September 17, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 39% {44%} [45%] (41%) {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {3%} [4%] (4%)

Among Democrats

  • Charlie Crist (D) 76% {78%} [78%] (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 11% {12%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% {4%} [3%] (1%)

Among Republicans

  • Rick Scott (R) 76% {79%} [75%] (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 11% {14%} [19%] (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {2%} [4%] (2%)

Among Independents

  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {41%} [40%] (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 31% {41%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {1%} [7%] (12%)

Among Moderates

  • Charlie Crist (D) 52% {55%} [53%] (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 32% {35%} [34%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {3%} [3%] (4%)

Among Men

  • Rick Scott (R) 47% {50%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 35% {40%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 9% {2%} [5%] (6%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% {48%} [47%] (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 41% {41%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% {4%} [4%] (3%)

Survey of 571 likely voters was conducted September 12-15, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {40%} [41%] (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 37% {39%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 21% {20%} [21%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 40% {43%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 36% {35%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 19% {18%} [19%] (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 52% {51%} [50%] (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female; 48% {49%} [50%] (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male.Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 – August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 – July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:45 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 50% {40%} [29%] (38%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 44% {44%} [42%] (44%)

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 56% {44%} [33%] (44%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 39% {40%} [40%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 50% {47%} [44%] (49%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 44% {36%} [27%] (31%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Joni Ernst 45% {34%} [13%] / 39% {28%} [6%] {+6%}
  • Bruce Braley 38% {35%} [35%] / 41% {26%} [18%] {-3%}

Survey of 1,167 likely voters was conducted September 10-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 28% {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 26% {29%} [28%] (27%) Democrat; 41% {40%} [39%] (40%) Independent; 5% {5%} [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:45 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
  • Rand Paul (R) 41% (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%](43%) {45%} [46%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]

(more…)

by @ 10:15 am. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 16, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 44% {42%} (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%]{40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40% {38%} (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%]{42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 5% {8%} (8%) [11%] {11%}

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 48% {44%} (42%) [39%] {42%} (42%)[50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
  • Kay Hagan (D) 38% {38%} (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% {9%} (9%) [10%] {12%}

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 49% {45%} (44%) [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 33% {32%} (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%}
  • Sean Haugh (L) 4% {7%} (8%) [12%] {10%}

Horse race, with Haugh supporters allocated to whether they lean Hagan or Tillis

  • Kay Hagan (D) 46% {43%} (42%) [42%] {41%}
  • Thom Tillis (R) 42% {42%} (39%) [38%] {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Sean Haugh 8% {8%} (7%) / 17% {17%} (20%) {-9%}
  • Thom Tillis 34% {28%} (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 48% {48%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan’s job performance?

  • Approve 43% {42%} (40%) [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
  • Disapprove 48% {49%} (50%) [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}

Survey of 1,266 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 45% {42%} (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 34% {31%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 21% {27%} (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conductedAugust 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

Among Likely Voters

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
  • Scott Brown (R) 45%
  • Undecided 5%

Among Registered Voters

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47% {50%} [50%] (48%) 
  • Scott Brown (R) 45% {38%} [38%] (38%)
  • Undecided 8% {12%} [12%] (14%)

Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 50% {52%} [49%] (44%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41% {38%} [44%] (43%)  
  • Undecided 9% {10%} [7%] (13%)

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53% {61%} [55%] (52%) 
  • Scott Brown (R) 41% {25%} [28%] (32%)
  • Undecided 6% {14%} [17%] (16%)

Survey of 544 registered voters, including a subsample of 495 likely voters, was conducted September 12-15, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points among registered voters. Party ID (among registered voters): 32% {31%} [32%] Republican; 28% {31%} [30%] Democrat; 40% {38%} [38%] Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 13-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 

  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [45%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% [46%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% [42%] (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [38%] (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% [45%] (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [41%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%]
  • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [43%]
 Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49% [47%] (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 52% [48%] (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% [39%] (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 50% [47%] (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% [49%] (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47% [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [42%]

Among Women 

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [43%] (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [42%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [42%] (46%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 39% [45%] (44%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [40%] (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 35% [38%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [43%] (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 38% [40%] (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [43%] 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 35% [40%]
 Survey of 1,328 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 51% [50%](47%) Republican; 26% [30%] (28%) Democrat; 22% [20%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 36% [31%] (32%) Moderate;24% [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [24%] (19%) Very conservative; 14% [16%] (16%) Somewhat liberal; 6% [7%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:20 pm. Filed under 2016, Chris Christie, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch, Rand Paul

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates on the ballot for Senate this fall are Republican Pat Roberts, independent Greg Orman, Democrat Chad Taylor, and Libertarian Randall Batson. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

  • Greg Orman (I) 41% (23%)
  • Pat Roberts (R) 34% (32%)
  • Chad Taylor (D) 6% (25%)
  • Randall Batson (L) 4% (3%)
  • Undecided 15% (17%)

If you had to choose between just Republican Pat Roberts and independent Greg Orman, who would you vote for?

