April 24, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Rand Paul (R) 48% (47%) {47%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (43%) {44%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (42%) {46%} [43%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (43%) {38%} [42%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%

Among Independents

  • Rand Paul (R) 48% (52%) {49%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (32%) {38%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% (43%) {47%} [43%] (41%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (34%) {31%} [34%] (38%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35%

Among Men

  • Rand Paul (R) 55% (56%) {56%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (34%) {34%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 49% (50%) {51%} [50%] (51%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (33%) {31%} [33%] (32%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 49% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (51%) {53%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (38%) {38%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (53%) {45%} [50%] (49%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% (33%) {41%} [36%] (38%)   
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 35%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Rand Paul 41% / 30% {+11%}
  • Mike Huckabee 37% / 30% {+7%}
  • Hillary Clinton 48% [51%] (53%) / 47% [44%] (44%) {+1%}
  • Chris Christie 35% [50%] (49%) / 38% [22%] (17%) {-3%}
  • Jeb Bush 29% / 40% {-11%}

Among Independents

  • Rand Paul 43% / 28% {+15%} 
  • Mike Huckabee 38% / 28% {+10%}
  • Chris Christie 37% [50%] (50%) / 35% [17%] (15%) {+2%}
  • Hillary Clinton 44% [49%] (54%) / 48% [45%] (42%) {-4%}
  • Jeb Bush 24% / 42% {-18%}

Among Men

  • Rand Paul 52% / 29% {+23%} 
  • Mike Huckabee 44% / 31% {+13%}
  • Chris Christie 38% [49%] (55%) / 41% [28%] (18%) {-3%}
  • Jeb Bush 33% / 41% {-8%}
  • Hillary Clinton 39% [43%] (42%) / 56% [52%] (53%) {-17%}

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton 57% [59%] (63%) / 38% [37%] (34%) {+19%}
  • Mike Huckabee 30% / 29% {+1%}
  • Rand Paul 30% / 31% {-1%}
  • Chris Christie 33% [51%] (43%) / 35% [16%] (17%) {-2%}
  • Jeb Bush 25% / 39% {-14%}

Survey of 1,298 registered voters was conducted April 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 28% (29%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Democrat; 26% (24%) {26%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 37% (38%) {38%} [36%] (42%) Independent; 10% (8%) {6%} [7%] (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted January 29 – February 2, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:49 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton

Unpacking the Paul Abortion Comments Controversy

Earlier this week, Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) raised the eyebrows of some right-leaning pundits (Hot Air’s Allahpundit in particular) when he appeared to be equivocating on issues concerning abortion in an interview with former senior Obama adviser David Axelrod. Specifically, Sen. Paul appeared to hedge when asked to identify when life begins, as well as to the proper scope of national abortion policy.

Politico’s Ben Simon excerpts the main points that are causing concern:

“I think the debate is about when life begins,” Paul said, stating the problem, but not the solution, something he has become very adept at doing. “Is it OK for an 8-pound baby to be aborted one week before delivery? If the mother says she’s anxious and wants to ‘kill myself,’ you can have the abortion one day before it’s due?”

….

Axelrod asked Paul to state when he thinks life begins.

“My personal religious belief is that life begins at the very beginning,” Paul said.

He then said that currently the abortion debate in America is between those who believe in “all life and no abortion, or all abortion and no life.”

“I think the law will come down in between,” Paul said. “I think the public is in the middle.”

Steve Ertelt and Mollie Hemingway had their own concerns about Paul’s comments, but all of these critiques miss the elephant in the room (pun intended): Rand Paul is a strong and proud advocate for the rights of the unborn who would make an excellent pro-life president.

Consider what Paul has said and done since entering the Senate three years ago:

  • He lent his support to Personhood USA, leaving voice messages for people to get them to support overturning Roe v. Wade.
  • He introduced the “Life at Conception Act,” which would end Roe v. Wade and make life at conception the law of the land.

So why is Paul suddenly making like an undecided voter? The likely answer is that these statements are part of  a larger overall strategy to appeal to young, liberal, and libertarian voters who like his positions on felon rights, drones, war, and voting rights.

As an advocate for life, I find it problematic that Paul is using terms like “personal religious belief,” which is a way to minimize off his pro-life stances with young voters, who are often against most abortions but also in favor of a “live and let live” mindset.

