October 24, 2014

Poll Watch: Wisconsin Public Radio/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

WPR/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Scott Walker (R) 47% {56%}
  • Mary Burke (D) 46% {40%}

Survey of 525 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 24 – April 3, 2014 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 23, 2014

Obama On The Ballot

In President Obama’s own and unambiguous words, he and his administration are on the ballot on November 4. Democratic Party strategists shuddered when he said it, but this time there was “no walking the statement back,” as they say in DC lingo. Mr. Obama and his wife on the campaign trail have repeated it since again and again.

This is as it should be in the national mid-term of a president’s second term. It gives the American electorate an opportunity to pass a judgment on the accomplishments, or lack of them, and a final chance to either encourage more of the same or to put a brake on policies and a direction they do not like.

—————————————————————————————————————————————-
Copyright (c) 2014 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved

by @ 6:47 pm. Filed under 2014, Barack Obama, Campaign Issues

Poll Watch: Reuters-Ipsos Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47%
  • Mark Udall (D) 45%

Online survey of 1,099 likely voters was conducted October 13-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 5:51 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Scott Brown (R) 47.7% [48.0%] (45.9%) {46.6%} [42.8%] (40.2%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47.3% [46.9%] (48.5%) {47.1%} [50.1%] (51.0%)
  • Another candidate 2.7% [2.8%] (3.2%) {3.3%} [4.0%] (4.5%)
  • Not sure 2.3% [2.3%] (2.3%) {2.9%} [3.2%] (4.2%)
Among Independents

  • Scott Brown (R) 48.7% [47.5%] (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44.0% [43.7%] (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
  • Another candidate 4.3% [4.6%] (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
  • Not sure 3.0% [4.3%] (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 50.2% [53.5%] (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45.7% [41.3%] (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
  • Another candidate 2.8% [3.7%] (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
  • Not sure 1.2% [1.5%] (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.7% [51.7%] (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45.4% [43.1%] (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
  • Another candidate 2.5% [2.0%] (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
  • Not sure 3.3% [3.1%] (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)

Survey of 921 likely voters was conducted October 16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.23 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Monmouth University Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

  • Joni Ernst (R) 47%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 46%
  • Other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 2%

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 54%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%
  • Other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 2%

Among Women

  • Bruce Braley (D) 50%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40%
  • Other candidate 6%
  • Undecided 3%

Survey of 423 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% [50%] (50%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45% [44%] (44%)

Among Democrats

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 91% [82%] (85%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 7% [16%] (14%)

Among Republicans

  • Scott Brown (R) 85% [76%] (76%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 11% [18%] (16%)

Among Independents

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48% [49%] (45%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% [43%] (46%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 53% [45%] (46%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41% [50%] (47%)

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 57% [51%] (52%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 38% [43%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeanne Shaheen 49% [50%] (52%) / 44% [44%] (42%) {+5%}
  • Scott Brown 44% [43%] (42%) / 48% [53%] (49%) {-4%}

Survey of 764 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 31% [30%] (27%) Republican; 31% [32%] (32%) Democrat; 39% [38%] (41%) Independent/Other. Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) Men. Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46.0% (42.6%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 38.6% (41.6%)
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2.6% (2.4%)
  • Steve Shogan (I) 1.6% (1.4%)
  • Raul Acosta (I) 1.2% (0.8%)
  • Bill Hammons (U) 0.6% (1.2%)
  • Undecided 9.4% (10.0%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 44.6% (40.8%) / 41.4% (37.4%) {+3.2%}
  • Mark Udall 40.8% (43.4%) / 54.2% (44.4%) {-13.4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mark Udall is doing as U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 40.2% (42.4%)
  • Disapprove 53.4% (49.0%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party registration: 33.4% (33.0%) Republican; 30.8% (31.0%) Democrat; 35.8% (34.8%) Independent/Unaffiliated. Gender: 51.6% (51.8%) Female; 48.4% (48.2%) Male. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Saint Leo University Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Saint Leo University Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

Thinking about the November election for Governor, if the election were held today would you vote for Republican Rick Scott, Democrat Charlie Crist, or Libertarian Adrian Wyllie?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 43%
  • Rick Scott (R) 40%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 8%
  • Don’t know/Unsure 9%

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 80%
  • Rick Scott (R) 11%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 5%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 4%

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 73%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 15%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 8%

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 36%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 32%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 14%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 18%

