April 19, 2015

Race 4 2016 Headlines and Sunday Open Thread

The rules of open threads are as follows:

-No profanity

-No religious attacks

-No personal attacks on the family members of candidates

-No trolling or feeding of trolls

Other than that, have at it in the comments!

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Headlines & Open Threads

April 18, 2015

Race 4 2016 Headlines and Saturday Open Thread

The rules of open threads are as follows:

-No profanity

-No religious attacks

-No personal attacks on the family members of candidates

-No trolling or feeding of trolls

Other than that, have at it in the comments!

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under Headlines & Open Threads

April 17, 2015

REPORT: Mike Huckabee to Announce Intentions Tonight on FOX News

by @ 11:11 am. Filed under 2016, Mike Huckabee

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

pic1

Rubiomentum? A new Mason-Dixon Polling and Research survey of 400 registered Republican Florida voters shows Sen. Marco Rubio with a narrow 31-30 lead over former Gov. Jeb Bush in their home state. Rubio’s well-received campaign roll out and subsequent media appearances have boosted the junior senator into a dead-heat with his political mentor and friend. Rubio famously toppled another moderate Republican governor, Charlie Crist, after initially trailing in the polls on his way to the GOP senate nomination in 2010.

Mason-Dixon Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Marco Rubio 31%
  • Jeb Bush 30%
  • Ted Cruz 8%
  • Rand Paul 7%
  • Scott Walker 2%
  • Other 5%
  • Undecided 17%

Survey of 400 registered Republican voters was conducted April 14-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:49 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Poll Analysis, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Scott Walker 40.0% [28.9%] (16.1%)
  • Rand Paul 10.3% [8.4%] (6.9%)
  • Jeb Bush 7.9% [2.4%] (4.6%)
  • Ted Cruz 6.0% [4.3%]
  • Chris Christie 5.8% [8.6%] (10.6%)
  • Mike Huckabee 5.1%
  • Ben Carson 5.0%
  • Marco Rubio 3.8% [9.3%] (21.2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2.3% (0.8%)
  • Rick Santorum 1.9%
  • Carly Fiorina 0.5%
  • Rick Perry 0.5%
  • Someone else 1.7% [4.2%] (1.6%)
  • Don’t know 8.9% [8.9%] (10.5%)
 Survey of 319 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 7-10, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch, Republican Party

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 58.2% [64.0%] (61.5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14.3% [10.8%] (4.8%)
  • Joe Biden 12.0% [10.6%] (13.0%)
  • Martin O’Malley 0.9% [0.8%] (1.1%)
  • Jim Webb 0.9%
  • Someone else 3.7% [2.1%] (1.5%)
  • Don’t know 8.9% [9.2%] (11.0%)
 Survey of 391 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 7-10, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

April 16, 2015

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Scott Walker 24% {3%}
  • Ted Cruz 14% (10%) {9%}
  • Rand Paul 12% (10%) {12%}
  • Jeb Bush 10% (15%) {12%}
  • Chris Christie 8% (11%) {24%}
  • Marco Rubio 8% (7%) {8%}
  • Ben Carson 7% (15%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7% (11%) {11%}
  • Rick Perry 4% (3%)
  • Not sure 7% (11%) {13%}
Survey of 358 Republican primary voters was conducted April 9-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Party ID: 62% (61%) Republican; 38% (38%) Independent/Other; 0% (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 39% (40%) Somewhat conservative; 31% (26%) Moderate; 22% (25%) Very conservative; 6% (6%)Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2016, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch, Republican Party, Scott Walker

Poll Watch: Winthrop University South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Scott Walker 13.6%
  • Jeb Bush 12.7%
  • Ted Cruz 8.1%
  • Lindsey Graham 7.6%
  • Rand Paul 6.2%
  • Chris Christie 5.0%
  • Ben Carson 4.9% 
  • Mike Huckabee 4.9%
  • Marco Rubio 4.0%
  • Rick Perry 1.9% 
  • Donald Trump 1.9%
  • Bobby Jindal 0.9% 
  • Rick Santorum 0.3%
  • John Bolton 0.2% 
  • Other 1.4%
  • Not sure 25.1%

Survey of 956 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 4-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Poll Watch, Republican Party, Scott Walker

April 15, 2015

Prominent Jewish Republicans Host Fundraiser for U.S. Senate Homeland Security Chairman Ron Johnson

Ian Reisner Picture photo Ian Reisner Picture_zpsqfcyueeu.jpg

Manhattan real-estate developer and hotelier Ian Reisner recently hosted a private fundraiser for U.S. Senator Ron Johnson (R – Wisconsin), Chairman of the Senate Homeland Security Committee. Holocaust survivor Sam Domb and former Republican National Chairman Ken Mehlman were among the leading Jewish Republicans and other conservatives who supported this effort.

