September 19, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Greg Orman (I) 45%
  • Pat Roberts (R) 40%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 16-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:35 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

  • Approve 46% {44%} (41%) [48%] {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 40% {44%} (44%) [39%] {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

  • Approve 26% {26%} (24%) [34%] {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 61% {61%} (65%) [54%] {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

  • Approve 66% {70%} (66%) [73%] {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 21% {19%} (19%) [18%] {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

  • Approve 46% {40%} (47%) [41%] {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 33% {46%} (36%) [40%] {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Men

  • Approve 47% {46%} (42%) [48%] {63%} (67%) [65%] {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
  • Disapprove 40% {43%} (43%) [41%] {23%} (19%) [26%] {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

  • Approve 45% {42%} (40%) [48%] {58%} (56%) [52%] {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%]{42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
  • Disapprove 39% {46%} (46%) [38%] {24%} (29%) [32%] {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Survey of 721 registered voters was conducted September 1-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% {47%}(45%) [44%] {44%} (46%) [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 38% {33%} (30%) [33%] {35%} (35%) [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 23% {19%} (25%) [23%] {21%} (19%) [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted May 27 – June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conductedOctober 24-30, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 – October 5, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 – May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conductedMarch 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 – April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:17 am. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

  • David Perdue (R) 46% [46%] (42%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41% [40%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 4% [4%] (7%)
  • Undecided 9% [10%] (6%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 15-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 18, 2014

Jungle Creatures

The cinema has not usually been a source of truly profound utterances, but there is a line said by Eleanor of Aquitaine (Katherine Hepburn) to her husband Henry II (Peter O’Toole) in playwright James Goldman’s great film “The Lion In Winter” in which she says, “We are jungle creatures, Henry, and the dark is all around us.”

The first time I saw that film, and watched that scene, I knew I had heard something very powerful and true. Years later, it still echoes as I read the latest headlines about the enduring barbarity in the world in which we all live.

I am talking about the “civilization” of the species known as human beings. I know many of my readers will protest that I should not include most of Western “civilization” which includes Europe and North America, but why should I not include them?

Yes, democratic capitalism has advanced human society beyond the “naked” tribalism which has long existed in much of the world, and still prevails over a great portion of the human population. But more than two hundred years after democratic capitalism emerged in the West, and prevailed among some persons in some areas of the world, astonishing levels of barbarity survive and reappear in its midst.

The 20th century was among the most barbaric in all of recorded human history, and in spite of so many advances in technology, millions were unspeakably murdered in some of the previously most advanced societies. The 21st century, now in its early years, continues with more of the same. This is the century of the internet, astounding medical breakthroughs, and the rapid transformation of science fiction into science fact. And what do we also have? A worldwide religious war of savagery and intolerance. and a “United Nations” which supports and celebrates the denial of human rights, while it promotes conflict and hatred. In less than a century after they occurred, Europe has a case of amnesia about its Holocaust, and Russia has a case of amnesia about the murder of millions of Ukrainians by Stalin.

The world seems determined to repeat its past depravities again and again.

I know the reader would prefer a message of a more hopeful and positive world ahead. I would much prefer to write it.

But we are jungle creatures, and the dark is all around us.

__________________________________________________________________________
Copyright (c) 2014 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

by @ 4:50 pm. Filed under Culture, International, Opinion

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 48% (44%) {44%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 40% (42%) {45%} 
  • Steve Shogan (I) 8% 

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner (R) 42% (40%) {43%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 40% (43%) {41%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 15%  

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 53% (48%) {53%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 34% (36%) {38%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 9%  

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 46% (49%) {52%} 
  • Cory Gardner (R) 43% (40%) {35%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 7%  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Cory Gardner (R) 52%
  • Mark Udall (D) 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 47% (34%) {30%} / 37% (31%) {18%} {+10%}
  • Mark Udall 42% (40%) {43%} [42%] (44%) / 50% (43%) {38%} [35%] (38%) {-8%}