Among Men

  • Charlie Crist (D) 44%
  • Rick Scott (R) 42%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 5%

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 43%
  • Rick Scott (R) 38%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7%
  • Don’ know/Unsure 12%

What if there were no Libertarian candidate and you could only vote for Republican Rick Scott or Democrat Charlie Crist?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 45% (41%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 45% (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Rick Scott 48% (46%) / 48% (48%) {0%}
  • Charlie Crist 47% (47%) / 49% (47%) {-2%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Republican; 37% Democrat; 26% No affiliation.  Results from the poll conducted May 28 – June 4, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Mary Burke (D) 49% {46%} [47%] (45%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 48% {48%} [48%] (45%)

Survey of 973 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 13-14, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 46% [48%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (38%)
  • David Perdue (R) 44% [45%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (43%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% [3%] (4%) {5%} [3%] (6%)
  • Undecided 7% [4%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (14%)

Among Men

  • David Perdue (R) 50% [49%] (50%) {55%} [56%] (50%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41% [46%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (33%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% [3%] (4%) {6%} [2%] (6%)
  • Undecided 5% [3%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (11%)

Among Women

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 51% [50%] (49%) {52%} [46%] (44%)
  • David Perdue (R) 38% [41%] (41%) {40%} [44%] (35%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% [3%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
  • Undecided 8% [5%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (16%)

Survey of 606 likely voters was conducted October 17-20, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% [39%] (38%) {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 39% [38%] (37%) {40%} [38%] (35%) Democrat; 22% [22%] (23%){23%} [21%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 40% [43%] (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Moderate; 40% [39%] (36%) {42%} [44%] (40%) Conservative; 15% [14%] (17%) {17%} [13%] (15%) Liberal. Gender: 52% [51%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) Female; 48% [49%] (50%) {49%} [52%] (53%) Male.  Race: 63% [61%] (63%) {62%} [63%] (65%) White; 28% [27%] (27%) {29%} [26%] (24%) Black; 6% [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (7%) Hispanic; 4% [5%] Asian/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

  • Dan Malloy (D) 43% [43%] (40%)
  • Tom Foley (R) 42% [43%] (46%)
  • Joe Visconti (I) 9% [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

  • Dan Malloy (D) 45% [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)
  • Tom Foley (R) 45% [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Tom Foley 40% [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 46% [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {-6%}
  • Dan Malloy 42% [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 50% [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-8%}

Survey of 1,010 likely voters was conducted October 14-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 26% [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 34% [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 6% [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 – March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 42% (42%) {39%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 42% (44%) {37%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 86% (83%) {73%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 5% (7%) {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 81% (80%) {74%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 7% (11%) {9%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% (37%) {36%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 38% (44%) {34%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 11% (11%) {12%}

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 46% (48%) {45%}
  • Charlie Crist (D) 38% (40%) {32%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 10% (8%) {9%}

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 45% (43%) {45%}
  • Rick Scott (R) 39% (41%) {30%}
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

  • Charlie Crist (D) 44% (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 44% (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 87% (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 6% (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 85% (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 8% (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 48% (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)

Among Women

  • Charlie Crist (D) 46% (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Charlie Crist 42% (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 47% (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-5%}
  • Rick Scott 40% (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 48% (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-8%}

Survey of 984 likely voters was conducted October 14-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 30% (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 29% (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 22, 2014

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47%
  • Mark Udall (D) 46%
  • Other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 3%

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 50%
  • Mark Udall (D) 43%
  • Other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 2%

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 48%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 43%
  • Other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 4%

Survey of 431 likely voters was conducted October 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Gender: 53% Female; 47% Male.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 46% {44%} [46%]
  • Thom Tillis (R) 43% {41%} [43%]
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% {7%} [5%]

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 45% [48%]
  • Kay Hagan (D) 41% [40%]
  • Sean Haugh (L) 7% [5%]

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 51% [52%]
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40% [38%]
  • Sean Haugh (L) 4% [5%]

Survey of 568 likely voters was conducted October 16-20, 2014 for WRAL-TV (Raleigh). The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {40%} [41%] Democrat; 35% {32%} [32%] Republican; 23% {28%} [27%] Independent. Ideology: 41% {45%} [39%] Moderate; 38% {34%} [41%] Conservative; 18% {19%} [16%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-10, 2014are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 51.1% (50%) {48%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 37.5% (39%) {43%} [36%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
  • Jim Fulner (L) 2.2% (2%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
  • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1.2% (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Richard Matkin (UST) 1.0% (0.5%) {0.5%} [1%] (2%)
  • Undecided 7.0% (8%) {6%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)

