April 20, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 65% [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 6% [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] [0%] (1%)
  • Martin O’Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Someone else 5% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don’t know yet 18% [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)

(Open-EndedIf the Democratic primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Democratic nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.    

  • Hillary Clinton 41%
  • Elizabeth Warren 2%
  • Barack Obama 2%
  • Chris Christie 2%
  • Joe Biden 2%
  • Someone else 0%
  • Did not give name 51%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Hillary Clinton 78% [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 11% [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+67%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 37% [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 19% [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+18%}
  • Joe Biden 53% [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 37% [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+16%}
  • Martin O’Malley 10% [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 5% [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+5%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 10% [3%] [5%] (12%) / 6% [11%] [12%] (6%) {+4%}
  • Mark Warner 13% [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 14% [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {-1%}

Survey of 184 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:49 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 22%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 10%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 11:11 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 19, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Rand Paul 15% [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Kelly Ayotte 13% [13%] [5%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 13% [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Donald Trump 5% [4%]
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 2% [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 1% [2%] (1%) {4%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • Someone else 3% [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don’t know yet 15% [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

(Open-EndedIf the Republican primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Republican nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.   

  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Mitt Romney 3%
  • Scott Brown 3%
  • Paul Ryan 2%
  • Jeb Bush 2%
  • Someone else 6%
  • Did not give name 62%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 60% [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 15% [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+45%}
  • Marco Rubio 52% [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 12% [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+40%} 
  • Rand Paul 56% [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 21% [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%} 
  • Kelly Ayotte 61% [48%] [71%] (68%) / 27% [27%] [14%] (24%) {+34%} 
  • Scott Walker 38% [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 12% [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+26%}
  • Ted Cruz 42% [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+24%}
  • Bobby Jindal 30% {39%} [30%] (31%) / 17% {12%} [16%] (21%) {+13%}
  • Jeb Bush 45% [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 35% [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+10%}
  • Rick Perry 36% [32%] (36%) {39%} / 30% [27%] (30%) {37%} {+6%}
  • Rick Santorum 36% (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 31% (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+5%}
  • Chris Christie 43% [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 42% [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+1%}
  • Rob Portman 11% [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 15% [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {-4%}
  • Donald Trump 23% [29%] / 66% [59%] {-43%}

Survey of 187 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 54%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 3:00 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 18, 2014

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

  • David Perdue 19%
  • Jack Kingston 15%
  • Karen Handel 13%
  • Paul Broun 11%
  • Phil Gingrey 9%
  • Undecided 33%

Survey of 804 voters who intend to vote in the Republican primary was conducted April 13-15, 2014 for Morris News and Fox5 of Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:38 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Rand Paul (R) 44.3%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.3%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 12.5%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 12.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.4%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42.3% 
  • Undecided/Don’t know 14.2%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41.8%
  • Chris Christie (R) 38.9%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 19.3%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.3%
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 39.6%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 16.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39.0%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 17.2%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.9%
  • Scott Walker (R) 40.4%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 13.7%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Mike Pence (R) 32.0%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 24.2%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 37.0% Republican; 36.0% Democrat; 27.0% Independent/Unaffiliated. Party ID: 33.1% Republican; 29.8% Democrat; 36.6% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:36 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

  • Joni Ernst 22.5%
  • Mark Jacobs 20.4%
  • Matt Whitaker 6.7%
  • Sam Clovis 5.8%
  • Scott Schaben 2.1%
  • Paul Lunde 0.4%
  • Undecided 40.0%
Survey of 223 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

April 17, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 10%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

-

by @ 8:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll 

  • Mark Udall (D) 45%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 43%
  • Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 30% / 38% {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as Senator?