Senator Johnson, who has begun campaigning for re-election in 2016, acknowledged the business leaders in the audience. He wondered, “Would any of you ask President Obama to negotiate on your behalf?” After the laughter subsided, Johnson listed his numerous concerns with Obama’s pending nuclear-weapons agreement with Iran’s dictatorship. Johnson also specified several amendments that he plans to introduce to assure that the U.S. Senate reviews and votes on this deal.

Those gathered at Reisner’s Central Park South penthouse included a bipartisan group of Jewish business leaders — both committed Republicans and several traditionally aligned with Democrats.

“As CEO of Major Automotive Companies, Inc.,” said Bruce Bendell, a longtime Democrat-leaning donor, “I respect Senator Johnson’s history as a business leader and now as someone who is dedicated to undoing the economic damage of the Obama years and restoring dynamic growth to our society.”

The participation of Bendell; American Foundation for AIDS Research (amfAR) founding trustee Jonathan S. Canno; and entrepreneur Tzvi Odzer, among others, reflects growing Jewish support for Republicans. This parallels the widening rift between Jews and Democrats in light of Obama’s abundant disrespect for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the White House’s worrisome overtures to the ayatollahs.

“I saw up close the death and devastation of radical Islam at Ground Zero on the evening of September 11, 2001,” Ian Reisner recalled. “I don’t want to see New Yorkers once again incinerated by Islamic extremists from the Middle East.”

As the reception concluded, Kalman Sporn, Vice Chairman of the 2014 Republican Leadership Conference, presented Senator Johnson with a rare coin excavated at Masada, site of the Israelites’ brave stand against their Roman oppressors in the year 73 A.D. Sporn brought Reisner on his first trip to Israel in 2000, where they visited a military base and met Benjamin Netanyahu. Ian Reisner strongly has supported Jewish causes ever since, including Manhattan’s Museum of Jewish Heritage and the National Jewish Outreach Program.

by @ 5:00 pm. Filed under 2016, Fundraising

Race 4 2016 Headlines and Wednesday Open Thread

The rules of open threads are as follows:

-No profanity

-No religious attacks

-No personal attacks on the family members of candidates

-No trolling or feeding of trolls

Other than that, have at it in the comments!

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under Headlines & Open Threads

April 14, 2015

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (50%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 37% (39%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 9 & 12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the polls conducted June 4-5, 2014 and June 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz

April 13, 2015

BREAKING: Sen. Marco Rubio Launches Presidential Campaign

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) has revealed his 2016 intentions in a conference call with his top donors. The junior senator informed his supporters that he will announce his candidacy for President later this evening in Miami.

WASHINGTON — Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, a telegenic rising star with appeal to conservative and establishment Republicans, told donors in a conference call today that he will run for president, according to multiple news reports.

If elected, Sen. Rubio would be the first Hispanic President of the United States, as well as one of the youngest ever to serve. The first term senator has surprised many in Florida political circles by choosing to challenge his political mentor and GOP establishment scion, former Gov. Jeb Bush.

UPDATE: Here’s video of Rubio’s full announcement speech-KWN

by @ 10:29 am. Filed under 2016, Marco Rubio

Poll Watch: NH1/Reach Communications (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

NH1/Reach Communications (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Scott Walker 22.7% [21.2%] (8%)
  • Jeb Bush 16.5% [14.4%] (11%)
  • Rand Paul 14.9% [8.3%] (7%)
  • Ted Cruz 8.9% [3.3%] (4%)
  • Donald Trump 8.0%
  • Marco Rubio 7.0% [5.4%] (3%)
  • Ben Carson 7.0% [8.2%] (7%)
  • Chris Christie 5.8% [7.0%] (8%)
  • Mike Huckabee 5.5% [6.8%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 1.9% [1.7%]
  • Rick Perry 1.6% [2.7%]
  • Someone else/Undecided [18.8%] (18%)

Survey of 1,064 highly likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 8-9, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21, 2015 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch, Republican Party, Scott Walker