  • Greg Orman (I) 46% (43%) 
  • Pat Roberts (R) 36% (33%)
  • Not sure 17% (24%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Greg Orman 39% (24%) / 19% (12%) {+20%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Roberts’ job performance? 

  • Approve 29% (27%)
  • Disapprove 46% (44%)

Survey of 1,328 likely voters was conducted September 11-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Party ID: 51% (50%) Republican; 26% (30%) Democrat; 22% (20%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 36% (31%) Moderate; 24% (22%) Somewhat conservative;19% (24%) Very conservative; 14% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 6% (7%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:40 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Elon University North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 44.9%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 40.8%
  • Someone else 9.1%
  • Don’t know 4.6%

Among Men

  • Thom Tillis (R) 50%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 38%

Among Women

  • Kay Hagan (D) 52%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 33%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kay Hagan is handling her job as US Senator?

  • Approve 41.0%
  • Disapprove 50.7%

Survey of 629 likely voters was conducted September 5-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.91 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 9:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Al Franken (D) 49%
  • Mike McFadden (R) 36%
  • Steve Carlson (I) 3%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable

  • Al Franken 48% / 36% {+12%}
  • Mike McFadden 30% / 27% {+3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Al Franken’s job performance as Minnesota’s U.S. Senator?

  • Approve 53%
  • Disapprove 41%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 43% {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 41% {44%} [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
  • Jim Fulner (L) 3%
  • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 3%
  • Richard Matkin (UST) 2%
  • Undecided 9% {10%} [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)

Among Independents

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 40% {44%} [41%] (34%) {35%}
  • Gary Peters (D) 36% {38%} [46%] (33%) {40%}

Among Men

  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 44% {49%} [48%] (41%) {44%}
  • Gary Peters (D) 44% {43%} [44%] (44%) {44%}

Among Women

  • Gary Peters (D) 42% {49%} [46%] (46%) {45%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 37% {40%} [41%] (32%) {40%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Gary Peters 35% {30%} [36%] / 37% {37%} [29%] {-2%}
  • Terri Lynn Land 38% {40%} [45%] / 45% {42%} [36%] {-7%}

Survey of 829 likely voters was conducted September 14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% {43%} [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Democrat; 38% {39%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) Republican. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conductedJune 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 7:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

Rasmussen Generic Congressional Ballot Survey

  • Democrats 41% 39% 40% 39% 39%  39% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 40% 40% 39% 41% 41% 42% 41% 40% 41% 38% 40% 40% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 40% (39%) 40% (38%) (38%) (41%) (39%) (41%) (43%) (43%) (43%) (45%) (42%) (40%)
  • Republicans 39% 41% 41% 40% 39% 40% 42% 39% 39% 38% 38% 38% 38% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 38% 37% 40% 41% 38% 39% 38% 37% 39% 39% 36% 37% 37% 38% 40% 37% 35% 37%  38% 40% (42%) 40% (43%) (43%) (40%) (40%) (39%) (37%) (37%) (36%) (38%) (38%) (37%)

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 8-14, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 4:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 15, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Survey

Rasmussen President Obama Job Approval Poll 

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

  • Strongly approve 23%
  • Somewhat approve 25%
  • Somewhat disapprove 11%
  • Strongly disapprove 40%

President Obama Job Approval

  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 51%

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

by @ 6:28 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

  • Kay Hagan (D) 45% {40%} [44%] (40%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 39% {45%} [45%] (47%) 
  • Some other candidate 6% {6%} [5%] (3%)
  • Undecided 9% {9%} [7%] (10%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 5-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

  • Gary Peters (D) 45.6%
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 36.8%
  • Jim Fulner (L) 3.2%
  • Richard Matkin (UST) 1.8%
  • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1.4%
  • Undecided 10.4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Gary Peters 34.0% / 32.8% {+1.2%}
  • Terri Lynn Land 35.2% / 41.0% {-5.8%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 40.8% Democrat; 35.4% Republican; 23.0% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 3:00 pm. Filed under 2015, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Rick Scott (R) 46%
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43%
  • Other 4%
  • Not sure 8%

Survey of 5,962 likely voters was conducted August 18 – September 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:30 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Denver Post/SurveyUSA Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mark Udall (D) 46%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 42%
  • Steve Shogan (I) 3%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
  • Undecided 7%

Among Men

  • Cory Gardner (R) 47%
  • Mark Udall (D) 42%
  • Steve Shogan (I) 4%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
  • Undecided 4%

Among Women

  • Mark Udall (D) 49%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 36%
  • Steve Shogan (I) 2%
  • Gaylon Kent (L) 2%
  • Undecided 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Cory Gardner 36% / 36% {0%}
  • Mark Udall 40% / 47% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Senator Mark Udall is doing?