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner 43% (28%) {29%} / 40% (33%) {17%} {+3%}
  • Mark Udall 40% (39%) {43%} [37%] (39%) / 53% (44%) {36%} [40%] (41%) {-13%}

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner 55% (39%) {40%} / 32% (26%) {16%} {+23%}
  • Mark Udall 37% (32%) {37%} [36%] (38%) / 57% (48%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {-20%}

Among Women

  • Mark Udall 47% (46%) {49%} [49%] (50%) / 43% (38%) {31%} [24%] (30%) {+4%}
  • Cory Gardner 40% (30%) {21%} / 42% (35%) {21%} {-2%}

Survey of 1,211 likely voters was conducted September 10-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (29%) {26%} Republican; 27% (27%) {28%} Democrat; 33% (37%) {37%} Independent; 6% (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 – February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:26 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 51%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 38%

Among Men

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 57%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 32%

Among Women

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 45%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 43%

Survey of 617 likely Louisiana voters was conducted September 14-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID : 45% Republican; 34% Democrat; 17% Independent/Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Scott Walker (R) 49.4% {46.5%} [46.3%] (47.9%) {48%} [47%] (47%) 
  • Mary Burke (D) 45.8% {48.6%} [46.8%] (45.2%) {41%} [41%] (45%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Scott Walker 52.4% / 45.8% {+6.6%}
  • Mary Burke 40.9% / 39.2% {+1.7%}

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?

  • Approve 51.5%
  • Disapprove 47.6%

Survey of 589 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 41%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%
  • Another candidate 6%
  • Don’t know 12%

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 45%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 37%
  • Another candidate 6%
  • Don’t know 11%
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 44%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 36%
  • Another candidate 7%
  • Don’t know 14%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 14-16, 2014 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R)The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 34% Republican; 25% Independent/Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox News North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 41%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 36%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6%

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 44%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 35%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6%

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 46%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 30%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6%

Survey of 605 likely voters was conducted September 14-16, 2014 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 35% Republican; 19% Independent/Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox News Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox News Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, how would you vote if the candidates were:

  • Pat Roberts (R) 40%
  • Greg Orman (I) 38%
  • Chad Taylor (D) 11%
  • Randall Batson (L) 2%

How would you vote if the only U.S. Senate candidates on the ballot were: Republican Pat Roberts and Independent Greg Orman?

  • Greg Orman (I) 48%
  • Pat Roberts (R) 42%

Survey of 604 likely voters was conducted September 14-16, 2014 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 49% Republican; 28% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Scott Walker (R) 48% [48%] (45%)
  • Mary Burke (D) 46% [47%] (45%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 15-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 13-14, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 17, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 21%
  • Somewhat approve 24%
  • Somewhat disapprove 12%
  • Strongly disapprove 42%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 54%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 9:25 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 39% {44%} [45%] (41%) {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {3%} [4%] (4%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 76% {78%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 11% {12%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% {4%} [3%] (1%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 76% {79%} [75%] (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 11% {14%} [19%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {2%} [4%] (2%)

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {41%} [40%] (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 31% {41%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {1%} [7%] (12%)

Among Moderates

  • Charlie Crist (D) 52% {55%} [53%] (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 32% {35%} [34%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {3%} [3%] (4%)

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 47% {50%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 35% {40%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {2%} [5%] (6%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% {48%} [47%] (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 41% {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% {4%} [4%] (3%)

Survey of 571 likely voters was conducted September 12-15, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {40%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 37% {39%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 21% {20%} [21%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 40% {43%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 36% {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 19% {18%} [19%] (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 52% {51%} [50%] (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 48% {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male.Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 – August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 – July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:45 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 50% {40%} [29%] (38%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 44% {44%} [42%] (44%)