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% [46%] {44%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [46%] {46%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
  • Scott Walker (R) 46% [43%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [45%] (46%)
  • Rick Perry (R) 45% [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45% [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [47%] [48%] (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 45% [43%] [40%] (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] [46%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% [43%] [41%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [45%] (45%) {44%}
  • Ben Carson (R) 44% [46%] (45%) {44%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [42%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [45%] {44%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% [42%] {42%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%] 
  • Scott Walker (R) 48%
  • Joe Biden (D) 39%
  • Scott Walker (R) 46%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 36%

Survey of 751 registered North Carolina voters was conducted April 2-5, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [44%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] Democrat; 36% [35%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] Republican; 22% [21%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Scott Walker

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 53% (56%)
  • Joe Biden 13% (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% (13%)
  • Martin O’Malley 5% (3%)
  • Jim Webb 3% (3%) 
  • Bernie Sanders 2% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (12%)

Survey of 370 Democratic primary voters was conducted April 2-5, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Ideology: 33%(27%) Somewhat liberal; 31% (38%) Moderate; 21% (21%) Very liberal; 10% (8%) Somewhat conservative; 5% (6%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

April 12, 2015

Marco Rubio Expected to Announce 2016 Bid Tomorrow

Via ABC News:

Republican Sen. Marco Rubio will sit down for an exclusive interview with ABC News’ Chief Anchor and “This Week” host, George Stephanopoulos, on Monday — just a few hours before the Florida senator will announce whether he will run for president in 2016.

The interview will take place in Miami.

Rubio, 43, has been considering a presidential bid and he has indicated he will reveal his decision tomorrow.

“In just three days in Miami, I will announce whether I will run for president, for re-election to the Senate, or for commissioner of the National Football League,” he joked at the National Rifle Association Convention in Nashville, Tennessee on Friday.

Born in Miami, Rubio, a Cuban-American, has invited supporters to an evening event at the Freedom Tower, an historic site in downtown Miami which holds symbolic importance for generations of Cubans.

Described as the “Ellis Island of the South,” the tower once housed the Cuban Assistance Center, servicing thousands of Cuban refugees from 1962 to 1974.

Full story here.

by @ 7:49 pm. Filed under 2016, Marco Rubio

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 19% {17%} [14%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
  • Scott Walker 16% {24%} [14%] {5%} (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
  • Ted Cruz 11% {3%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
  • Mike Huckabee 11% {15%} [13%] (14%) {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% {7%} (4%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
  • Ben Carson 9% {12%} [14%] (19%)
  • Chris Christie 7% {5%} [5%] (14%) {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 6% {5%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
  • Rick Perry 2% {3%} [3%] (7%)
  • Not sure 7% {8%} [9%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Survey of 351 Republican primary voters was conducted April 2-5, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 37% {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 18% {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 5% {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {3%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:13 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch, Republican Party

April 11, 2015

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [44%] (48%) {49%} (51%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% [42%] (42%) {40%} (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [44%] (45%) {42%} [46%] (45%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% [39%] (41%) {41%} [37%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [42%] (47%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [42%] (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%]
  • Scott Walker (R) 40% [40%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {51%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40% {38%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [44%] (49%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 40% [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [53%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 39% [34%]
 Survey of 961 Virginia voters was conducted March 29 – April 7, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [30%] (33%) {31%} [32%] (31%) Democrat; 26% [26%] (24%) {26%} [22%] (26%) Republican; 30% [34%] (35%) {35%} [37%] (36%) Independent; 11% [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (8%) Other/Don’t know. Gender: 52% [53%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (53%) Female; 48% [47%] (46%) {50%} [48%] (47%) Male.  Race: 71% [71%] (72%) {70%} [69%] (71%) White; 19% [18%] (17%) {16%} [17%] (17%) Black; 2% [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (4%) Hispanic; 8% [8%] (8%) {10%} [10%] (9%) Other/Don’t know. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted February 5-15, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-24, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 8-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch, Republican Party

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Rand Paul (R) 44% (41%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {47%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (43%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {44%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (45%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 42% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (44%) {44%} [45%] 
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% (39%) {41%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (44%) {44%} [45%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41% (43%) {44%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (43%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {38%} [42%] (41%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% (34%) {40%} [42%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (44%) {44%} [45%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38% (36%) {40%} [40%]
 Survey of 894 Colorado voters was conducted March 29 – April 7, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 28% (25%){27%} [28%] (29%) {29%} [30%] (24%) Democrat; 26% (27%) {29%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (27%) Republican; 37% (39%) {37%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (42%) Independent; 9% (9%) {6%} [10%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (8%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted February 5-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 29 – February 2, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-21, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Marco Rubio, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Scott Walker

April 10, 2015

POWER RANKINGS: April

1.  Jeb Bush  former Governor of Florida

Gov. Bush continues to perform well among the GOP elites, but his poll numbers show a serious lack of enthusiasm for his candidacy among rank and file voters.  The former Florida governor’s attempt to “shock and awe” the field hasn’t worked the way his team envisioned, with Jeb facing doubts and attacks at a far greater clip than his brother did in 2000. Any hopes of a coronation for Bush III are long gone.

