter (D) 42%
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 5%
  • Undecided 5% 

Among Men

  • Nathan Deal (R) 53%
  • Jason Carter (D) 37%
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 6%
  • Undecided 5%

Among Women

  • Jason Carter (D) 46%
  • Nathan Deal (R) 45%
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 4%
  • Undecided 6%
Survey of 436 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:45 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Paul Davis (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (43%)
  • Sam Brownback (R) 43% {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (39%)
  • Keen Umbehr (L) 5% {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [5%]
  • Undecided 7% {7%} [7%] (6%) {7%} [7%] (6%)

Survey of 623 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-26, 2014 for KSN News Wichita.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Snyder (R) 48.3% [48.0%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [49%]
  • Mark Schauer (D) 43.4% [45.7%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [37%]

Survey of 1,159 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.88 percentage points.  Party ID: 42.0% [41.9%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] Democrat; 38.0% [37.3%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] Republican. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 52.2% [51.1%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 38.1% [37.5%] (39%) {43%} [36%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
  • Jim Fulner (L) 3.2% [2.2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
  • Richard Matkin (UST) 0.8% [1.0%] (0.5%) {0.5%} [1%] (2%)
  • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 0.6% [1.2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Undecided 5.2% [7.0%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)

Among Independents

  • Gary Peters (D) 59.1% [50.4%] (49%) {43%} [49%] (36%) {38%} [46%] (33%) {40%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 26.8% [31.2%] (26%) {37%} [23%] (40%){44%} [41%] (34%) {35%}

Among Men

  • Gary Peters (D) 48.8% [49.3%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (44%){43%} [44%] (44%) {44%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 42.2% [37.6%] (42%) {44%} [40%] (44%){49%} [48%] (41%) {44%}

Among Women

  • Gary Peters (D) 55.3% [52.8%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (42%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {45%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 34.3% [37.5%] (36%) {42%} [33%] (37%) {40%} [41%] (32%) {40%}

Survey of 1,159 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.88 percentage points.  Party ID: 42.0% [41.9%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Democrat; 38.0% [37.3%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) Republican. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

  • Dan Malloy (D) 43% {43%} [43%] (40%)
  • Tom Foley (R) 43% {42%} [43%] (46%)
  • Joe Visconti (I) 7% {9%} [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

  • Tom Foley (R) 46% {45%} [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)
  • Dan Malloy (D) 45% {45%} [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Tom Foley 43% {40%} [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 43% {46%} [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {0%}
  • Dan Malloy 41% {42%} [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 52% {50%} [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-11%}

Survey of 838 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 25% {26%} [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 33% {34%} [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 5% {6%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 – March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:45 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

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