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 56% {44%} [33%] (44%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 39% {40%} [40%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 50% {47%} [44%] (49%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 44% {36%} [27%] (31%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Joni Ernst 45% {34%} [13%] / 39% {28%} [6%] {+6%}
  • Bruce Braley 38% {35%} [35%] / 41% {26%} [18%] {-3%}

Survey of 1,167 likely voters was conducted September 10-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 28% {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 26% {29%} [28%] (27%) Democrat; 41% {40%} [39%] (40%) Independent; 5% {5%} [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:45 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%](43%) {45%} [46%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]

(more…)

by @ 10:15 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 16, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 44% {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%]{40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40% {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%]{42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 5% {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 48% {44%} (42%) [39%] {42%} (42%)[50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
  • Kay Hagan (D) 38% {38%} (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% {9%} (9%) [10%] {12%}

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 49% {45%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 33% {32%} (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 4% {7%} (8%) [12%] {10%}

Horse race, with Haugh supporters allocated to whether they lean Hagan or Tillis

  • Kay Hagan (D) 46% {43%} (42%) [42%] {41%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 42% {42%} (39%) [38%] {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Sean Haugh 8% {8%} (7%) / 17% {17%} (20%) {-9%}
  • Thom Tillis 34% {28%} (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 48% {48%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan’s job performance?

  • Approve 43% {42%} (40%) [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
  • Disapprove 48% {49%} (50%) [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}

Survey of 1,266 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 45% {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 34% {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 21% {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conductedAugust 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

Among Likely Voters

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
  • Scott Brown (R) 45%
  • Undecided 5%

Among Registered Voters

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47% {50%} [50%] (48%) 
  • Scott Brown (R) 45% {38%} [38%] (38%)
  • Undecided 8% {12%} [12%] (14%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 50% {52%} [49%] (44%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41% {38%} [44%] (43%)  
  • Undecided 9% {10%} [7%] (13%)

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53% {61%} [55%] (52%) 
  • Scott Brown (R) 41% {25%} [28%] (32%)
  • Undecided 6% {14%} [17%] (16%)

Survey of 544 registered voters, including a subsample of 495 likely voters, was conducted September 12-15, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points among registered voters. Party ID (among registered voters): 32% {31%} [32%] Republican; 28% {31%} [30%] Democrat; 40% {38%} [38%] Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [45%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% [46%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [42%] (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [38%] (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% [45%] (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [43%]
 Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49% [47%] (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 52% [48%] (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [39%] (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 50% [47%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% [49%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47% [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [42%]

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%] (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [42%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [42%] (46%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% [45%] (44%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [40%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% [38%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [43%] (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% [40%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [43%] 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 35% [40%]
 Survey of 1,328 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 51% [50%](47%) Republican; 26% [30%] (28%) Democrat; 22% [20%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 36% [31%] (32%) Moderate;24% [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [24%] (19%) Very conservative; 14% [16%] (16%) Somewhat liberal; 6% [7%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates on the ballot for Senate this fall are Republican Pat Roberts, independent Greg Orman, Democrat Chad Taylor, and Libertarian Randall Batson. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

  • Greg Orman (I) 41% (23%)
  • Pat Roberts (R) 34% (32%)
  • Chad Taylor (D) 6% (25%)
  • Randall Batson (L) 4% (3%)
  • Undecided 15% (17%)

If you had to choose between just Republican Pat Roberts and independent Greg Orman, who would you vote for?

  • Greg Orman (I) 46% (43%) 
  • Pat Roberts (R) 36% (33%)
  • Not sure 17% (24%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Greg Orman 39% (24%) / 19% (12%) {+20%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Roberts’ job performance? 

  • Approve 29% (27%)
  • Disapprove 46% (44%)

Survey of 1,328 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 51% (50%) Republican; 26% (30%) Democrat; 22% (20%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 36% (31%) Moderate; 24% (22%) Somewhat conservative;19% (24%) Very conservative; 14% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 6% (7%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:40 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Elon University North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 44.9%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40.8%
  • Someone else 9.1%
  • Don’t know 4.6%

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 50%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 38%

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 52%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 33%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kay Hagan is handling her job as US Senator?