  • Approve 38%
  • Disapprove 46%

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

  • Steve Daines (R) 42% (43%)
  • John Walsh (D) 35% (29%)
  • Not sure 23% (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Steve Daines 43% (40%) / 31% (26%) {+12%}
  • John Walsh 33% (25%) / 22% (13%) {+11%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 43% (42%)
  • Gary Peters (D) 40% (37%)
  • Not sure 18% (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Terri Lynn Land 32% (32%) / 32% (22%) {0%}
  • Gary Peters 25% (18%) / 35% (23%) {-10%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 47% [45%] (47%)
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 43% [44%] (45%)
  • Not sure 10% [11%] (8%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mary Landrieu is handling her job as Senator?

  • Approve 39% [40%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 51% [51%] (37%)
Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mark Pryor (D) 39% [36%] (41%)
  • Tom Cotton (R) 39% [42%] (43%)
  • Not sure 22% [22%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Cotton 31% [38%] (34%) / 39% [23%] (26%) {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as Senator?

  • Approve 38% [37%] (32%)
  • Disapprove 44% [40%] (42%)
Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 69% (68%)
  • Joe Biden 14% (12%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% (7%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (4%)
  • Martin O’Malley 1% (1%)

National survey of 395 registered Democrats was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

--Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:55 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%

Among Independents

  • Chris Christie (R) 41% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Rand Paul (R) 41%

Among Men

  • Chris Christie (R) 46% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% (41%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (55%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (57%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Rand Paul (R) 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 49% / 45% {+4%}
  • Chris Christie 36% / 38% {-2%}
  • Rand Paul 32% / 34% {-2%}
  • Jeb Bush 32% / 40% {-8%}
  • Ted Cruz 23% / 31% {-8%}

National survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (40%) Democrat; 38% (34%) Republican; 20% (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:44 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

  • Chris Christie 15% (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (12%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
  • Rick Perry 5% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2%

National survey of 384 registered Republicans was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:43 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

April 16, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 26%
  • Somewhat approve 22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 9:04 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

Mother Jones’ Dumb Hit Piece On Susana Martinez

Mother Jones has published a hit piece against Susana Martinez, accusing her, essentially, of being a vindictive airhead. Headlined “Is New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez the Next Sarah Palin?,” the article features a graphic of smoke surrounding her angry, disembodied, caricatured head.

The piece is a fine example of a fake news article; a piece whipped up solely for the purpose of being deployed in a future negative ad campaign, should Governor Martinez be nominated for vice-president. Most of the article is virtually content-free: the author, Andy Kroll, drones on and on about her biography for almost thirty paragraphs, briefly promising here and there to deliver the goods, which ultimately turn out to be that her policy proposals didn’t originate entirely from her own mind (“On policy, Martinez drew on borrowed ideas”), she sometimes privately swears and calls her opponents mean names, she doesn’t always get along with the state party, and that she and her aides nefariously plot to project a clean public image (“[C]ampaign emails and audio recordings also show how Martinez and her team strategized to maintain her straight-shooting image while avoiding actually being up-front with the public…”).

Stop the presses — Susana Martinez is a politician!

At one point, the article inexplicably contradicts its own headline, suggesting that while “[i]n the media, Martinez is often compared to Sarah Palin…perhaps the best comparison is to New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie.” In “the media”? You mean, in this very article?

Look, I know that when you write for an ideological news outlet, you’re obligated to try to discredit the opposing party’s up-and-comers. But speaking as someone who used to take part in this sort of fake journalism, it’s easily one of the most obnoxious elements of the business — and, while this article may yet serve its real purpose, should Governor Martinez run for higher office, nobody should think that it actually reveals anything damning. The worst that can said for Martinez after perusing Mother Jones’ evidence is that she is simply a politician and a human being — ambitious, calculating, and imperfect. Basically, just like Hillary Clinton. I eagerly await Mother Jones‘ hit piece comparing Secretary Clinton to Sarah Palin.

by @ 1:55 pm. Filed under 2016, Susana Martinez, Veep Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Charlie Crist (D) 46%
  • Rick Scott (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 7%
  • Undecided 6%

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 80%
  • Rick Scott (R) 13%
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 4%