Among Independents

  • Gary Peters (D) 50.4% (49%) {43%} [49%] (36%) {38%} [46%] (33%) {40%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 31.2% (26%) {37%} [23%] (40%) {44%}[41%] (34%) {35%}

Among Men

  • Gary Peters (D) 49.3% (49%) {47%} [49%] (44%) {43%}[44%] (44%) {44%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 37.6% (42%) {44%} [40%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (41%) {44%}

Among Women

  • Gary Peters (D) 52.8% (50%) {49%} [50%] (42%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {45%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 37.5% (36%) {42%} [33%] (37%) {40%} [41%] (32%) {40%}

Survey of 919 likely voters was conducted October 19, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 3.23 percentage points.  Party ID: 41.9% (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Democrat; 37.3% (37%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) Republican. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Udall, Republican Cory Gardner, Libertarian Gaylon Kent, Unity Party of Colorado candidate Bill Hammons, unaffiliated candidate Raul Acosta, and unaffiliated candidate Steve Shogan. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46%
  • Mark Udall (D) 43%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
  • Bill Hammons (U) 1%
  • Raul Acosta (I) 1%
  • Steve Shogan (I) 1%
  • Undecided 7%

Horse race, with third-party supporters asked if they lean Udall or Gardner:

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47% [47%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46% [44%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 39% [44%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%)

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 51% [54%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 40% [38%] (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 48% [51%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
  • Cory Gardner (R) 43% [41%] (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?  

  • Approve 37% (36%) {42%} (41%)
  • Disapprove 52% (47%) {45%} (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

  • Favorable 45% (34%) {35%} (23%)
  • Unfavorable 42% (39%) {42%} (25%)

Survey of 778 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [33%] (34%) {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 35% [34%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 29% [34%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: WKU Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

WKU Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 45.4%
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 41.7%
  • David Patterson (L) 5.3%
  • Undecided 7.6%

Survey of likely voters was conducted October 6-19, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 21, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 41% 40% 41% 40% 40% 41% 39% 40% 39% 39%  39% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 40% 40% 39% 41% 41% 42% 41% 40% 41% 38% 40% 40% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 41% 40% 39% 39% 40%  39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 40% 42% 39% 39% 38% 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 38% 37% 40% 41% 38% 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 13-19, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of  confidence.

by @ 7:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 48% [46%] (47%)
  • Mark Udall (D) 43% [39%] (43%)
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 4% [6%] (6%)
  • Unsure 5% [9%] (4%)

Survey of 695 likely voters was conducted October 16, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [32%] (32%) Democrat; 29% [29%] (29%) Republican; 39% [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Rand Paul (R) 48% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (45%)
  • Unsure 10% (11%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 48% (44%)
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 32% (35%)
  • Unsure 20% (21%)

Survey of 1,022 likely voters was conducted October 16-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (39%) Democrat; 34% (34%) Republican; 27% (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.s.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:00 am. Filed under 2016, Elizabeth Warren, Hillary Clinton, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Thom Tillis (R) 48% (41%)
  • Kay Hagan (D) 43% (44%)
  • Unsure 9% (15%)

Survey of 1,022 likely voters was conducted October 16-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (39%) Democrat; 34% (34%) Republican; 27% (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted July 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Talk Business & Politics/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Talk Business/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Tom Cotton (R) 49.0% {44%} [42.5%] (41%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 40.5% {42%} [45.5%] (42%)
  • Nathan LaFrance (L) 2.5% {3%} [2%]
  • Mark Swaney (G) 2.0% {4%} [2%]
  • Undecided 6.0% {7%} [8%] (17%)

Survey of 2,075 likely voters was conducted October 15-16, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 34% {32.5%} Democrat; 29% {30.0%} Republican; 30% {30.5%} Independent; 7% {7.0%} Other. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Multi-Quest International Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Multi-Quest International Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for the United States Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?

  • Mary Landrieu (D) 36%
  • Bill Cassidy (R) 32%
  • Rob Maness (R) 6%
  • Undecided 23% 

If no candidate in the senate race reaches 50% of the vote there will be a runoff between the top two finishers in December. If those two candidates were Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Bill Cassidy, for whom would you vote?

