September 30, 2014

Poll Watch: Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mike Rounds (R) 39%
  • Rick Weiland (D) 26%
  • Larry Pressler (I) 24%
  • Gordon Howie (I) 4%
  • Undecided 7%

Survey of 647 likely voters was conducted September 21-25, 2014, and sponsored in part by Northern Plains News.  The margin of error is +/- 3.24 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 29, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll 

If the general election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were the Democrat, Mary Landrieu, and the Republicans, Bill Cassidy and Rob Maness, who would you be more likely to vote for?

  • Mary Landrieu (D) 43%
  • Bill Cassidy (R) 40%
  • Rob Maness (R) 9%

If no candidate gets more than fifty percent of the vote in November, Louisiana will hold a run-off election for U.S. Senate in December between the two candidates with the most votes in November. 2. If that run-off election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Mary Landrieu, the Democrat, and Bill Cassidy, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for?

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 50%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 47%

Among Men

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 51%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 45%

Among Women

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 49%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 48%

Survey of 610 likely Louisiana voters was conducted September 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID : 33% Republican; 31% Democrat; 36% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:14 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 22%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 13%
  • Strongly disapprove 39%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 10:13 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

September 28, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 40% 41% 39% 40% 39% 39%  39% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 40% 40% 39% 41% 41% 42% 41% 40% 41% 38% 40% 40% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 40%  39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 40% 42% 39% 39% 38% 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 38% 37% 40% 41% 38% 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 15-21, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 2:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UNH/Portland Press Herald Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

NH/Portland Press Herald Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Mike Michaud (D) 40% (40%)
  • Paul LePage (R) 38% (36%)
  • Eliot Cutler (I) 12% (15%)
Survey of 482 likely voters was conducted September 18-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 46%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 43%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 7%

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 46%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 42%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 8%

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 49%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Thom Tillis 47% / 40% {+7%}
  • Kay Hagan 46% / 47% {-1%}

Survey of 595 likely voters was conducted September 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 30% Republican; 36% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 27, 2014

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 44% 
  • Bruce Braley (D) 38%
  • Undecided 12%

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 55% 
  • Bruce Braley (D) 30%

Among Women

  • Bruce Braley (D) 46%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 33% 

Survey of 546 likely voters was conducted September 21-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:29 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Tom Cotton (R) 47% {43%} [47%] (45%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 40% {44%} [43%] (40%)
  • Some other candidate 5% {6%} [4%] (5%)
  • Undecided 8% {6%} [6%] (10%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 24-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 25-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:38 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 23%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 13%
  • Strongly disapprove 38%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 52%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 11:36 am. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Poll Watch

September 26, 2014

Poll Watch: Dittman Research (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Dan Sullivan (R) 49%
  • Mark Begich (D) 43%
  • Undecided 4%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 14-17, 2014 for the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Warner (D) 48% (46%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 39% (31%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 6% (6%)

Among Independents

  • Ed Gillespie (R) 43% (30%)
  • Mark Warner (D) 41% (39%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (11%)

Among Men

  • Mark Warner (D) 46% (41%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 41% (37%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 9% (8%)

Among Women

  • Mark Warner (D) 50% (50%)
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 37% (27%)
  • Robert Sarvis (L) 3% (6%)

Recalculated match-up, asking Sarvis voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Mark Warner (D) 50%
  • Ed Gillespie (R) 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mark Warner 52% (49%) / 34% (30%) {+18%}
  • Ed Gillespie 34% (20%) / 26% (14%) {+8%}
  • Robert Sarvis 10% (8%) / 11% (11%) {-1%}

Survey of 1,010 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% (33%) Democrat; 28% (24%) Republican; 34% (35%) Independent; 9% (8%) Other/Don’t know. Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Dan Sullivan (R) 48% [47%] (44%)
  • Mark Begich (D) 43% [45%] (44%)
  • Some other candidate 5% [3%]
  • Undecided 4% [4%]

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 23-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:21 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47% (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 45% (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner (R) 44% (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 44% (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%)

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 54% (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 38% (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 51% (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
  • Cory Gardner (R) 41% (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%)