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 71%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 14%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 6%

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 43%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 40%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 7%

Among Moderates

  • Charlie Crist (D) 57%
  • Rick Scott (R) 33%
  • Some other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 5%

 

Among Men

  • Charlie Crist (D) 47%
  • Rick Scott (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 9%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46%
  • Rick Scott (R) 42%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 7%

Survey of 502 likely voters was conducted April 10-14, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent. Ideology: 45% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 20% Liberal.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:54 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [52%] {56%} [53%]
  • Paul Ryan (R) 43% [44%] {40%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [55%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [56%] {57%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39% [39%] {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] {52%} [50%] (52%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 38% [37%] {42%} [38%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)

National survey of 1,036 registered voters was conducted April 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 13% (13%)
  • Jeb Bush 13% (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 12% (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
  • Rand Paul 12% (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
  • Paul Ryan 12% (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
  • Ted Cruz 4% (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
  • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
  • Rick Perry 3% (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
  • John Kasich 0% (1%)
  • Undecided 14% (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)

Survey of 416 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted April 7-10, 2014The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Mitchell Research Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Mitchell Research Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 44% (32%)
  • Gary Peters (D) 38% (33%)
  • Undecided 18% (35%)

Survey of 1,460 likely voters was conducted April 9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.56 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% (41%) Democrat; 36% (37%) Republican; 19% (17%) Independent; 7% (5%) Another party. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

April 15, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 25%
  • Somewhat approve 22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 41%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 8:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 

  • Mike Huckabee 14.7%
  • Jeb Bush 10.7%
  • Rand Paul 8.5%
  • Paul Ryan 8.3%
  • Chris Christie 8.0%
  • Ted Cruz 6.2%
  • Marco Rubio 4.7%
  • Rick Santorum 4.7%
  • Scott Walker 4.7%
  • Rick Perry 3.0%
  • John Kasich 0.7%
  • Other 0.7%
  • Undecided 23.8%

Survey of 600 likely Iowa GOP primary voters was conducted April 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 6:22 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Greg Abbott (R) 51% [50%] (48%) {46%}
  • Wendy Davis (D) 37% [35%] (40%) {34%}
  • Not sure 13% [15%] (12%) {20%} 

Among Men

  • Greg Abbott (R) 53% [57%] (50%) {52%}
  • Wendy Davis (D) 32%  [34%] (37%) {30%}
  • Not sure 15% [10%] (13%) {18%}

Among Women 

  • Greg Abbott (R) 49% [43%] (47%) {42%}
  • Wendy Davis (D) 41%  [37%] (42%) {37%}
  • Not sure 11% [20%] (11%) {21%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Greg Abbott 40% [35%] (32%) {33%} / 27% [32%] (26%) {24%} {+13%}
  • Wendy Davis 33% [36%] (39%) {15%} / 47% [42%] (29%) {19%} {-14%}

Survey of 559 registered voters was conducted April 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [42%] (38%) {43%} Republican; 32% [35%] (34%) {32%} Democrat; 24% [24%] (28%) {25%} Independent/Other.  Ideology: 29% [26%] (21%) {22%} Somewhat conservative; 23% [25%] (28%) {25%} Very conservative; 23% [26%] (26%) {30%} Moderate; 17% [14%] (16%) {15%} Somewhat liberal; 8% [8%] (10%) {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2013 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 28 – July 1, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 24-27, 2013 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:21 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Yes, Mitt Romney Was Right About Vladimir Putin

Writing at the National Interest, Robert O’Brien joins a chorus of conservative commentators happily reminding the world that Mitt Romney was right to tag Vladimir Putin’s Russia as America’s top geopolitical foe, even going so far as to compare Romney to Winston Churchill. This has elicited eye-rolling from Daniel Larison, who in 2012 dismissed Romney’s criticisms of Putin’s Russia as “bizarre” and “outdated”:

Romney assumed that Russia was an inveterate foe of the U.S. on everything because Russia sometimes opposed U.S. policies. This took an unremarkable observation–Russia strongly disagrees with the U.S. on a few high-profile issues–and turned it into an absurd, discrediting exaggeration. He seemed to think that any kind of diplomatic engagement or accommodation with Russia on any issue was equivalent to appeasement. It didn’t matter that he couldn’t ever explain how the U.S. had “appeased” Russia (or any other government)–he was just reciting from an ideological script that he picked up from other people in his party.