2.  Scott Walker  Governor of Wisconsin

Walker has cooled off a bit after firing out the gate. His poor media performances and stumbles over easy questions will give a number of voters pause. But his support among conservatives is solid, and attacks by President Obama will only earn Gov. Walker more love from the base. campaign.

3.  Marco Rubio  U.S. Senator from Florida

Sen. Rubio is methodically building his 2016 effort, focusing on ideas and policies rather than splashy headlines. His efforts are winning plaudits in the early states, and earning him some of the best early poll numbers on favorability and likability. Sen. Rubio has also worked hard to build a relationship with 2012 nominee Mitt Romney.

4.  Rand Paul  U.S. Senator from Kentucky

The libertarian-leaning senator remains a top contender due to his his strong grassroots organization in Iowa and New Hampshire. Paul has successfully capitalized on his father’s prior campaigns to gain a foothold in the early states. However, right out of the gate Paul’s biggest weaknesses have been front and center: his testiness with the media and his unorthodox foreign policy.

5.  Ted Cruz  U.S. Senator from Texas

The Tea Party favorite was the first candidate officially out of the gate, launching his campaign from Liberty University, a direct play to win over the evangelical base. Despite his doubters in the mainstream press, the Princeton and Harvard-educated lawyer is in a strong position to unite the Tea Party and evangelical factions of the GOP.

6.  Mike Huckabee  former Governor of Arkansas

The author and former Fox News host continues to be a favorite of the evangelical wing of the party, though he may be realizing the country has shifted significantly since he last run.  The firestorm over Indiana’s religious freedom law is just the latest reminder that Huckabee’s core issues are out of stop with a large segment of the country.

7.  Bobby Jindal  Governor of Louisiana

Gov. Jindal has worked hard to win over the evangelical and activist base of the party without burning bridges to the establishment. His efforts haven’t shown up in the polls as of yet, but they could help him stick around as a top second choice for a number of the GOP’s disparate factions.

8.  John Kasich  Governor of Ohio

Kasich has started to generate some buzz that he’s interested in the 2016 race, underscored by trips to early primary states. With a record of success in the nation’s most important swing state, the Ohio governor could be a dark horse establishment prospect if Jeb Bush stumbles.

9.  Chris Christie  Governor of New Jersey

With Bridgegate indictments looming, its hard to envision how Christie’s comeback strategy will take shape. His team believes that the former frontrunner can return to contention with a scrappy McCain-like effort in New Hampshire, but the hits just keep on coming.

10.  Rick Perry  former Governor of Texas

Better preparation and planning combined with a solid donor base might be enough to give the former Governor of Texas a second chance at a first impression. His poor 2008 performance will be hard to forget, but Perry believes his accomplishments as governor will earn him another look from primary voters.

Honorable Mention:  Carly Fiorina, Mike Pence, Ben Carson

No Chance: Lindsey Graham, George Pataki, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump

 

by @ 12:20 pm. Filed under 2016

BREAKING: Hillary Clinton to Announce Campaign Sunday in Iowa

Per The Guardian:

Hillary Clinton is planning to officially launch her US presidential campaign on Sunday while en route to Iowa, a source familiar with the campaign has confirmed to the Guardian.

The former secretary of state is scheduled to declare her second run for president on Twitter at noon eastern time on Sunday, the source told the Guardian, followed by a video and email announcement, then a series of conference calls mapping out a blitzkrieg tour beginning in Iowa and looking ahead to more early primary states.

Clinton’s Sunday schedule is booked beginning with takeoff from New York to Iowa, where speculation has centered for weeks that Clinton was focusing attention for an April campaign launch. Her scheduled calls are with advisers in other key battleground states.