But as a political observer and commentator, it’s clear to me that what Paul is really doing is attempting to broaden his appeal to those who may be disinclined to vote for a Republican candidate. After all, Paul can do exponentially more for the unborn while sitting in Oval Office than all the Todd Akins’ of the GOP can do sitting at home.

by @ 1:21 pm. Filed under 2016, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Udall (D) 47% (42%)
  • Cory Gardner (R) 45% (40%)

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner (R) 43% (38%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 43% (30%)

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 50% (45%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 44% (42%)

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 49% (43%)
  • Cory Gardner (R) 40% (36%)

Survey of 618 Colorado was conducted April 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (33%) Democrat;32% (34%) Republican; 32% (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:09 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 44%
  • Mark Udall (D) 42%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 7%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted April 16-17, 2014 for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Scott Walker (R) 48% (48%)
  • Mary Burke (D) 45% (42%)
  • Not sure 7% (10%) 

Among Democrats

  • Mary Burke (D) 86% (75%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 7% (13%)
  • Not sure 8% (12%)

Among Republicans

  • Scott Walker (R) 93% (90%)
  • Mary Burke (D) 4% (6%)
  • Not sure 3% (4%)

Among Independents 

  • Mary Burke (D) 46% (41%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 44% (47%)
  • Not sure 10% (13%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Scott Walker’s job performance?  

  • Approve 50% (48%)
  • Disapprove 47% (49%)  

Survey of 1,144 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted April 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) Democrat; 33% (28%) Republican; 35% (41%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 28% (32%) Moderate; 24% (25%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (17%) Somewhat liberal; 16% (15%) Very conservative; 13% (11%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch, Scott Walker

April 23, 2014

Poll Watch: New York Times/Kaiser Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

NY Times/Kaiser Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mark Pryor (D) 46%
  • Tom Cotton (R) 36%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as United States Senator?

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 38%

Survey of 857 registered voters was conducted April 8-15, 2014

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:51 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: New York Times/Kaiser Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

NY Times/Kaiser Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 44%
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43%
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41%
  • Matt Bevin (R) 35%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mitch McConnell is handling his job as United States Senator?

  • Approve 40%
  • Disapprove 52%

Survey of 891 registered voters was conducted April 8-15, 2014

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:09 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 25%
  • Somewhat approve 22%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 51%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 10:07 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 22, 2014

Poll Watch: FOX News Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

FOX News Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Republicans 44%
  • Democrats 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

  • Approve 42%
  • Disapprove 51%
  • Don’t Know 6%

The Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll was conducted by telephone with live interviewers April 13-15, 2014 among a random national sample of 1,012 registered voters (RV). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.

by @ 12:39 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 25%
  • Somewhat approve 23%
  • Somewhat disapprove 10%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 50%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 10:29 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 21, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Republicans 41% 38% 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)
  • Democrats 40% 40% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from April 14-20, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 4:57 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Sam Brownback (R) 47%
  • Paul Davis (D) 40%

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Kansas was conducted on April 16-17, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 11:21 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Pat Roberts (R) 54%
  • Kathleen Sebelius (D) 37%

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Kansas was conducted on April 16-17, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:53 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 25%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 9%
  • Strongly disapprove 41%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 49%
  • Disapprove 50%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 9:50 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 20, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 65% [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 6% [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] [0%] (1%)
  • Martin O’Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Someone else 5% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don’t know yet 18% [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)

(Open-EndedIf the Democratic primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Democratic nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.    

  • Hillary Clinton 41%
  • Elizabeth Warren 2%
  • Barack Obama 2%
  • Chris Christie 2%
  • Joe Biden 2%
  • Someone else 0%
  • Did not give name 51%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Hillary Clinton 78% [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 11% [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+67%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 37% [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 19% [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+18%}
  • Joe Biden 53% [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 37% [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+16%}
  • Martin O’Malley 10% [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 5% [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+5%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 10% [3%] [5%] (12%) / 6% [11%] [12%] (6%) {+4%}
  • Mark Warner 13% [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 14% [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {-1%}

Survey of 184 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:49 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 22%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 10%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 11:11 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 19, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Rand Paul 15% [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Kelly Ayotte 13% [13%] [5%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 13% [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Donald Trump 5% [4%]
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 2% [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 1% [2%] (1%) {4%}
  • Rick Santorum 1% (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • Someone else 3% [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don’t know yet 15% [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

(Open-EndedIf the Republican primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Republican nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.   

