October 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46% {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 41% {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
  • Steve Shogan (I) 6% {8%} [8%] 

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner (R) 42% {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 40% {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 9% {13%} [15%]  

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 51% {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 38% {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 6% {9%} [9%]  

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 45% {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
  • Cory Gardner (R) 41% {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 5% {7%} [7%]  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Cory Gardner (R) 48% {49%} [52%]
  • Mark Udall (D) 44% {44%} [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 49% {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 42% {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+7%}
  • Mark Udall 44% {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 49% {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-5%}

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner 48% {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 41% {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {+7%}
  • Mark Udall 46% {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 47% {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {-1%}

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner 55% {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 39% {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+16%}
  • Mark Udall 39% {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 56% {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-17%}

Among Women

  • Mark Udall 50% {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 42% {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+8%}
  • Cory Gardner 43% {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 44% {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-1%}

Survey of 974 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 29% {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%}Democrat; 32% {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 45%

Among Men

  • Walt Havenstein (R) 50%
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 47%

Among Women

  • Maggie Hassan (D) 55%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 40%

Survey of 645 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 28% Republican; 24% Democrat; 48% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Maggie Hassan (D) 49%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 45%

Among Men

  • Walt Havenstein (R) 53%
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 40%

Among Women

  • Maggie Hassan (D) 56%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Maggie Hassan 55% / 36% {+19%}
  • Walt Havenstein 44% / 25% {+19%}

Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49%
  • Scott Brown (R) 46%

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 53%
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41%

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 56%
  • Scott Brown (R) 39%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeanne Shaheen 54% / 42% {+12%}
  • Scott Brown 44% / 49% {-5%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeanne Shaheen is handling her job as U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 47%

Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 24, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 53% (49%) {47%} [45%] (41%) {41%}[40%] (41%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39% (42%) {40%} [40%] (36%) {36%} [42%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Gary Peters 45% (41%) [35%] (26%) {26%} [22%] (18%) / 36% (41%) [36%] (28%) {27%} [21%] (16%) {+9%}
  • Terri Lynn Land 35% (36%) {35%} [32%] (32%) {28%} [34%] (29%) / 52% (43%) {47%} [49%] (42%) {31%} [23%] (21%) {-17%}

Survey of 723 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014 on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36% Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 2-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 – June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Bruce Rauner (R) 48% {42%} [44%] (43%)
  • Pat Quinn (D) 47% {44%} [39%] (40%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-25, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican, Kay Hagan, the Democrat, or Sean Haugh, the Libertarian?

  • Thom Tillis (R) 42% (41%) {41%} [37%] (41%)
  • Kay Hagan (D) 41% (46%) {42%} [44%] (37%)
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% (4%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
  • Undecided 9% (7%) {7%} [9%] (10%)

And now suppose only two candidates were running for U.S. Senate. For whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican, or Kay Hagan, the Democrat?

  • Thom Tillis (R) 44% (43%) {47%} [46%] (48%)
  • Kay Hagan (D) 44% (50%) {46%} [48%] (43%)
  • Undecided 10% (6%) {5%} [5%] (9%)

Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted October 15-18, 2014 by National Research Inc.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25 and 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Survey

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 47.3% {42.6%} [39.8%] (40%)
  • David Perdue (R) 44.9% {47.0%} [50.1%] (47%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4.1% {3.6%} [5.0%] (8%)
  • Undecided 3.7% {6.8%} [5.1%] (5%)

Among Men

  • David Perdue (R) 48.9% {47.3%} [57.7%]
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 42.5% {42.9%} [35.4%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6.7% {5.1%} [4.0%]
  • Undecided 1.9% {4.7%} [2.9%]
Among Women
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 51.2% {41.6%} [41.6%]
  • David Perdue (R) 41.7% {47.5%} [45.8%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 2.0% {2.3%} [5.7%]
  • Undecided 5.1% {8.6%} [6.8%]
Among Whites

  • David Perdue (R) 63.1% {60.4%} [69.8%]
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 25.6% {28.9%} [22.0%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6.2% {4.8%} [4.5%]
  • Undecided 5.1% {5.9%} [3.7%]

Among Blacks

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 93.1% {70.2%} [70.5%]
  • David Perdue (R) 6.0% {20.2%} [15.6%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 0.0% {1.0%} [5.9%]
  • Undecided 0.9% {8.6%} [7.9%]

Survey of 704 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 21-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Political ID: 38.2% {38.1%} [37.3%] Republican; 36.6% {37.1%} [37.5%] Democrat; 25.3% {24.7%} [25.2%] Independent. Gender: 55.4% {54.7%} [55.3%] Female; 44.6% {45.3%} [44.7%] Male. Race: 66.6% {65.9%} [64.7%] White; 30.6% {32.1%} [33.4%] Black; 1.7% {1.0%} [0.9%] Hispanic/Latino; 1.1% {1.0%} [0.9%] Other. Results from the poll conducted September 29 – October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Rand Paul (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Unsure 14%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Unsure 13%

Survey of 1,124 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 54% Republican; 25% Democrat; 21% Independent/Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Greg Orman (I) 47%
  • Pat Roberts (R) 45%
  • Unsure 8%