Survey of 652 likely voters was conducted September 19-21, 2014 on behalf of Americans for Tax Fairness. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 33% (34%) {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 34% (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:25 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 70.81%
  • Joe Biden 7.66%
  • Andrew Cuomo 5.26%
  • Elizabeth Warren 3.35%
  • Martin O’Malley 2.39%
  • Other 0.48%
  • Undecided 9.57%

Survey of 209 Democratic primary voters was conducted September 20-23, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:30 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 39.27%
  • Rick Perry 8.38%
  • Ted Cruz 7.33%
  • Rand Paul 6.28%
  • Chris Christie 4.71%
  • Jeb Bush 4.71%
  • Marco Rubio 4.71%
  • Paul Ryan 3.14%
  • Bobby Jindal 2.62%
  • Rick Santorum 2.09%
  • Scott Walker 1.57%
  • Jon Huntsman 1.57%
  • John Kasich 1.05%
  • Other 2.09%
  • Undecided 10.47%

Survey of 171 GOP primary voters was conducted September 20-23, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:45 am. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50.1% (51.0%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 42.8% (40.2%)
  • Another candidate 4.0% (4.5%)
  • Not sure 3.2% (4.2%)
Among Men

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.0%
  • Scott Brown (R) 45.4%
  • Another candidate 4.0%
  • Not sure 2.6%

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 52.2%
  • Scott Brown (R) 40.2%
  • Another candidate 3.9%
  • Not sure 3.8%

Survey of 1,494 likely voters was conducted September 19,-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:06 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Mark Pryor (D) 44.8%
  • Tom Cotton (R) 43.0%
  • Nathan LaFrance (L) 2.8%
  • Mark Swaney (G) 2.6%
  • Undecided 6.6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mark Pryor 43.8% / 46.6% {-2.8%}
  • Tom Cotton 38.6% / 43.0% {-4.4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Pryor is doing as U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 38.4%
  • Disapprove 49.0%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35.4% Democrat; 31.0% Republican; 27.6% Independent/Unaffiliated; 5.2% Libertarian; 0.8% Green.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 46% {49%} [51%] (49%) {58%} [65%] (63%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%){46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
  • Disapprove 42% {43%} [43%] (46%) {35%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [16%] (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)

(more…)

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

September 24, 2014

Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [44%] (48%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% [34%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [47%] (51%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 37% [38%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [47%] (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 35% [37%] (38%)

Survey of 630 registered voters was conducted September 13-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [35%] (29%) Democrat; 28% [27%] (24%) Republican; 18% [28%] (47%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19, 2014are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:45 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial PollIf the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {37%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 42% {39%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 83% {73%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 7% {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%}

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 80% {74%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 11% {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {5%}

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {34%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 37% {36%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% {12%}
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 48% {45%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 40% {32%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%}
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% {45%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 41% {30%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Rick Scott (R) 46% {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 44% {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 86% {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 8% {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 81% {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 14% {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 47% {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 39% {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 50% {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 43% {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rick Scott 42% {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-6%}
  • Charlie Crist 41% {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 49% {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-8%}

Would you say that Charlie Crist is honest and trustworthy or not?

  • Yes 37% {39%} [45%]
  • No 49% {48%} [43%]

Would you say that Rick Scott is honest and trustworthy or not?

  • Yes 39% {40%} [38%]
  • No 51% {51%} [51%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

  • Yes 46% {44%} [48%]
  • No 45% {47%} [42%]

Would you say that Rick Scott cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

  • Yes 42% {41%} [38%]
  • No 50% {52%} [55%]

Would you say that Charlie Crist has strong leadership qualities or not?

  • Yes 46% {49%} [55%]
  • No 44% {43%} [37%]

Would you say that Rick Scott has strong leadership qualities or not?

  • Yes 58% {54%} [49%]
  • No 34% {38%} [44%]

Survey of 991 likely voters was conducted September 17-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 31% {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • David Perdue (R) 46% {47%} [50%] (43%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 45% {44%} [41%] (38%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% {5%} [3%] (6%)
  • Undecided 6% {4%} [6%] (14%)

Among Men

  • David Perdue (R) 50% {55%} [56%] (50%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 40% {36%} [37%] (33%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% {6%} [2%] (6%)
  • Undecided 6% {3%} [4%] (11%)

Among Women

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 49% {52%} [46%] (44%)
  • David Perdue (R) 41% {40%} [44%] (35%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% {3%} [3%] (5%)
  • Undecided 6% {4%} [7%] (16%)