  • Approve 41.0%
  • Disapprove 50.7%

Survey of 629 likely voters was conducted September 5-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.91 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Al Franken (D) 49%
  • Mike McFadden (R) 36%
  • Steve Carlson (I) 3%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable

  • Al Franken 48% / 36% {+12%}
  • Mike McFadden 30% / 27% {+3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Al Franken’s job performance as Minnesota’s U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 53%
  • Disapprove 41%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 43% {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 41% {44%} [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
  • Jim Fulner (L) 3%
  • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 3%
  • Richard Matkin (UST) 2%
  • Undecided 9% {10%} [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)

Among Independents

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 40% {44%} [41%] (34%) {35%}
  • Gary Peters (D) 36% {38%} [46%] (33%) {40%}

Among Men

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 44% {49%} [48%] (41%) {44%}
  • Gary Peters (D) 44% {43%} [44%] (44%) {44%}

Among Women

  • Gary Peters (D) 42% {49%} [46%] (46%) {45%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 37% {40%} [41%] (32%) {40%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Gary Peters 35% {30%} [36%] / 37% {37%} [29%] {-2%}
  • Terri Lynn Land 38% {40%} [45%] / 45% {42%} [36%] {-7%}

Survey of 829 likely voters was conducted September 14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% {43%} [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Democrat; 38% {39%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) Republican. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conductedJune 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 41% 39% 40% 39% 39%  39% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 40% 40% 39% 41% 41% 42% 41% 40% 41% 38% 40% 40% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 40% 42% 39% 39% 38% 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 38% 37% 40% 41% 38% 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 8-14, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 15, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 23%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 51%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 6:28 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 45% {40%} [44%] (40%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 39% {45%} [45%] (47%) 
  • Some other candidate 6% {6%} [5%] (3%)
  • Undecided 9% {9%} [7%] (10%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 5-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 45.6%
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 36.8%
  • Jim Fulner (L) 3.2%
  • Richard Matkin (UST) 1.8%
  • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1.4%
  • Undecided 10.4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Gary Peters 34.0% / 32.8% {+1.2%}
  • Terri Lynn Land 35.2% / 41.0% {-5.8%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 40.8% Democrat; 35.4% Republican; 23.0% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:00 pm. Filed under 2015, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Scott (R) 46%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43%
  • Other 4%
  • Not sure 8%

Survey of 5,962 likely voters was conducted August 18 – September 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mark Udall (D) 46%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 42%
  • Steve Shogan (I) 3%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
  • Undecided 7%

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47%
  • Mark Udall (D) 42%
  • Steve Shogan (I) 4%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
  • Undecided 4%

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 49%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 36%
  • Steve Shogan (I) 2%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
  • Undecided 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 36% / 36% {0%}
  • Mark Udall 40% / 47% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Senator Mark Udall is doing?

  • Approve 40%
  • Disapprove 46%

Survey of 664 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 33% Republican; 33% Independent. Ideology: 44% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 23% Liberal. Gender: 52% Male; 48% Female.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 60.85%
  • Joe Biden 17.45%
  • Elizabeth Warren 6.60%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3.77%
  • Martin O’Malley 0.94%
  • Undecided 8.96%

Survey of 212 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:30 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

  • Bruce Braley (D) 49%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 48%

Among Independents

  • Joni Ernst (R) 49%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 46%

Among Moderates

  • Bruce Braley (D) 60%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 37%

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 56%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%

Among Women

  • Bruce Braley (D) 57%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Bruce Braley 48% / 43% {+5%}
  • Joni Ernst 47% / 47% {0%}

Survey of 608 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Join The Community


Sponsored Ad

Meta

Recent Posts

Sponsored Ad

Categories

Archives

Search

Blogroll

Site Syndication

Main