  • Bill Cassidy (R) 43%
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 40%

Survey of 605 registered voters was conducted October 14-19, 2014 for Raycom Media stations. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UMass Amherst/WBZ New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UMass Amherst/WBZ New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 49%
  • Elizabeth Warren 16%
  • Bernie Sanders 11%
  • Joe Biden 6%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3%
  • Deval Patrick 3%
  • Martin O’Malley 0%
  • Cory Booker 0%
  • Other 11%

Survey of 204 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 10-15, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, New Hampshire Primary, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 44% [44%] (46%) {41%} [42%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% [46%] (42%) {39%} [43%]
  • David Patterson (L) 5% [3%] (5%) {7%} [4%]
  • Undecided 8% [7%] (8%) {13%} [7%]

Among Men

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 43% [45%] (48%) {43%} [42%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43%  [44%] (38%) {39%} [41%]
  • David Patterson (L) 5% [4%] (6%) {7%} [6%]
  • Undecided 8% [7%] (8%) {11%} [6%]

Among Women

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 44% [44%] (44%) {39%} [41%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% [47%] (45%) {39%} [45%]
  • David Patterson (L) 6% [2%] (4%) {7%} [3%]
  • Undecided 7% [7%] (7%) {15%} [9%]

Survey of 655 likely voters was conducted October 15-19, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29 – October 2, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted August 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted July 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2014 are in square brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: UMass Amherst/WBZ New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

UMass Amherst/WBZ New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48%
  • Scott Brown (R) 45%
  • Other 5%
  • Not sure 2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeanne Shaheen 49% / 43% {+6%}
  • Scott Brown 39% / 52% {-13%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Senator Jeanne Shaheen is doing her job?

  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 45%

Survey of 322 likely voters was conducted October 10-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points. Party ID: 32% Democrat;26% Republican; 42% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Charlie Crist (D) 47% {42%} [41%] (45%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 47% {40%} [42%] (39%)

Survey of 1,114 likely voters was conducted October 15-17, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 46% [44%] {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 43% [40%] {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 5% [5%] {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 49% [48%] {44%} (42%) [39%] {42%}(42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
  • Kay Hagan (D) 42% [38%] {38%} (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% [6%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {12%}

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 49% [49%] {45%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (39%)[47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 37% [33%] {32%} (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 5% [4%] {7%} (8%) [12%] {10%}

Horse race, with Haugh supporters asked if they lean Hagan or Tillis

  • Kay Hagan (D) 47% [46%] {43%} (42%) [42%] {41%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 44% [42%] {42%} (39%) [38%] {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Sean Haugh 10% [8%] {8%} (7%) / 17% [17%] {17%} (20%) {-7%}
  • Thom Tillis 37% [34%] {28%} (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 49% [48%] {48%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan’s job performance?

  • Approve 41% [43%] {42%} (40%) [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
  • Disapprove 50% [48%] {49%} (50%) [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}

Survey of 780 likely voters was conducted October 16-18, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 44% [45%] {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 37% [34%] {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 19% [21%] {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Monmouth University Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

  • Pat Roberts (R) 46%
  • Greg Orman (I) 46%
  • Other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 5%

Among Men

  • Pat Roberts (R) 55%
  • Greg Orman (I) 38%
  • Other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 4%

Among Women

  • Greg Orman (I) 52%
  • Pat Roberts (R) 38%
  • Other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 7%

Survey of 429 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

October 20, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

Suffolk University/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.60% [49.38%] (52.00%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45.60% [39.38%] (39.13%)
  • Undecided 5.60% [8.75%] (8.87%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeanne Shaheen 49.00% [51.50%] (52.75%) / 42.20% [36.38%] (37.13%) {+6.80%}
  • Scott Brown 39.20% [34.63%] (32.75%) / 47.80% [45.75%] (42.38%) {-8.60%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Jeanne Shaheen is doing as U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 46.00%
  • Disapprove 46.00%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014.  Party registration: 30.60% [29.88%] (30%) Republican; 27.20% [28.25%] (27%) Democrat; 41.20% [39.63%] (43%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted February 27 – March 5, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:25 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Join The Community


Sponsored Ad

Meta

Recent Posts

Sponsored Ad

Categories

Archives

Search

Blogroll

Site Syndication

Main