  • Approve 40%
  • Disapprove 46%

Survey of 664 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 33% Republican; 33% Independent. Ideology: 44% Moderate; 32% Conservative; 23% Liberal. Gender: 52% Male; 48% Female.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 2:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 60.85%
  • Joe Biden 17.45%
  • Elizabeth Warren 6.60%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3.77%
  • Martin O’Malley 0.94%
  • Undecided 8.96%

Survey of 212 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:30 pm. Filed under 2016, Hillary Clinton, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

  • Bruce Braley (D) 49%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 48%

Among Independents

  • Joni Ernst (R) 49%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 46%

Among Moderates

  • Bruce Braley (D) 60%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 37%

Among Men

  • Joni Ernst (R) 56%
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%

Among Women

  • Bruce Braley (D) 57%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Bruce Braley 48% / 43% {+5%}
  • Joni Ernst 47% / 47% {0%}

Survey of 608 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 1:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Charlie Crist (D) 42% [41%] (45%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% [42%] (39%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 8-10, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-22, 2014 are in parenthese

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:00 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Atlanta Journal-Constitution Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

AJC Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

  • David Perdue (R) 45% (45%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41% (46%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6% 
Among Men

  • David Perdue (R) 52%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 37%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6%

Among Women

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 44%
  • David Perdue (R) 39%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6%

Among Whites

  • David Perdue (R) 61%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 25%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6%

Among Blacks

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 79%
  • David Perdue (R) 8%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3%

Survey of 884 likely voters was conducted September 8-11, 2014 by Abt SRBI . The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Survey

InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

  • David Perdue (R) 50.1% (47%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 39.8% (40%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 5.0% (8%)
  • Undecided 5.1% (5%)

Among Men

  • David Perdue (R) 57.7%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 35.4%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4.0%
  • Undecided 2.9%

Among Women

  • David Perdue (R) 45.8%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41.6%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 5.7%
  • Undecided 6.8%

Among Whites

  • David Perdue (R) 69.8%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 22.0%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4.5%
  • Undecided 3.7%

Among Blacks

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 70.5%
  • David Perdue (R) 15.6%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 5.9%
  • Undecided 7.9%

Survey of 1,167 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 10-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Political ID :37.5% Democrat; 37.3% Republican; 25.2% Independent. Gender: 55.3% Female; 44.7% Male. Race: 64.7% White; 33.4% Black; 0.9% Hispanic/Latino; 0.9% Other. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 11:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Delaware 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Chris Coons (D) 49%
  • Kevin Wade (R) 34%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Not sure 12%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 10-12, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage point

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:30 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48%
  • Scott Brown (R) 48%

Among Democrats

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 97%
  • Scott Brown (R) 3%
Among Republicans
  • Scott Brown (R) 86%
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 12%
Among Independents
  • Scott Brown (R) 48%
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 43%
Among Men

  • Scott Brown (R) 54%
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41%

Among Women

  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54%
  • Scott Brown (R) 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Jeanne Shaheen 54% / 42% {+12%}
  • Scott Brown 46% / 48% {-2%}

Survey of 735 likely voters was conducted September 8-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 30% Republican; 27% Democrat;  43% Independent.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:00 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 14, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for United States Senator from North Carolina were today, who would you vote for?

  • Kay Hagan (D) 46%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 43%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 5%

What if the only two candidates on the ballot were Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Kay Hagan?

  • Kay Hagan (D) 47% (45%)
  • Thom Tillis (R) 46% (46%)

Survey of 490 likely voters was conducted September 9-10, 2014 for the Civitas Institute (R). The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (42%) Democrat; 32% (33%) Republican; 27% (20%) Independent. Ideology: 41% (38%) Conservative; 39% (39%) Moderate; 16% (17%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 27-31, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:32 am. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll

  • Jeb Bush 11.17%
  • Mike Huckabee 11.17%
  • Marco Rubio 9.57%
  • Rand Paul 6.91%
  • Chris Christie 6.38%
  • Rick Perry 6.38%
  • Scott Walker 6.38%
  • Paul Ryan 5.85%
  • Ted Cruz 5.32%
  • Rick Santorum 5.32%
  • Bobby Jindal 2.66%
  • Jon Huntsman 2.13%
  • John Kasich 0.53%
  • Undecided 17.02%

Survey of 188 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 10:27 am. Filed under 2016, Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 13, 2014

The Extinction Of Handwriting?