Full story here.

by @ 10:13 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Iowa Caucuses

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Rand Paul (R) 43% {37%} [40%] (39%) {44%} (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {45%} [46%] (49%) {45%} (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {45%} [46%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {38%} [39%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {45%} [49%] (51%) {47%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {35%} [36%] (37%) {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {44%} [44%] (48%) {40%} [41%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 39% {34%} [36%] (35%) {45%} [41%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (48%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 40% (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (51%) {48%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (35%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%}
  • Scott Walker (R) 40% {35%}
Survey of 948 Iowa voters was conducted March 29 – April 7, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 30% {26%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [27%] Republican; 29% {28%} [29%] (28%) {27%} [29%] Democrat; 37% {40%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [40%] Independent; 5% {7%} [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] Other/Don’t know. Gender: 51% {52%} [52%] {52%} [51%] Female; 49% {48%} [48%] {48%} [49%] Male.  Race: 93% {92%} [94%] {92%} [93%] White; 2% {2%} [2%] {2%} [3%] Black; 2% {2%} [1%] {2%} [1%] Hispanic; 2% {3%} [3%] {3%} [4%] Other/Don’t know.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted February 5-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul, Republican Party

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

  • Jeb Bush 13%
  • Scott Walker 11%
  • Ted Cruz 11%
  • Mike Huckabee 9%
  • Ben Carson 7%
  • Donald Trump 7%
  • Rand Paul 6%
  • Chris Christie 5%
  • Rick Perry 5%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Carly Fiorina 1%
  • Lindsey Graham 1%
  • Bobby Jindal 1%
  • John Kasich 1%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • John Bolton 0%
  • George Pataki 0%
  • Other (vol.) 1%
  • No one (vol.) 2%
  • Undecided (vol.) 14%

National survey of 355 registered voters who identify themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party was conducted March 30 – April 2, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. 

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 54% [54%] (60%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% [12%] (10%)
  • Joe Biden 7% [16%] (15%)
  • Bernie Sanders 6% [5%] (2%)
  • Martin O’Malley 3% [1%] (1%)
  • Jim Webb 2% [2%] (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 13% [10%] (11%)

Survey of 449 Democratic primary voters was conducted March 26-31, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 34% [26%] (26%) Somewhat liberal; 30% [29%] (38%)Moderate; 20% [28%] (22%) Very liberal; 13% [14%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 3% [3%] (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Jim Webb, Joe Biden, Martin O'Malley, Poll Watch

April 9, 2015

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%} (48%) {45%} [51%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% {41%} (40%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [51%] (49%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 42% {40%} [39%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%} [45%]
  • Scott Walker (R) 42% {40%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {48%}
  • Ben Carson (R) 42% {40%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {50%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {40%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {50%} (51%) {47%} [49%] (50%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 43% {40%} (40%) {41%} [41%] (33%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {50%} (49%) {46%} [48%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% {41%} (42%) {43%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [42%](44%) {43%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [44%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 37% {40%} [40%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [44%] (42%) {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {48%}
  • Rick Perry (R) 39% {41%}
  • Scott Walker (R) 46%
  • Joe Biden (D) 40%
  • Scott Walker (R) 43%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 39%

National survey of 989 registered voters was conducted March 26-31, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 39% {40%} [39%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 31% {34%} [37%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 31% {26%} [23%] (26%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 – February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2016, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch, Republican Party, Scott Walker

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 24% [32%] (21%) {27%} [25%] (22%)
  • Scott Walker 15% [9%] (2%) {4%} [5%] (2%)
  • Marco Rubio 12% [15%] (18%) {11%} [16%] (18%)
  • Ben Carson 8% [8%]
  • Ted Cruz 7% [4%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (12%)
  • Mike Huckabee 6% [11%] (7%) {6%}
  • Rand Paul 4% [3%] (8%) {14%} [11%] (9%)
  • Rick Perry 2% [1%] (5%)
  • Chris Christie 1% [3%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (14%)
  • John Kasich 1% [0%] (1%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0%
  • Bobby Jindal 0% [3%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% [3%] (1%)

Survey of 428 registered Republicans was conducted March 17-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 22 – February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Poll Watch, Republican Party

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 65% [61%] (67%) {64%} [64%] (70%)
  • Joe Biden 11% [11%] (8%) {11%} [9%] (9%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% [9%] (8%) {6%} [5%] (4%)
  • Bernie Sanders 3% [2%]
  • Jim Webb 2% [1%]
  • Martin O’Malley 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%)

Survey of 344 registered Democrats was conducted March 17-28, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 22 – February 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2016, Bernie Sanders, Democrats, Elizabeth Warren, Jim Webb, Joe Biden, Poll Watch

Join The Community


Sponsored Ad

Meta

Recent Posts

Sponsored Ad

Categories

Archives

Search

Blogroll

Site Syndication

Main