Survey of 1,124 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 54% Republican; 25% Democrat; 21% Independent/Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 43.5% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.6% (41%)
  • Uncertain 14.0% (18%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 44% (44%)
  • Uncertain 11% (13%)

Survey of 964 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (32%) Democrat; 30% (32%) Republican; 33% (35%) Independent/Other.Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 49% [50%] (43%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 43% [41%] (44%)
  • Unsure 8% [10%] (13%)

Survey of 964 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [32%] (33%) Democrat; 30% [32%] (32%) Republican; 33% [35%] (34%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Greg Orman (I) 49% [52%] (45%)
  • Pat Roberts (R) 44% [40%] (40%)

Survey of 960 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-8, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% [53%] (50%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 48% [43%] (45%)
  • Undecided 3% [4%] (5%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 52% [49%]
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45% [46%]
  • Undecided 3% [5%]

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53% [59%] 
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% [38%]
  • Undecided 3% [3%]

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 19-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [35%] Republican; 31% [32%] Democrat; 35% [33%] Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 45% {42%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 34% {33%} [39%] (36%) {38%} [41%] (37%)

Among Men

  • Gary Peters (D) 46%
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%

Among Women 

  • Gary Peters (D) 44%
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 30%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 17-19, 2014 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 22-25, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (48%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 47% (48%)

Among Democrats

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 99% (97%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 1% (3%)
Among Republicans
  • Scott Brown (R) 92% (86%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 6% (12%)
Among Independents
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (43%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45% (48%)
Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 51% (54%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44% (41%)

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% (54%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeanne Shaheen 52% (54%) / 45% (42%) {+7%}
  • Scott Brown 48% (46%) / 50% (48%) {-2%}

Survey of 645 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 28% (30%) Republican; 24% (27%) Democrat; 48% (43%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 48% [47%] (50%) {40%} [29%] (38%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 46% [45%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (44%)

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 55% [56%] (56%) {44%} [33%] (44%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 38% [38%] (39%) {40%} [40%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 53% [52%] (50%) {47%} [44%] (49%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40% [39%] (44%) {36%} [27%] (31%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Joni Ernst 48% [47%] (45%) {34%} [13%] / 42% [41%] (39%) {28%} [6%] {+6%}
  • Bruce Braley 43% [42%] (38%) {35%} [35%] / 43% [44%] (41%) {26%} [18%] {0%}

Survey of 964 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [30%](26%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Democrat; 31% [29%] (28%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 32% [34%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (40%) Independent; 6% [7%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

WPR/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Scott Walker (R) 47% {56%}
  • Mary Burke (D) 46% {40%}

Survey of 525 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 24 – April 3, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 23, 2014

Obama On The Ballot

In President Obama’s own and unambiguous words, he and his administration are on the ballot on November 4. Democratic Party strategists shuddered when he said it, but this time there was “no walking the statement back,” as they say in DC lingo. Mr. Obama and his wife on the campaign trail have repeated it since again and again.

This is as it should be in the national mid-term of a president’s second term. It gives the American electorate an opportunity to pass a judgment on the accomplishments, or lack of them, and a final chance to either encourage more of the same or to put a brake on policies and a direction they do not like.

—————————————————————————————————————————————-
Copyright (c) 2014 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved

by @ 6:47 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Campaign Issues

Poll Watch: Reuters-Ipsos Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47%
  • Mark Udall (D) 45%

Online survey of 1,099 likely voters was conducted October 13-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:51 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Scott Brown (R) 47.7% [48.0%] (45.9%) {46.6%} [42.8%] (40.2%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47.3% [46.9%] (48.5%) {47.1%} [50.1%] (51.0%)
  • Another candidate 2.7% [2.8%] (3.2%) {3.3%} [4.0%] (4.5%)
  • Not sure 2.3% [2.3%] (2.3%) {2.9%} [3.2%] (4.2%)
Among Independents

  • Scott Brown (R) 48.7% [47.5%] (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44.0% [43.7%] (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
  • Another candidate 4.3% [4.6%] (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
  • Not sure 3.0% [4.3%] (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 50.2% [53.5%] (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45.7% [41.3%] (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
  • Another candidate 2.8% [3.7%] (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
  • Not sure 1.2% [1.5%] (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.7% [51.7%] (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45.4% [43.1%] (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
  • Another candidate 2.5% [2.0%] (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
  • Not sure 3.3% [3.1%] (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)

Survey of 921 likely voters was conducted October 16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.23 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Monmouth University Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

  • Joni Ernst (R) 47%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 46%
  • Other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 2%

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 54%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%
  • Other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 2%

Among Women

  • Bruce Braley (D) 50%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40%
  • Other candidate 6%
  • Undecided 3%

Survey of 423 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% [50%] (50%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45% [44%] (44%)

Among Democrats

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 91% [82%] (85%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 7% [16%] (14%)

Among Republicans

  • Scott Brown (R) 85% [76%] (76%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 11% [18%] (16%)

Among Independents

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48% [49%] (45%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% [43%] (46%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 53% [45%] (46%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41% [50%] (47%)