The art of penmanship used to be an important skill in American life, and whether or not you were good at it, writing in cursive longhand was something almost everyone had to do to communicate until the commercial typewriter
was invented in 1868.

Today, longhand or cursive writing by most Americans is limited to signing a check, signing a credit card slip, or writing a few words on an otherwise printed document.

Letter writing survives technically, but most communications today are by e-mails or text messages. Pen and ink, or even pen and pencil, are almost extinct.

Until the 19th century, every book was written in longhand before being typeset. Today, more and more books are being written, published  and read electronically.

It is an irreversible phenomenon.

A relatively few persons, however, insist on writing letters. Some Americans, both famous and non-famous, persist in communicating in handwritten form. Fine writing instruments and fine papers to write with them are still made, but pen and paper companies are disappearing. The number of persons who write letters or anything else in longhand is fast dwindling.

The extinction of handwriting has been hastened by the many new devices with which you can scribble your signature on a credit card screen with your fingernail, or send money and information electronically without any signature at all.

Collectors of autograph letters and manuscripts no longer have contemporary material to acquire. Autographs and signatures themselves can be made with a machine. Handwriting itself will soon be something only found in a museum.

If handwriting survives at all, it will likely be as an art form like painting, and practiced only by s few artists.

In a few decades, most Americans will not be able to read the original Declaration of Independence and U.S. Constitution documents.

In a few generations, ordinary handwriting will likely not be readable by anyone except a few scholars and trained experts. The handwriting that billions of us now take for granted will be like cuneiform, ancient pictograms and hieroglyphics are regarded today. It will be the same for those who speak English and other Indo-European languages, and those who write in calligraphic ideograms and non-Roman letters such as Chinese, Japanese, Hebrew, Arabic and Hindi.

The question is, therefore, how long will penmanship be taught in schools? Will the children of the future even know how to write?  Common Core does not ban teaching cursive longhand, but it also does not require it.

Because computers use keyboards, the skill of typing is still an important one. But even the ability to type may soon be extinct. (I’m old enough to recall that I thought the invention of the electric typewriter was “amazing.”) New devices now accurately transpose the spoken word into print on a computer screen. It is being widely suggested that even the spoken word might be soon extinct, as new inventions, already in development, can transpose words you “think” to a computer or readable device. No “sound” will be necessary.

It is all happening very quickly, and even if inevitable, it will change the whole nature of how human beings communicate to each other in only a few generations, and with sudden alterations of human culture itself.

Who knows the now inestimable consequences of this?

————————————————————————————-
Copyright (c) 2014 by Barry Casselman. All rights reserved.

 

by @ 12:49 pm. Filed under Culture, Opinion, Predictions

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

  • Scott Walker (R) 49%
  • Mary Burke (D) 45%
  • Not sure 5%

Survey of 1,473 likely voters was conducted August 18 – September 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:15 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

  • Hillary Clinton 53%
  • Joe Biden 15%
  • Elizabeth Warren 7%
  • Bernie Sanders 5%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3%
  • Martin O’Malley 2%
  • Deval Patrick 1%
  • Someone else (vol.) 1%
  • None/No one (vol.) 3%
  • No opinion 12%

Among Men

  • Hillary Clinton 40%
  • Joe Biden 21%
  • Bernie Sanders 9%
  • Elizabeth Warren 6%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3%
  • Martin O’Malley 0%
  • Deval Patrick 0%
  • Someone else (vol.) 1%
  • None/No one (vol.) 4%
  • No opinion 15%

Among Women

  • Hillary Clinton 63%
  • Joe Biden 10%
  • Elizabeth Warren 7%
  • Andrew Cuomo 3%
  • Bernie Sanders 2%
  • Martin O’Malley 2%
  • Deval Patrick 2%
  • Someone else (vol.) 0%
  • None/No one (vol.) 2%
  • No opinion 9%

Survey of 309 registered Democrats was conducted September 8-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage point

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 12:12 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

September 12, 2014

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

  • Mike Huckabee 21%
  • Paul Ryan 12%
  • Rand Paul 7%
  • Chris Christie 6%
  • Jeb Bush 6%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Rick Perry 5%
  • Scott Walker 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 4%
  • Ted Cruz 4%
  • Rick Santorum 3%

Survey of registered Republicans was conducted September 8-10, 2014.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 4:17 pm. Filed under 2016, Iowa Caucuses, Mike Huckabee, Poll Watch

September 11, 2014

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

  • Mitch McConnell (R) 50% (46%)
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 42% (49%)
  • David Patterson (L) 6%
  • Undecided 2% (5%)

Survey of 742 likely voters was conducted September 4 and 7, 2014 for the National Mining Association. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party registration: 56% (56%) Democrat; 40% (40%) Republican; 4% (4%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

-Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal

by @ 8:45 pm. Filed under 2014, Poll Watch

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