In light of this year’s events, it is perplexing that anyone could any longer reduce the moral and diplomatic chasm between the United States and Russia to “disagreement on a few high-profile issues” — as if the clash between the two nations is nothing more than a petty ideological shouting match.

One may question the wisdom of Romney’s particular policy prescriptions — and it is no great surprise that the leader of a national political party would “recite from an ideological script” — but the question at hand is not about Romney per se, but about President Obama’s blindness toward Vladimir Putin’s imperial ambitions. In the campaign against Romney, Obama mocked him for being stuck in a “Cold War mentality.” But the so-called “Cold War mentality” is little more than a recognition of the stubbornly persistent primacy of power politics in foreign policy.

As Robert Kagan has cogently written, liberal internationalists have long dreamed of a Kantian world of ‘perpetual peace’ in which reason, diplomacy, and economic incentives will finally replace the need for projections of power — but this is a seductive illusion. The self-congratulating American narrative is that, as a threat to the prevailing liberal order, authoritarianism was vanquished at the end of the Cold War. To acknowledge that Russia is once again a geopolitical threat would be to admit that the ‘End of History’ has not arrived after all — and a war-weary public, tired of the burdens of global leadership, is loath to confront yet another imperialist autocrat who provides moral and material support to the world’s bloodiest dictators, seizes foreign territory, criminalizes dissent, and makes a fool of our president on the world stage. But this year’s events have decisively proven that Vladimir Putin intends to reassert Russia as a great power — and that his vision for the world is unquestionably hostile to American interests — and to the moral vision of classical liberalism.

At the bottom of Larison’s ambivalence toward Vladimir Putin is a sort of benign neglect; a lazy moral relativism that, while well-intended, cannot reliably distinguish between good and evil, seeing in Obama and Putin just two sides of the same belligerent coin. But the distance between the United States and Russia is not simply a “disagreement” over “a few issues” — it is a fundamental conflict of visions about the world order. In 2012, Larison approvingly quoted Heather Hurlbert, who argues that the ‘Cold War mentality’ is a sort of psychological need to rely on the “comfortable certainties” of the 1980s. But it is those who would ignore or dismiss Vladimir Putin who are retreating into the mirage of certainty; the implicit assumption that the existing geopolitical order will persist for all time if we would only leave well enough alone. But America’s enemies will never accept the unipolar order — it must be constantly, vigorously defended. If we choose to shirk from our responsibility to uphold the world order, others will step in and remake it in their own image. Vladimir Putin is taking the long view in his pursuit of power. America must do the same.

Facebook

by @ 7:30 am. Filed under Barack Obama, Foreign Affairs, Mitt Romney, Opinion

April 14, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 40% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 38% 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from April 7 -April 13, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 4:03 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Bruce Rauner (R) 43%
  • Pat Quinn (D) 40%
  • Some other candidate 6%
  • Undecided 10% 

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted April 9-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:32 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 25%
  • Somewhat approve 22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:51 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 13, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

  • Steve Daines (R) 49%
  • John Walsh (D) 36%
  • Roger Roots (L) 4%
  • Some other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Steve Daines 53% / 33% {+20%}
  • John Walsh 47% / 29% {+18%}

Survey of 2,490 likely voters was conducted April 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 1.96 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Republican; 27% Democrat; 38% Something else.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:31 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Join The Community


Sponsored Ad

Meta

Site Meter

Recent Posts

Sponsored Ad

Categories

Archives

Search

Blogroll

Site Syndication

Main