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 57% [51%] (52%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 38% [43%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeanne Shaheen 49% [50%] (52%) / 44% [44%] (42%) {+5%}
  • Scott Brown 44% [43%] (42%) / 48% [53%] (49%) {-4%}

Survey of 764 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 31% [30%] (27%) Republican; 31% [32%] (32%) Democrat; 39% [38%] (41%) Independent/Other. Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) Men. Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46.0% (42.6%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 38.6% (41.6%)
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2.6% (2.4%)
  • Steve Shogan (I) 1.6% (1.4%)
  • Raul Acosta (I) 1.2% (0.8%)
  • Bill Hammons (U) 0.6% (1.2%)
  • Undecided 9.4% (10.0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 44.6% (40.8%) / 41.4% (37.4%) {+3.2%}
  • Mark Udall 40.8% (43.4%) / 54.2% (44.4%) {-13.4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Udall is doing as U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 40.2% (42.4%)
  • Disapprove 53.4% (49.0%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party registration: 33.4% (33.0%) Republican; 30.8% (31.0%) Democrat; 35.8% (34.8%) Independent/Unaffiliated. Gender: 51.6% (51.8%) Female; 48.4% (48.2%) Male. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Saint Leo University Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Saint Leo University Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

Thinking about the November election for Governor, if the election were held today would you vote for Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Charlie Crist, or Libertarian Adrian Wyllie?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 43%
  • Rick Scott (R) 40%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 8%
  • Don’t know/Unsure 9%

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 80%
  • Rick Scott (R) 11%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 5%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 4%

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 73%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 15%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 8%

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 36%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 32%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 14%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 18%

Among Men

  • Charlie Crist (D) 44%
  • Rick Scott (R) 42%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 5%

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 43%
  • Rick Scott (R) 38%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 12%

What if there were no Libertarian candidate and you could only vote for Republican Rick Scott or Democrat Charlie Crist?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 45% (41%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 45% (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Rick Scott 48% (46%) / 48% (48%) {0%}
  • Charlie Crist 47% (47%) / 49% (47%) {-2%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Republican; 37% Democrat; 26% No affiliation.  Results from the poll conducted May 28 – June 4, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Mary Burke (D) 49% {46%} [47%] (45%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 48% {48%} [48%] (45%)

Survey of 973 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 13-14, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 46% [48%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (38%)
  • David Perdue (R) 44% [45%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (43%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% [3%] (4%) {5%} [3%] (6%)
  • Undecided 7% [4%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (14%)

Among Men

  • David Perdue (R) 50% [49%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (50%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41% [46%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (33%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% [3%] (4%) {6%} [2%] (6%)
  • Undecided 5% [3%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (11%)

Among Women

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 51% [50%] (49%) {52%} [46%] (44%)
  • David Perdue (R) 38% [41%] (41%) {40%} [44%] (35%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% [3%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
  • Undecided 8% [5%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (16%)

Survey of 606 likely voters was conducted October 17-20, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% [39%] (38%) {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 39% [38%] (37%) {40%} [38%] (35%) Democrat; 22% [22%] (23%){23%} [21%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 40% [43%] (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Moderate; 40% [39%] (36%) {42%} [44%] (40%) Conservative; 15% [14%] (17%) {17%} [13%] (15%) Liberal. Gender: 52% [51%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) Female; 48% [49%] (50%) {49%} [52%] (53%) Male.  Race: 63% [61%] (63%) {62%} [63%] (65%) White; 28% [27%] (27%) {29%} [26%] (24%) Black; 6% [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) Hispanic; 4% [5%] Asian/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

  • Dan Malloy (D) 43% [43%] (40%)
  • Tom Foley (R) 42% [43%] (46%)
  • Joe Visconti (I) 9% [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

  • Dan Malloy (D) 45% [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)
  • Tom Foley (R) 45% [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Tom Foley 40% [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 46% [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {-6%}
  • Dan Malloy 42% [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 50% [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-8%}

Survey of 1,010 likely voters was conducted October 14-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 26% [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 34% [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 6% [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 – March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 42% (42%) {39%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 42% (44%) {37%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 86% (83%) {73%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 5% (7%) {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 81% (80%) {74%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 7% (11%) {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% (37%) {36%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 38% (44%) {34%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% (11%) {12%}

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 46% (48%) {45%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 38% (40%) {32%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 10% (8%) {9%}

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 45% (43%) {45%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 39% (41%) {30%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 44% (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 44% (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 87% (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 6% (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 85% (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 8% (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 48% (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Charlie Crist 42% (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 47% (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-5%}
  • Rick Scott 40% (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-8%}

Survey of 984 likely voters was conducted October 14-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 22, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47%
  • Mark Udall (D) 46%
  • Other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 3%

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 50%
  • Mark Udall (D) 43%
  • Other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 2%

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 48%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 43%
  • Other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 4%

Survey of 431 likely voters was conducted October 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Gender: 53% Female; 47% Male.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Join The Community


Sponsored Ad

Meta

Recent Posts

Sponsored Ad

Categories

Archives

Search

Blogroll

Site Syndication

Main