  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Mitt Romney 3%
  • Scott Brown 3%
  • Paul Ryan 2%
  • Jeb Bush 2%
  • Someone else 6%
  • Did not give name 62%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

  • Paul Ryan 60% [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 15% [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+45%}
  • Marco Rubio 52% [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 12% [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+40%} 
  • Rand Paul 56% [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 21% [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%} 
  • Kelly Ayotte 61% [48%] [71%] (68%) / 27% [27%] [14%] (24%) {+34%} 
  • Scott Walker 38% [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 12% [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+26%}
  • Ted Cruz 42% [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+24%}
  • Bobby Jindal 30% {39%} [30%] (31%) / 17% {12%} [16%] (21%) {+13%}
  • Jeb Bush 45% [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 35% [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+10%}
  • Rick Perry 36% [32%] (36%) {39%} / 30% [27%] (30%) {37%} {+6%}
  • Rick Santorum 36% (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 31% (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+5%}
  • Chris Christie 43% [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 42% [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+1%}
  • Rob Portman 11% [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 15% [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {-4%}
  • Donald Trump 23% [29%] / 66% [59%] {-43%}

Survey of 187 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 – February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 54%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

by @ 3:00 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

April 18, 2014

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

  • David Perdue 19%
  • Jack Kingston 15%
  • Karen Handel 13%
  • Paul Broun 11%
  • Phil Gingrey 9%
  • Undecided 33%

Survey of 804 voters who intend to vote in the Republican primary was conducted April 13-15, 2014 for Morris News and Fox5 of Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:38 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Rand Paul (R) 44.3%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.3%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 12.5%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 12.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.4%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42.3% 
  • Undecided/Don’t know 14.2%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41.8%
  • Chris Christie (R) 38.9%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 19.3%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.3%
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 39.6%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 16.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39.0%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 17.2%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.9%
  • Scott Walker (R) 40.4%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 13.7%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Mike Pence (R) 32.0%
  • Undecided/Don’t know 24.2%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 37.0% Republican; 36.0% Democrat; 27.0% Independent/Unaffiliated. Party ID: 33.1% Republican; 29.8% Democrat; 36.6% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:36 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

  • Joni Ernst 22.5%
  • Mark Jacobs 20.4%
  • Matt Whitaker 6.7%
  • Sam Clovis 5.8%
  • Scott Schaben 2.1%
  • Paul Lunde 0.4%
  • Undecided 40.0%
Survey of 223 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

April 17, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 10%
  • Strongly disapprove 43%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 53%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence

-

by @ 8:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll 

  • Mark Udall (D) 45%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 43%
  • Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 30% / 38% {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as Senator?

  • Approve 38%
  • Disapprove 46%

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

  • Steve Daines (R) 42% (43%)
  • John Walsh (D) 35% (29%)
  • Not sure 23% (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Steve Daines 43% (40%) / 31% (26%) {+12%}
  • John Walsh 33% (25%) / 22% (13%) {+11%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 43% (42%)
  • Gary Peters (D) 40% (37%)
  • Not sure 18% (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Terri Lynn Land 32% (32%) / 32% (22%) {0%}
  • Gary Peters 25% (18%) / 35% (23%) {-10%}

Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 47% [45%] (47%)
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 43% [44%] (45%)
  • Not sure 10% [11%] (8%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mary Landrieu is handling her job as Senator?

  • Approve 39% [40%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 51% [51%] (37%)
Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mark Pryor (D) 39% [36%] (41%)
  • Tom Cotton (R) 39% [42%] (43%)
  • Not sure 22% [22%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Cotton 31% [38%] (34%) / 39% [23%] (26%) {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as Senator?

  • Approve 38% [37%] (32%)
  • Disapprove 44% [40%] (42%)
Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 69% (68%)
  • Joe Biden 14% (12%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% (7%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% (4%)
  • Martin O’Malley 1% (1%)

National survey of 395 registered Democrats was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

--Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:55 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%

Among Independents

  • Chris Christie (R) 41% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (31%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Rand Paul (R) 41%

Among Men

  • Chris Christie (R) 46% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% (41%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (55%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (57%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Rand Paul (R) 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Hillary Clinton 49% / 45% {+4%}
  • Chris Christie 36% / 38% {-2%}
  • Rand Paul 32% / 34% {-2%}
  • Jeb Bush 32% / 40% {-8%}
  • Ted Cruz 23% / 31% {-8%}

National survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (40%) Democrat; 38% (34%) Republican; 20% (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:44 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

  • Chris Christie 15% (16%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (12%)
  • Rand Paul 14% (11%)
  • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (12%)
  • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
  • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
  • Rick Perry 5% (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2%

National survey of 384 registered Republicans was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:43 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

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