Survey of 550 likely voters was conducted September 19-22, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 37% {40%} [38%] (35%) Democrat; 23% {23%} [21%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology:41% {36%} [38%] (38%) Moderate; 36% {42%} [44%] (40%) Conservative; 17% {17%} [13%] (15%) Liberal.  Gender: 50% {51%} [48%] (47%) Female; 50% {49%} [52%] (53%) Male.  Race: 63% {62%} [63%] (65%) White; 27% {29%} [26%] (24%) Black; 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) Hispanic. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:45 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Scott (R) 43% (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 42% (39%) {44%} [45%] (41%) {43%} [46%](43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% (7%) {3%} [4%] (4%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 78% (76%) {78%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 10% (11%) {12%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 2% (4%) {4%} [3%] (1%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 79% (76%) {79%} [75%] (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 10% (11%) {14%} [19%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (9%) {2%} [4%] (2%)

Among Independents

  • Charlie Crist (D) 39% (31%) {41%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 34% (44%) {41%} [40%] (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (9%) {1%} [7%] (12%)

Among Moderates

  • Charlie Crist (D) 53% (52%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 31% (32%) {35%} [34%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% (9%) {3%} [3%] (4%)

Among Men

  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% (35%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 42% (47%) {50%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [42%](47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% (9%) {2%} [5%] (6%)
Among Women
  • Rick Scott (R) 44% (41%) {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% (43%) {48%} [47%] (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%)

Survey of 588 likely voters was conducted September 19-22, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (41%) {40%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 39% (37%) {39%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 20% (21%) {20%} [21%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 42% (40%) {43%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 34% (36%) {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 19% (19%) {18%} [19%] (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 51% (52%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 49% (48%) {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 – August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 – July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 53% [55%] (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [39%] (44%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [46%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (46%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% [45%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%] (48%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44% [46%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% [42%] (38%)

Among Independents

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 62% [60%] (56%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24% [29%] (31%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 55% [46%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 23% [31%] (33%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 55% [50%] (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24% [30%] (35%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 53% [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 26% [32%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% [42%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 28% [32%] (33%)

Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% [52%] (58%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 33% [38%] (30%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% [54%] (64%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 27% [29%] (23%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63% [57%] (66%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 25% [23%] (24%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 65% [57%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 23% [26%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 63% [55%] (60%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 25% [24%] (27%)

Among Men

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 58% [59%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [35%] (38%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 54% [51%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [36%] (38%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 53% [49%] (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [38%] (43%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 52% [51%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [39%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 47% [48%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [37%] (40%)

Among Women

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% [51%] (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (52%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [42%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (52%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% [41%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 37% [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%] (52%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 36% [37%] (36%)

Do you think Mike Huckabee should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • Think he should run 45% [42%] (39%)
  • Think he should not 43% [45%] (46%)
  • Not sure 13% [13%] (15%)

Survey of 1,453 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 39% [35%] (41%) Democrat; 31% [34%] (27%) Republican; 30% [31%] (32%)Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% [27%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 26% [28%] (28%) Moderate; 22% [22%] (23%) Very conservative; 13% [14%] (16%) Somewhat liberal; 11% [10%] (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:02 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll 

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Pryor, Republican Tom Cotton, Green party candidate Mark Swaney, and Libertarian Nathan LaFrance. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

  • Tom Cotton (R) 43% (41%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 38% (39%)
  • Mark Swaney (G) 3% (4%)
  • Nathan LaFrance (L) 3% (3%)
  • Undecided 13% (14%)

Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Pryor or Cotton

  • Tom Cotton (R) 45% (43%) {42%} [44%] (41%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 39% (41%) {43%} [44%] (44%)

Among Men

  • Tom Cotton (R) 53% (50%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 36% (40%) {40%} [39%] (38%)

Among Women

  • Mark Pryor (D) 42% (41%) {45%} [49%] (50%)
  • Tom Cotton (R) 38% (37%) {36%} [37%] (33%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Pryor’s job performance?

  • Approve 36% (34%) {38%}
  • Disapprove 51% (51%) {46%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Tom Cotton 40% (40%) {37%} / 41% (40%) {42%} {-1%}

Survey of 1,453 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (35%) {41%} [37%] (37%) Democrat; 31% (34%) {27%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 30% (31%) {32%} [37%] (36%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 27% (27%) {23%} Somewhat conservative; 26% (28%) {28%} Moderate; 22% (22%) {23%} Very conservative; 13% (14%) {16%} Somewhat liberal; 11% (10%) {10%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-15, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Chris Christie (R) 46% [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [34%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% [50%] (46%) {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [36%] (40%) {41%} [43%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [47%] (47%) {47%} [49%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [38%] (41%) {39%} [42%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% [47%] (43%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (42%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [46%] (44%) {44%} [49%] (53%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 38% [40%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Independents

  • Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (38%) {34%} [44%] (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [32%] (43%) {41%} [38%] (42%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [36%] (41%) {45%} [45%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% [46%] (39%) {38%} [46%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [39%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [38%] (43%) {41%} [45%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [39%] (45%) {45%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% [41%] (36%) {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [49%] (47%) {49%} [53%] (62%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 33% [37%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (25%)

Among Moderates

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [40%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (53%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 34% [31%] (29%) {29%} [33%] (25%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 33%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [42%] (49%) {56%} [60%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 30% [29%] (28%) {28%} [32%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [46%] (50%) {51%} [58%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 25% [29%] (32%) {31%} [31%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% [47%] (53%) {55%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 25% [26%] (24%) {25%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% [60%] (54%) {61%} [67%] (79%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 23% [21%] (25%) {25%} [21%] (14%)

Among Men

  • Chris Christie (R) 49% [50%] (51%) {49%} [51%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [28%] (33%) {34%} [31%] (35%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% [57%] (55%) {55%} [58%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [33%] (34%) {35%} [34%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [49%] (58%) {54%} [59%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [33%] (32%) {33%} [31%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 47% [49%] (51%) {51%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [36%] (36%) {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [42%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (46%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 36% [45%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (43%)

Among Women

  • Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (37%) {38%} [43%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% [40%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39%
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% [44%] (39%) {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (46%) {46%} [50%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [45%] (37%) {40%} [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [42%] (48%) {45%} [52%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [45%] (37%) {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [41%] (47%) {47%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [50%] (54%) {50%} [58%] (60%)
  • Sarah Palin (R) 39% [36%] (32%) {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

  • Favorable 32% [36%] (36%) {39%} [39%] (34%)
  • Unfavorable 54% [55%] (56%) {55%} [58%] (59%)
Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

  • She should run 18% [20%] (19%) {23%} [18%] (16%)
  • She should not 75% [74%] (74%) {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 880 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% [32%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 16% [20%] (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 56% [47%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% [33%] (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 28% [25%] (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% [18%] (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 15% [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 31 – August 3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 – February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 23, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 41% [45%] (35%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39% [39%] (37%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 17-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:56 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Dan Sullivan (R) 43% [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
  • Mark Begich (D) 41% [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (47%)
  • Mark Fish (L) 3% [4%]
  • Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% [0%] (1%) {1%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Begich or Sullivan

  • Dan Sullivan (R) 45% [41%]
  • Mark Begich (D) 42% [45%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Dan Sullivan 44% [35%] (34%) {31%} [31%] (37%) / 42% [43%] (43%) {35%} [28%] (34%) {+2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

  • Approve 42% [43%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 51% [44%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (39%)

Survey of 880 likely voters was conducted September 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 28% [32%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 16% [20%] (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 56% [47%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% [33%] (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 28% [25%] (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% [18%] (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 15% [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 7% [8%] (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 31 – August 3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:45 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Reuters/Ipsos Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Reuters/Ipsos Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 46%
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 42%
  • Another candidate 5%

Survey of 944 likely voters was conducted September 8-12, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:55 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46% (47%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 39% (43%)
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 6% (6%)
  • Unsure 9% (4%)

Survey of 657 likely voters was conducted September 16-17, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% (32%) Democrat; 29% (29%) Republican; 39% (39%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:45 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: High Point University North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

High Point University North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 42%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Kay Hagan is handling her job as United States Senator?

  • Approve 39%
  • Disapprove 50%

Survey of 410 likely voters was conducted September 13-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 35% Democrat; 32% Republican; 24% Independent; 7% Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:15 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

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